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Vaprus
VS Scheduled Estonia 2026 Meistriliiga · Matchday 31
Kalju

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings
VaprusWins
2
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
KaljuWins
1
Goals per match
3.67
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju3–1Vaprus
2026-05-30 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus3–1Kalju
2026-04-26 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju1–2Vaprus
Recent matches

Vaprus

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Flora3–2Vaprus
2026-09-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide2–0Vaprus
2026-09-12 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Levadia4–0Vaprus
2026-09-09 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus3–2Harju JK
2026-09-05 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus1–0Nõmme Utd
2026-08-29 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare2–2Vaprus
2026-08-23 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus1–2Flora
2026-08-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju3–1Vaprus

Kalju

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Tammeka1–3Kalju
2026-09-12 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju2–0Trans
2026-09-08 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju1–2Nõmme Utd
2026-09-05 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Flora2–1Kalju
2026-08-30 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju2–3Levadia
2026-08-22 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Harju JK1–0Kalju
2026-08-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju3–1Vaprus
2026-08-08 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Trans0–2Kalju
Vaprus Kalju

Wins

25%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
62%

Both teams scored

62%
62%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Vaprus

Home · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
7 Vaprus 1–6 Levadia 1 —
7 Vaprus 1–1 Levadia 1 22′ Home
7 Vaprus 1–2 Flora 2 20′ Home
7 Vaprus 1–2 Flora 2 29′ Away
7 Vaprus 3–2 Paide 3 55′ Away
7 Vaprus 3–1 Kalju 4 4′ Home
7 Vaprus 0–0 Tammeka 5 –
7 Vaprus 5–1 Tammeka 5 19′ Home
7 Vaprus 0–2 Harju JK 6 51′ Away
7 Vaprus 3–2 Harju JK 6 —
7 · Vaprus
7 Vaprus 1–0 Kuressaare 8 4′ Home
7 Vaprus 2–3 Nõmme Utd 9 10′ Away
7 Vaprus 1–0 Nõmme Utd 9 51′ Home
7 Vaprus 2–0 Trans 10 38′ Home

Kalju

Away · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
1 Levadia 1–1 Kalju 4 90+3′ Home
2 Flora 0–1 Kalju 4 —
2 Flora 2–1 Kalju 4 24′ Home
3 Paide 1–0 Kalju 4 67′ Home
4 · Kalju
5 Tammeka 0–1 Kalju 4 17′ Away
5 Tammeka 1–3 Kalju 4 6′ Away
6 Harju JK 0–2 Kalju 4 36′ Away
6 Harju JK 1–0 Kalju 4 66′ Home
7 Vaprus 3–1 Kalju 4 4′ Home
8 Kuressaare 0–2 Kalju 4 10′ Away
8 Kuressaare 0–0 Kalju 4 –
9 Nõmme Utd 1–3 Kalju 4 —
10 Trans 0–3 Kalju 4 30′ Away
10 Trans 0–2 Kalju 4 8′ Away
Vaprus Home Kalju Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Meistriliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Vaprus

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway15 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match1.640.731.17
Draws14.3%13.3%13.8%
Goals scored / match1.711.001.34
Goals conceded / match1.572.331.97
Total goals / match3.293.333.31
Failed to score14.3%26.7%20.7%
Under 2.5 goals42.9%26.7%34.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 13/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kalju

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome15 matchesAway14 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match1.601.861.72
Draws20.0%14.3%17.2%
Goals scored / match2.131.431.79
Goals conceded / match1.130.710.93
Total goals / match3.272.142.72
Failed to score6.7%21.4%13.8%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%64.3%51.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 13/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelVaprusDraw KaljuHow it works
Strength (Elo) 32.8% 11.4% 55.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 12.2% 17.3% 67.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.88–2.37 Model expected goals
59.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
51.1% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 10.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-210.9%
1-29.6%
0-19.2%
0-38.6%
1-18.1%
1-37.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureVaprusKalju How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1452 1561 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -43 7 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1517 1486 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Vaprus 0.750.75 1.050.90
Kalju 1.100.55 0.350.70

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Vaprus 7%10%17%21%45%
Kalju 3%21%28%21%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.73 Vaprus at home, 11 matches
1.70 Kalju away, 10 matches
23d Days of rest for Vaprus
23d Days of rest for Kalju
— Manager of Vaprus
— Manager of Kalju
0 Matches for Vaprus in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Kalju in the last 14 days
38 Points for Vaprus behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
22 Points for Kalju behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone
3.14 League goals per match
12.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Vaprus, the right bar represents Kalju.

On the ball

20 matches
4.22
corners
6.11
8.38
fouls
10.0
2.12
yellow cards
2.44

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Vaprus LLLWWDLLDL 0.80 1.20–2.20 3L
Kalju WWLLLLWWWD 1.60 1.90–1.10 2W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Vaprus6 77 01
Kalju10 73 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Vaprus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kalju

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.