Vitebsk

Vitebsk

VS Scheduled Friday 23 Oct 202601:00

Belarus 2026 Premier League · Matchday 26

Dnepr Rogachev

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

VitebskWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Dnepr RogachevWins: 0

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-06-13	2026	Dnepr Rogachev1–2Vitebsk

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Vitebsk6–0Torpedo BelAZ
2026-09-12	2026	Vitebsk1–1Belshina
2026-09-04	2026	Slavia3–0Vitebsk
2026-08-28	2026	Vitebsk2–0Naftan
2026-08-21	2026	Minsk0–1Vitebsk
2026-08-15	2026	BATE1–0Vitebsk
2026-08-08	2026	Vitebsk1–0Neman
2026-08-01	2026	Gomel0–1Vitebsk

Dnepr Rogachev

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Dnepr Rogachev5–1Arsenal
2026-09-13	2026	Dnepr1–1Dnepr Rogachev
2026-09-06	2026	Dnepr Rogachev0–0Dinamo Minsk
2026-09-02	2026	Dnepr Rogachev1–1Belshina
2026-08-29	2026	Dinamo Brest1–3Dnepr Rogachev
2026-08-23	2026	Dnepr Rogachev0–0BATE
2026-08-19	2026	Dnepr Rogachev2–0Baranovichi
2026-07-01	2026	Slavia2–4Dnepr Rogachev

Vitebsk Dnepr Rogachev

Wins

62%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

38%

Both teams scored

12%

62%

Clean sheets

62%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Vitebsk

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Vitebsk		Isloch	1
7	Vitebsk		Dnepr Rogachev	2
7	Vitebsk		Dinamo Minsk	3
7	Vitebsk	1–2	Dinamo Brest	4	3′ Away
7	Vitebsk	1–1	Gomel	5	40′ Away
7	Vitebsk	1–0	Neman	6	90+2′ Home
7 · Vitebsk
7	Vitebsk	2–0	Minsk	8	27′ Home
7	Vitebsk	6–0	Torpedo BelAZ	9	6′ Home
7	Vitebsk	0–0	Slavia	10	–
7	Vitebsk	2–3	Baranovichi	11	15′ Away
7	Vitebsk		Arsenal	12
7	Vitebsk	1–1	Belshina	13	26′ Away
7	Vitebsk	1–0	BATE	14	11′ Home
7	Vitebsk	1–0	Dnepr	15	81′ Home
7	Vitebsk	2–0	Naftan	16	16′ Home

Dnepr Rogachev

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Isloch		Dnepr Rogachev	2
2 · Dnepr Rogachev
3	Dinamo Minsk	2–3	Dnepr Rogachev	2	4′ Away
4	Dinamo Brest	1–3	Dnepr Rogachev	2	28′ Home
5	Gomel		Dnepr Rogachev	2
6	Neman	1–2	Dnepr Rogachev	2	36′ Home
7	Vitebsk		Dnepr Rogachev	2
8	Minsk	2–2	Dnepr Rogachev	2	13′ Home
9	Torpedo BelAZ	0–1	Dnepr Rogachev	2	65′ Away
10	Slavia	2–4	Dnepr Rogachev	2	13′ Away
11	Baranovichi	0–4	Dnepr Rogachev	2	28′ Away
12	Arsenal	0–3	Dnepr Rogachev	2	—
13	Belshina		Dnepr Rogachev	2
14	BATE	1–2	Dnepr Rogachev	2	20′ Away
15	Dnepr	1–1	Dnepr Rogachev	2	4′ Home
16	Naftan		Dnepr Rogachev	2

Vitebsk Home Dnepr Rogachev Away

Wins

54%

80%

Over 1.5

64%

90%

Over 2.5

27%

80%

Over 3.5

18%

50%

Both teams scored

36%

70%

Clean sheets

64%

30%

Scores first

54%

60%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Vitebsk

23 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away12 matches	Overall23 matches
Points / match	1.91	1.25	1.57
Draws	27.3%	25.0%	26.1%
Goals scored / match	1.64	0.83	1.22
Goals conceded / match	0.64	1.17	0.91
Total goals / match	2.27	2.00	2.13
Failed to score	9.1%	41.7%	26.1%
Under 2.5 goals	72.7%	66.7%	69.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 6	67%
Scores first → wins	6 of 6	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 11/11 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	2
16–30	5	2
31–45	2	3
46–60	0	0
61–75	5	0
76–90	4	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Dnepr Rogachev

21 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away10 matches	Overall21 matches
Points / match	1.64	2.60	2.10
Draws	54.5%	20.0%	38.1%
Goals scored / match	1.55	2.50	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.64	1.00	0.81
Total goals / match	2.18	3.50	2.81
Failed to score	36.4%	0.0%	19.0%
Under 2.5 goals	63.6%	20.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 6	67%
Scores first → wins	6 of 6	100%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 4	50%

Scoring order known: 10/10 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Vitebsk	Draw	Dnepr Rogachev	How it works
Strength (Elo)	30.6%	27.1%	42.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	17.4%	24.0%	57.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.79–1.68 Model expected goals

43.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.9% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.3%

0-212.0%

1-111.2%

1-29.4%

0-08.5%

1-06.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Vitebsk	Dnepr Rogachev	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1531	1605	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	54	33	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1490	1490	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Vitebsk	0.65	0.65	0.55	0.35
Dnepr Rogachev	0.90	1.15	0.60	0.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Vitebsk	4%	30%	35%	22%	9%
Dnepr Rogachev	19%	5%	19%	24%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.89 Vitebsk at home, 9 matches

2.56 Dnepr Rogachev away, 9 matches

33d Days of rest for Vitebsk

35d Days of rest for Dnepr Rogachev

— Manager of Vitebsk

— Manager of Dnepr Rogachev

0 Matches for Vitebsk in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Dnepr Rogachev in the last 14 days

9 Points for Vitebsk behind the leaders, and 15 above the relegation zone

1 Points for Dnepr Rogachev behind the leaders, and 23 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

27.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Vitebsk, the right bar represents Dnepr Rogachev.

On the ball

20 matches

3.89

corners

7.06

11.15

fouls

10.55

2.0

yellow cards

2.07

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Vitebsk	WDLWWLWWWW	2.20	1.60–0.50	1W
Dnepr Rogachev	WDDDWDWWWD	2.00	2.00–0.90	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Vitebsk	7	7	6	0	1
Dnepr Rogachev	7	10	3	2	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Vitebsk

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Dnepr Rogachev

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.