Head-to-head overview
5 meetings- Kashiwa ReysolWins
- 2
- Draws20.0% of meetings
- 1
- MachidaWins
- 2
- Goals per match
- 2.80
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40.0%
- Both teams scored
- 40.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Machida2–4Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2025-12-06 |
2025
|
Kashiwa Reysol1–0Machida |
| 2025-05-17 |
2025
|
Machida3–0Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2024-10-19 |
2024
|
Kashiwa Reysol1–1Machida |
| 2024-05-03 |
2024
|
Machida2–0Kashiwa Reysol |
Recent matches
Kashiwa Reysol
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Machida2–4Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
Kyoto2–3Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Kashiwa Reysol0–2Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Cerezo Osaka2–0Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Shimizu S-Pulse0–1Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-08-21 |
26/27
|
Kashiwa Reysol4–2V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 2026-08-14 |
26/27
|
Verdy1–3Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Kashiwa Reysol2–1Mito |
Machida
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Machida2–4Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Machida2–1Kawasaki Frontale |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Mito1–1Machida |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Machida3–1Urawa Reds |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Chiba0–4Machida |
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida
Wins
75%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
62%
Both teams scored
62%
88%
Clean sheets
12%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Kashiwa Reysol
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | FC Tokyo | 2 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Vissel Kobe | 3 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida | 4 | ||
| 5 · Kashiwa Reysol | |||||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0–2 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 19′ Away |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Kashima Antlers | 9 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Urawa Reds | 11 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4–2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 12 | — |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 2–1 | Mito | 14 | 5′ Home |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Kyoto | 15 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Nagoya Grampus | 17 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Verdy | 18 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Chiba | 19 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Avispa Fukuoka | 20 | ||
Machida
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Machida | 4 | ||
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 1–5 | Machida | 4 | 5′ Home |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | Machida | 4 | ||
| 4 · Machida | |||||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida | 4 | ||
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | Machida | 4 | ||
| 7 | Okayama | Machida | 4 | ||
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Machida | 4 | ||
| 9 | Kashima Antlers | Machida | 4 | ||
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | Machida | 4 | ||
| 11 | Urawa Reds | Machida | 4 | ||
| 12 | V-Varen Nagasaki | Machida | 4 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Machida | 4 | ||
| 14 | Mito | 1–1 | Machida | 4 | 27′ Home |
| 15 | Kyoto | Machida | 4 | ||
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | Machida | 4 | ||
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 1–3 | Machida | 4 | — |
| 18 | Verdy | Machida | 4 | ||
| 19 | Chiba | 0–4 | Machida | 4 | 17′ Away |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | Machida | 4 | ||
Kashiwa Reysol Home
Machida Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Kashiwa Reysol
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away5 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.00 | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.00 | 2.20 | 2.12 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Total goals / match | 3.67 | 3.60 | 3.62 |
| Failed to score | 33.3% | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 40.0% | 37.5% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 22 of 3 | 100%67% |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 23 of 3 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 13 of 5 | 0%60% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 8/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Machida
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.60 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.80 | 3.25 | 2.44 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 0.75 | 1.22 |
| Total goals / match | 3.40 | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 2— | 50%— |
Scoring order known: 4/4 away.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Machida | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 43.2% | 25.3% | 31.5% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 42.5% | 23.2% | 33.0% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.72–1.49
Model expected goals
61.0%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
62.6%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 10.3%
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
2-18.9%
1-27.7%
1-06.9%
2-26.6%
0-16.0%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1613 | 1590 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 3 | 15 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1516 | 1520 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 0.50 | 1.62 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Machida | 1.00 | 1.62 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 8% | 20% | 30% | 15% | 28% |
| Machida | 8% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 30% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.50
Kashiwa Reysol at home, 10 matches
1.30
Machida away, 10 matches
231d
Days of rest for Kashiwa Reysol
231d
Days of rest for Machida
—
Manager of Kashiwa Reysol
—
Manager of Machida
0
Matches for Kashiwa Reysol in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Machida in the last 14 days
2
Points for Kashiwa Reysol behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2
Points for Machida behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.50
League goals per match
25.3%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kashiwa Reysol, the right bar represents Machida.
On the ball
6.43
3.75
corners
8.62
9.88
fouls
1.67
2.5
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | WWLLWWWWWW | 2.40 | 2.10–1.30 | 2W |
| Machida | LDDWWDWWWL | 1.80 | 2.20–1.20 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Machida | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Kashiwa Reysol
No absences reported.
Machida
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.