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Nagoya Grampus
VS Scheduled Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 25
V-Varen Nagasaki

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
Nagoya GrampusWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
V-Varen NagasakiWins
4
Goals per match
3.50
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
25.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2018-09-15 Japan, J1 League 2018 Nagoya Grampus3–4V-Varen Nagasaki
2018-05-12 Japan, J1 League 2018 V-Varen Nagasaki3–0Nagoya Grampus
Recent matches

Nagoya Grampus

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama
2026-08-22 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Nagoya Grampus3–1Gamba Osaka
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashima Antlers2–1Nagoya Grampus

V-Varen Nagasaki

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Vissel Kobe3–1V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–2Gamba Osaka
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki0–3FC Tokyo
2026-08-21 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashiwa Reysol4–2V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama1–0V-Varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus V-Varen Nagasaki

Wins

25%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
50%

Both teams scored

50%
50%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nagoya Grampus Home V-Varen Nagasaki Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nagoya Grampus

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.500.000.67
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.500.200.78
Goals conceded / match1.502.001.78
Total goals / match3.002.202.56
Failed to score25.0%80.0%55.6%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%60.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

V-Varen Nagasaki

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway3 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.830.001.22
Draws33.3%0.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.501.001.33
Goals conceded / match1.172.671.67
Total goals / match2.673.673.00
Failed to score16.7%33.3%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%33.3%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNagoya GrampusDraw V-Varen NagasakiHow it works
Strength (Elo) 34.6% 26.0% 39.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 25.9% 23.2% 49.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.22–1.79 Model expected goals
56.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
57.8% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.8%
1-29.6%
0-18.9%
0-27.9%
2-16.6%
1-06.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNagoya GrampusV-Varen Nagasaki How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1429 1483 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -23 69 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1514 1519 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Nagoya Grampus 0.250.62 0.751.00
V-Varen Nagasaki 0.500.75 0.621.25

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Nagoya Grampus 8%15%22%38%18%
V-Varen Nagasaki 5%25%18%25%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Nagoya Grampus at home, 10 matches
0.50 V-Varen Nagasaki away, 8 matches
172d Days of rest for Nagoya Grampus
172d Days of rest for V-Varen Nagasaki
— Manager of Nagoya Grampus
— Manager of V-Varen Nagasaki
0 Matches for Nagoya Grampus in the last 14 days
0 Matches for V-Varen Nagasaki in the last 14 days
14 Points for Nagoya Grampus behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
9 Points for V-Varen Nagasaki behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nagoya Grampus, the right bar represents V-Varen Nagasaki.

On the ball

20 matches
5.25
corners
4.57
9.75
fouls
9.88
1.43
yellow cards
1.6

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Nagoya Grampus LLLLLWWLLW 0.90 0.80–1.60 5L
V-Varen Nagasaki DWWLDLLLWD 1.20 1.60–1.90 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Nagoya Grampus0 44 00
V-Varen Nagasaki3 23 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nagoya Grampus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

V-Varen Nagasaki

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.