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Okayama
VS Scheduled Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 38
Avispa Fukuoka

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings
OkayamaWins
0
Draws50.0% of meetings
1
Avispa FukuokaWins
1
Goals per match
1.50
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-06-15 Japan, J1 League 2025 Okayama0–1Avispa Fukuoka
2025-04-25 Japan, J1 League 2025 Avispa Fukuoka1–1Okayama
Recent matches

Okayama

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama1–2Kyoto
2026-09-14 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Urawa Reds1–2Okayama
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Urawa Reds1–2Okayama
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Chiba1–2Okayama
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama
2026-08-22 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama0–0Verdy
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama1–0V-Varen Nagasaki

Avispa Fukuoka

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-05 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka2–3Urawa Reds
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kyoto2–1Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-22 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashima Antlers3–2Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka
Okayama Avispa Fukuoka

Wins

62%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
50%

Both teams scored

75%
50%

Clean sheets

25%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Okayama

Home · J1 League
Okayama Home Avispa Fukuoka Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Okayama

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.751.801.78
Draws25.0%0.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match1.251.601.44
Goals conceded / match1.001.401.22
Total goals / match2.253.002.67
Failed to score25.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%0.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3010
31–4511
46–6020
61–7501
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Avispa Fukuoka

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.800.000.44
Draws20.0%0.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match1.200.751.00
Goals conceded / match1.201.751.44
Total goals / match2.402.502.44
Failed to score40.0%50.0%44.4%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%50.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelOkayamaDraw Avispa FukuokaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 46.3% 24.5% 29.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 31.2% 30.2% 38.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.96–1.10 Model expected goals
33.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.0% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.0%
1-113.5%
0-012.8%
1-012.2%
0-27.7%
1-27.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureOkayamaAvispa Fukuoka How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1496 1448 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 52 -46 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1513 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Okayama 0.880.50 0.880.38
Avispa Fukuoka 0.620.50 0.501.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Okayama 8%28%15%38%12%
Avispa Fukuoka 18%35%15%15%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Okayama at home, 8 matches
0.20 Avispa Fukuoka away, 10 matches
260d Days of rest for Okayama
260d Days of rest for Avispa Fukuoka
— Manager of Okayama
— Manager of Avispa Fukuoka
0 Matches for Okayama in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Avispa Fukuoka in the last 14 days
4 Points for Okayama behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
16 Points for Avispa Fukuoka behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Okayama, the right bar represents Avispa Fukuoka.

On the ball

20 matches
6.25
corners
4.75
12.0
fouls
12.88
2.0
yellow cards
2.17

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Okayama LWWWWLDWLW 1.90 1.50–1.20 1L
Avispa Fukuoka LLLDLLLWLL 0.40 0.90–1.40 3L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Okayama1 61 00
Avispa Fukuoka2 42 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Okayama

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Avispa Fukuoka

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.