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Nõmme Utd
VS Scheduled Estonia 2026 Meistriliiga · Matchday 33
Vaprus

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings
Nõmme UtdWins
2
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
VaprusWins
1
Goals per match
4.67
Over 2.5 goals
66.7%
Both teams scored
66.7%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-05 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus1–0Nõmme Utd
2026-05-02 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus2–3Nõmme Utd
2026-03-14 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd7–1Vaprus
Recent matches

Nõmme Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–3Paide
2026-09-12 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd2–3Flora
2026-09-08 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju1–2Nõmme Utd
2026-09-05 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus1–0Nõmme Utd
2026-08-29 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–2Harju JK
2026-08-23 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide4–1Nõmme Utd
2026-08-14 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd0–1Tammeka
2026-08-09 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Levadia5–0Nõmme Utd

Vaprus

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Flora3–2Vaprus
2026-09-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide2–0Vaprus
2026-09-12 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Levadia4–0Vaprus
2026-09-09 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus3–2Harju JK
2026-09-05 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus1–0Nõmme Utd
2026-08-29 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare2–2Vaprus
2026-08-23 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus1–2Flora
2026-08-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju3–1Vaprus
Nõmme Utd Vaprus

Wins

12%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
75%

Both teams scored

62%
62%

Clean sheets

0%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Nõmme Utd

Home · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
9 Nõmme Utd 1–2 Levadia 1 15′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 0–4 Flora 2 33′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 2–3 Flora 2 44′ Home
9 Nõmme Utd 2–3 Paide 3 9′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 1–3 Paide 3 20′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 1–3 Kalju 4 —
9 Nõmme Utd 2–3 Tammeka 5 10′ Home
9 Nõmme Utd 0–1 Tammeka 5 76′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 1–2 Harju JK 6 —
9 Nõmme Utd 1–2 Harju JK 6 41′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 7–1 Vaprus 7 8′ Home
9 Nõmme Utd 2–1 Kuressaare 8 30′ Home
9 Nõmme Utd 3–2 Kuressaare 8 —
9 · Nõmme Utd
9 Nõmme Utd 5–1 Trans 10 18′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 1–2 Trans 10 18′ Away

Vaprus

Away · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
1 Levadia 2–1 Vaprus 7 38′ Home
1 Levadia 4–0 Vaprus 7 6′ Home
2 Flora 2–0 Vaprus 7 60′ Home
2 Flora 3–2 Vaprus 7 55′ Away
3 Paide 3–1 Vaprus 7 15′ Home
3 Paide 2–0 Vaprus 7 4′ Home
4 Kalju 1–2 Vaprus 7 23′ Away
4 Kalju 3–1 Vaprus 7 12′ Home
5 Tammeka 0–0 Vaprus 7 –
6 Harju JK 1–2 Vaprus 7 20′ Home
7 · Vaprus
8 Kuressaare 0–1 Vaprus 7 57′ Away
8 Kuressaare 2–2 Vaprus 7 24′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 7–1 Vaprus 7 8′ Home
10 Trans 2–1 Vaprus 7 30′ Away
10 Trans 3–1 Vaprus 7 22′ Home
Nõmme Utd Home Vaprus Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Meistriliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Nõmme Utd

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome15 matchesAway14 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match0.801.140.97
Draws0.0%7.1%3.4%
Goals scored / match1.931.291.62
Goals conceded / match2.202.502.34
Total goals / match4.133.793.97
Failed to score13.3%21.4%17.2%
Under 2.5 goals6.7%14.3%10.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 13/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Vaprus

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway15 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match1.640.731.17
Draws14.3%13.3%13.8%
Goals scored / match1.711.001.34
Goals conceded / match1.572.331.97
Total goals / match3.293.333.31
Failed to score14.3%26.7%20.7%
Under 2.5 goals42.9%26.7%34.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 5 20%
Scores first → wins 2 of 5 40%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 9 11%

Scoring order known: 15/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1506
16–3056
31–4524
46–6047
61–7528
76–9024

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNõmme UtdDraw VaprusHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.5% 12.3% 47.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 20.7% 18.2% 56.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.47–2.54 Model expected goals
71.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
67.2% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 8.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-28.6%
1-37.3%
1-16.8%
2-26.3%
0-25.8%
2-35.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNõmme UtdVaprus How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1408 1452 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -52 -43 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1506 1517 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Nõmme Utd 0.500.85 1.051.25
Vaprus 0.750.75 1.050.90

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Nõmme Utd 0%7%3%34%55%
Vaprus 7%10%17%21%45%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.30 Nõmme Utd at home, 10 matches
0.56 Vaprus away, 9 matches
35d Days of rest for Nõmme Utd
34d Days of rest for Vaprus
— Manager of Nõmme Utd
— Manager of Vaprus
0 Matches for Nõmme Utd in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Vaprus in the last 14 days
44 Points for Nõmme Utd behind the leaders, and -6 above the relegation zone
38 Points for Vaprus behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
3.14 League goals per match
12.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nõmme Utd, the right bar represents Vaprus.

On the ball

20 matches
4.35
corners
4.22
8.23
fouls
8.38
2.08
yellow cards
2.12

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Nõmme Utd LLWLLLLLLW 0.60 1.00–2.30 2L
Vaprus LLLWWDLLDL 0.80 1.20–2.20 3L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Nõmme Utd4 511 21
Vaprus6 77 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nõmme Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Vaprus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.