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Minsk
VS Scheduled Belarus 2026 Premier League · Matchday 30
Dnepr

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
MinskWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
DneprWins
0
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-07-10 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Dnepr1–2Minsk
Recent matches

Minsk

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Belshina2–0Minsk
2026-09-11 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Minsk1–0Slavia
2026-09-06 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Naftan0–3Minsk
2026-08-30 Belarus, Premier League 2026 BATE2–1Minsk
2026-08-21 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Minsk0–1Vitebsk
2026-08-15 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Neman2–1Minsk
2026-08-09 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Gomel0–1Minsk
2026-08-01 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Arsenal1–2Minsk

Dnepr

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Dinamo Brest4–2Dnepr
2026-09-13 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Dnepr1–1Dnepr Rogachev
2026-09-06 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Baranovichi2–1Dnepr
2026-08-30 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Dnepr0–0Isloch
2026-08-24 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Torpedo BelAZ0–0Dnepr
2026-08-14 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Dnepr1–1Belshina
2026-08-07 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Slavia3–0Dnepr
2026-07-31 Belarus, Premier League 2026 Dnepr3–3Naftan
Minsk Dnepr

Wins

50%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

38%
62%

Clean sheets

38%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Minsk

Home · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
8 Minsk 1–1 Isloch 1 23′ Away
8 Minsk 2–2 Dnepr Rogachev 2 13′ Home
8 Minsk 0–3 Dinamo Minsk 3 12′ Away
8 Minsk Dinamo Brest 4
8 Minsk 2–0 Gomel 5 53′ Home
8 Minsk 0–1 Neman 6 85′ Away
8 Minsk 0–1 Vitebsk 7 22′ Away
8 · Minsk
8 Minsk Torpedo BelAZ 9
8 Minsk 1–0 Slavia 10 77′ Home
8 Minsk Baranovichi 11
8 Minsk 1–1 Arsenal 12 17′ Away
8 Minsk 5–1 Belshina 13 26′ Home
8 Minsk 1–0 BATE 14 56′ Home
8 Minsk Dnepr 15
8 Minsk 4–2 Naftan 16 14′ Home

Dnepr

Away · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Isloch 2–1 Dnepr 15 32′ Home
2 Dnepr Rogachev 5–1 Dnepr 15 11′ Home
3 Dinamo Minsk 3–1 Dnepr 15 13′ Away
4 Dinamo Brest 4–2 Dnepr 15 25′ Home
5 Gomel 2–0 Dnepr 15 37′ Home
6 Neman Dnepr 15
7 Vitebsk 1–0 Dnepr 15 81′ Home
8 Minsk Dnepr 15
9 Torpedo BelAZ 0–0 Dnepr 15 –
10 Slavia 3–0 Dnepr 15 43′ Home
11 Baranovichi 2–1 Dnepr 15 2′ Home
12 Arsenal Dnepr 15
13 Belshina 1–2 Dnepr 15 50′ Away
14 BATE 1–1 Dnepr 15 55′ Home
15 · Dnepr
16 Naftan 0–0 Dnepr 15 –
Minsk Home Dnepr Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Minsk

23 matches
Goals & resultsHome11 matchesAway12 matchesOverall23 matches
Points / match1.641.331.48
Draws27.3%8.3%17.4%
Goals scored / match1.551.081.30
Goals conceded / match1.091.331.22
Total goals / match2.642.422.52
Failed to score27.3%33.3%30.4%
Under 2.5 goals63.6%33.3%47.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 6 33%
Scores first → wins 5 of 6 83%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 5 0%

Scoring order known: 11/11 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1521
16–3014
31–4532
46–6050
61–7513
76–9052

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Dnepr

23 matches
Goals & resultsHome11 matchesAway12 matchesOverall23 matches
Points / match0.910.500.70
Draws63.6%25.0%43.5%
Goals scored / match1.000.750.87
Goals conceded / match1.092.001.57
Total goals / match2.092.752.43
Failed to score36.4%41.7%39.1%
Under 2.5 goals72.7%41.7%56.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 8 0%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1512
16–3002
31–4524
46–6033
61–7517
76–9026

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMinskDraw DneprHow it works
Strength (Elo) 47.4% 25.4% 27.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 50.1% 24.6% 24.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.64–1.06 Model expected goals
49.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
52.2% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.7%
1-011.0%
2-19.6%
2-09.0%
0-17.1%
0-06.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMinskDnepr How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1496 1417 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -12 -43 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1490 1500 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Minsk 0.600.75 0.650.65
Dnepr 0.500.40 0.551.15

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Minsk 4%22%22%39%13%
Dnepr 17%13%26%22%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Minsk at home, 8 matches
0.20 Dnepr away, 10 matches
71d Days of rest for Minsk
69d Days of rest for Dnepr
— Manager of Minsk
— Manager of Dnepr
0 Matches for Minsk in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Dnepr in the last 14 days
11 Points for Minsk behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone
29 Points for Dnepr behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
27.9% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Minsk, the right bar represents Dnepr.

On the ball

20 matches
4.39
corners
4.82
10.7
fouls
13.15
2.22
yellow cards
2.38

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Minsk LWWLLLWWWL 1.50 1.10–1.20 1L
Dnepr LDLDDDLDLL 0.50 0.90–1.70 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Minsk8 48 23
Dnepr4 106 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Minsk

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Dnepr

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.