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Harju JK
VS Scheduled Estonia 2026 Meistriliiga · Matchday 31
Nõmme Utd

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings
Harju JKWins
2
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Nõmme UtdWins
1
Goals per match
3.33
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-29 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–2Harju JK
2026-06-20 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Harju JK1–3Nõmme Utd
2026-04-18 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–2Harju JK
Recent matches

Harju JK

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Harju JK0–0Kuressaare
2026-09-13 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide1–2Harju JK
2026-09-09 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus3–2Harju JK
2026-09-06 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Harju JK0–2Tammeka
2026-08-29 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–2Harju JK
2026-08-22 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Harju JK1–0Kalju
2026-08-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Harju JK1–2Levadia
2026-08-07 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare3–2Harju JK

Nõmme Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–3Paide
2026-09-12 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd2–3Flora
2026-09-08 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju1–2Nõmme Utd
2026-09-05 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus1–0Nõmme Utd
2026-08-29 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–2Harju JK
2026-08-23 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide4–1Nõmme Utd
2026-08-14 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd0–1Tammeka
2026-08-09 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Levadia5–0Nõmme Utd
Harju JK Nõmme Utd

Wins

38%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
75%

Both teams scored

62%
62%

Clean sheets

25%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Harju JK

Home · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
6 Harju JK 1–3 Levadia 1 8′ Away
6 Harju JK 1–2 Levadia 1 19′ Away
6 Harju JK 2–0 Flora 2 51′ Home
6 Harju JK 2–2 Paide 3 18′ Home
6 Harju JK 5–2 Paide 3 10′ Home
6 Harju JK 0–2 Kalju 4 36′ Away
6 Harju JK 1–0 Kalju 4 66′ Home
6 Harju JK 1–0 Tammeka 5 32′ Home
6 Harju JK 0–2 Tammeka 5 22′ Away
6 · Harju JK
6 Harju JK 1–2 Vaprus 7 20′ Home
6 Harju JK 2–3 Kuressaare 8 59′ Away
6 Harju JK 0–0 Kuressaare 8 –
6 Harju JK 1–3 Nõmme Utd 9 34′ Home
6 Harju JK 3–0 Trans 10 34′ Home
6 Harju JK 3–0 Trans 10 —

Nõmme Utd

Away · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
1 Levadia 1–1 Nõmme Utd 9 59′ Away
1 Levadia 5–0 Nõmme Utd 9 22′ Home
2 Flora 3–0 Nõmme Utd 9 6′ Home
2 Flora 1–2 Nõmme Utd 9 —
3 Paide 3–1 Nõmme Utd 9 14′ Home
3 Paide 4–1 Nõmme Utd 9 27′ Home
4 Kalju 7–1 Nõmme Utd 9 —
4 Kalju 1–2 Nõmme Utd 9 19′ Away
5 Tammeka 3–1 Nõmme Utd 9 19′ Home
6 Harju JK 1–3 Nõmme Utd 9 34′ Home
7 Vaprus 2–3 Nõmme Utd 9 10′ Away
7 Vaprus 1–0 Nõmme Utd 9 51′ Home
8 Kuressaare 2–1 Nõmme Utd 9 —
9 · Nõmme Utd
10 Trans 1–2 Nõmme Utd 9 44′ Away
Harju JK Home Nõmme Utd Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Meistriliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Harju JK

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome15 matchesAway14 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match1.331.071.21
Draws13.3%0.0%6.9%
Goals scored / match1.531.211.38
Goals conceded / match1.401.861.62
Total goals / match2.933.073.00
Failed to score20.0%35.7%27.6%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%28.6%34.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 5 of 9 56%
Scores first → wins 6 of 9 67%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 5 0%

Scoring order known: 15/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nõmme Utd

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome15 matchesAway14 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match0.801.140.97
Draws0.0%7.1%3.4%
Goals scored / match1.931.291.62
Goals conceded / match2.202.502.34
Total goals / match4.133.793.97
Failed to score13.3%21.4%17.2%
Under 2.5 goals6.7%14.3%10.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 13/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelHarju JKDraw Nõmme UtdHow it works
Strength (Elo) 52.8% 11.8% 35.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 36.6% 22.6% 39.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.67–1.74 Model expected goals
64.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
65.6% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-19.6%
1-28.3%
2-18.0%
2-27.0%
0-15.7%
1-05.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureHarju JKNõmme Utd How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1461 1408 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 10 -52 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1499 1506 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Harju JK 0.700.60 0.850.90
Nõmme Utd 0.500.85 1.051.25

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Harju JK 3%17%14%34%31%
Nõmme Utd 0%7%3%34%55%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Harju JK at home, 10 matches
1.50 Nõmme Utd away, 10 matches
25d Days of rest for Harju JK
24d Days of rest for Nõmme Utd
— Manager of Harju JK
— Manager of Nõmme Utd
0 Matches for Harju JK in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Nõmme Utd in the last 14 days
37 Points for Harju JK behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
44 Points for Nõmme Utd behind the leaders, and -6 above the relegation zone
3.14 League goals per match
12.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Harju JK, the right bar represents Nõmme Utd.

On the ball

20 matches
5.39
corners
4.35
11.42
fouls
8.23
2.65
yellow cards
2.08

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Harju JK DWLLWWLLLW 1.30 1.50–1.50 1D
Nõmme Utd LLWLLLLLLW 0.60 1.00–2.30 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Harju JK6 77 01
Nõmme Utd4 511 21
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Harju JK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nõmme Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.