Dnepr Rogachev

VS Scheduled Friday 30 Oct 202600:00

Belarus 2026 Premier League · Matchday 27

Minsk

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

Dnepr RogachevWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 1
MinskWins: 0

Goals per match: 4.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-06-21	2026	Minsk2–2Dnepr Rogachev

Recent matches

Dnepr Rogachev

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Dnepr Rogachev5–1Arsenal
2026-09-13	2026	Dnepr1–1Dnepr Rogachev
2026-09-06	2026	Dnepr Rogachev0–0Dinamo Minsk
2026-09-02	2026	Dnepr Rogachev1–1Belshina
2026-08-29	2026	Dinamo Brest1–3Dnepr Rogachev
2026-08-23	2026	Dnepr Rogachev0–0BATE
2026-08-19	2026	Dnepr Rogachev2–0Baranovichi
2026-07-01	2026	Slavia2–4Dnepr Rogachev

Minsk

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Belshina2–0Minsk
2026-09-11	2026	Minsk1–0Slavia
2026-09-06	2026	Naftan0–3Minsk
2026-08-30	2026	BATE2–1Minsk
2026-08-21	2026	Minsk0–1Vitebsk
2026-08-15	2026	Neman2–1Minsk
2026-08-09	2026	Gomel0–1Minsk
2026-08-01	2026	Arsenal1–2Minsk

Dnepr Rogachev Minsk

Wins

50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

38%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Dnepr Rogachev

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Dnepr Rogachev	1–1	Isloch	1	4′ Away
2 · Dnepr Rogachev
2	Dnepr Rogachev	0–0	Dinamo Minsk	3	–
2	Dnepr Rogachev	0–0	Dinamo Brest	4	–
2	Dnepr Rogachev	0–0	Gomel	5	–
2	Dnepr Rogachev		Neman	6
2	Dnepr Rogachev	1–2	Vitebsk	7	11′ Away
2	Dnepr Rogachev		Minsk	8
2	Dnepr Rogachev		Torpedo BelAZ	9
2	Dnepr Rogachev		Slavia	10
2	Dnepr Rogachev	2–0	Baranovichi	11	10′ Home
2	Dnepr Rogachev	5–1	Arsenal	12	5′ Away
2	Dnepr Rogachev	1–1	Belshina	13	45′ Home
2	Dnepr Rogachev	0–0	BATE	14	–
2	Dnepr Rogachev	5–1	Dnepr	15	11′ Home
2	Dnepr Rogachev	2–1	Naftan	16	11′ Away

Minsk

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Isloch		Minsk	8
2	Dnepr Rogachev		Minsk	8
3	Dinamo Minsk		Minsk	8
4	Dinamo Brest	0–0	Minsk	8	–
5	Gomel	0–1	Minsk	8	—
6	Neman	2–1	Minsk	8	45+1′ Away
7	Vitebsk	2–0	Minsk	8	27′ Home
8 · Minsk
9	Torpedo BelAZ	3–0	Minsk	8	8′ Home
10	Slavia	1–2	Minsk	8	33′ Home
11	Baranovichi	2–1	Minsk	8	26′ Away
12	Arsenal	1–2	Minsk	8	16′ Away
13	Belshina	2–0	Minsk	8	4′ Home
14	BATE	2–1	Minsk	8	6′ Away
15	Dnepr	1–2	Minsk	8	45+3′ Home
16	Naftan	0–3	Minsk	8	28′ Away

Dnepr Rogachev Home Minsk Away

Wins

36%

42%

Over 1.5

64%

83%

Over 2.5

36%

67%

Over 3.5

18%

0%

Both teams scored

54%

50%

Clean sheets

46%

25%

Scores first

27%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Dnepr Rogachev

21 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away10 matches	Overall21 matches
Points / match	1.64	2.60	2.10
Draws	54.5%	20.0%	38.1%
Goals scored / match	1.55	2.50	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.64	1.00	0.81
Total goals / match	2.18	3.50	2.81
Failed to score	36.4%	0.0%	19.0%
Under 2.5 goals	63.6%	20.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 4	50%

Scoring order known: 11/11 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	4
16–30	1	0
31–45	4	1
46–60	2	1
61–75	3	1
76–90	4	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Minsk

23 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away12 matches	Overall23 matches
Points / match	1.64	1.33	1.48
Draws	27.3%	8.3%	17.4%
Goals scored / match	1.55	1.08	1.30
Goals conceded / match	1.09	1.33	1.22
Total goals / match	2.64	2.42	2.52
Failed to score	27.3%	33.3%	30.4%
Under 2.5 goals	63.6%	33.3%	47.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	6 of 6	100%
Scores first → wins	3 of 6	50%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 5	40%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Dnepr Rogachev	Draw	Minsk	How it works
Strength (Elo)	51.3%	23.8%	24.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	56.1%	22.2%	20.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.90–1.04 Model expected goals

55.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

54.2% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.4%

1-010.0%

2-19.9%

2-09.5%

3-16.3%

3-06.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Dnepr Rogachev	Minsk	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1605	1496	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	33	-12	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1490	1490	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Dnepr Rogachev	0.90	1.15	0.60	0.25
Minsk	0.60	0.75	0.65	0.65

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Dnepr Rogachev	19%	5%	19%	24%	33%
Minsk	4%	22%	22%	39%	13%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Dnepr Rogachev at home, 11 matches

1.33 Minsk away, 12 matches

42d Days of rest for Dnepr Rogachev

42d Days of rest for Minsk

— Manager of Dnepr Rogachev

— Manager of Minsk

0 Matches for Dnepr Rogachev in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Minsk in the last 14 days

1 Points for Dnepr Rogachev behind the leaders, and 23 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Minsk behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

27.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Dnepr Rogachev, the right bar represents Minsk.

On the ball

20 matches

7.06

corners

4.39

10.55

fouls

10.7

2.07

yellow cards

2.22

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Dnepr Rogachev	WDDDWDWWWD	2.00	2.00–0.90	1W
Minsk	LWWLLLWWWL	1.50	1.10–1.20	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Dnepr Rogachev	7	10	3	2	1
Minsk	8	4	8	2	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Dnepr Rogachev

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Minsk

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.