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Kuressaare
VS Scheduled Estonia 2026 Meistriliiga · Matchday 33
Paide

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings
KuressaareWins
0
Draws33.3% of meetings
1
PaideWins
2
Goals per match
1.33
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
33.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-02 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide1–0Kuressaare
2026-05-31 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide1–1Kuressaare
2026-04-03 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare0–1Paide
Recent matches

Kuressaare

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Harju JK0–0Kuressaare
2026-09-13 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare1–3Tammeka
2026-09-09 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Levadia4–0Kuressaare
2026-09-05 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare3–1Trans
2026-08-29 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare2–2Vaprus
2026-08-22 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Tammeka1–0Kuressaare
2026-08-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Flora2–3Kuressaare
2026-08-07 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare3–2Harju JK

Paide

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–3Paide
2026-09-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide2–0Vaprus
2026-09-13 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide1–2Harju JK
2026-09-09 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Tammeka0–2Paide
2026-09-06 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide0–2Levadia
2026-08-30 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Flora1–2Paide
2026-08-23 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide4–1Nõmme Utd
2026-08-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Trans1–1Paide
Kuressaare Paide

Wins

38%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
62%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Kuressaare

Home · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
8 Kuressaare 1–2 Levadia 1 18′ Home
8 Kuressaare 0–3 Flora 2 29′ Away
8 Kuressaare 0–1 Paide 3 61′ Away
8 Kuressaare 0–2 Kalju 4 10′ Away
8 Kuressaare 0–0 Kalju 4 –
8 Kuressaare 3–2 Tammeka 5 33′ Home
8 Kuressaare 1–3 Tammeka 5 16′ Away
8 Kuressaare 3–2 Harju JK 6 8′ Home
8 Kuressaare 3–2 Harju JK 6 45+2′ Home
8 Kuressaare 0–1 Vaprus 7 57′ Away
8 Kuressaare 2–2 Vaprus 7 24′ Away
8 · Kuressaare
8 Kuressaare 2–1 Nõmme Utd 9 —
8 Kuressaare 0–0 Trans 10 –
8 Kuressaare 3–1 Trans 10 41′ Home

Paide

Away · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
1 Levadia 2–2 Paide 3 17′ Home
2 Flora 1–2 Paide 3 5′ Home
2 Flora 1–2 Paide 3 48′ Home
3 · Paide
4 Kalju 1–1 Paide 3 35′ Home
4 Kalju 1–1 Paide 3 66′ Home
5 Tammeka 1–4 Paide 3 22′ Away
5 Tammeka 0–2 Paide 3 28′ Away
6 Harju JK 2–2 Paide 3 18′ Home
6 Harju JK 5–2 Paide 3 10′ Home
7 Vaprus 3–2 Paide 3 55′ Away
8 Kuressaare 0–1 Paide 3 61′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 2–3 Paide 3 9′ Away
9 Nõmme Utd 1–3 Paide 3 20′ Away
10 Trans 1–0 Paide 3 90+2′ Home
10 Trans 1–1 Paide 3 4′ Home
Kuressaare Home Paide Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Meistriliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Kuressaare

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway15 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match1.290.731.00
Draws21.4%13.3%17.2%
Goals scored / match1.290.871.07
Goals conceded / match1.571.801.69
Total goals / match2.862.672.76
Failed to score42.9%53.3%48.3%
Under 2.5 goals35.7%46.7%41.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 5 of 6 83%
Scores first → wins 5 of 6 83%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 6 0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Paide

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway15 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match1.791.731.76
Draws7.1%33.3%20.7%
Goals scored / match1.431.871.66
Goals conceded / match1.001.471.24
Total goals / match2.433.332.90
Failed to score14.3%6.7%10.3%
Under 2.5 goals57.1%40.0%48.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 4 of 6 67%
Scores first → wins 5 of 6 83%
Concedes first → wins 2 of 9 22%

Scoring order known: 15/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1524
16–3043
31–4553
46–6052
61–7554
76–9076

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelKuressaareDraw PaideHow it works
Strength (Elo) 30.5% 10.9% 58.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 14.5% 22.1% 62.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.73–1.83 Model expected goals
46.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
43.1% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.1%
0-212.9%
1-110.4%
1-29.5%
0-37.8%
0-07.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureKuressaarePaide How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1431 1561 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 6 18 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1501 1489 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Kuressaare 0.600.45 0.551.05
Paide 0.650.90 0.700.55

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Kuressaare 10%21%10%21%38%
Paide 0%24%24%14%38%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 Kuressaare at home, 10 matches
1.80 Paide away, 10 matches
37d Days of rest for Kuressaare
36d Days of rest for Paide
— Manager of Kuressaare
— Manager of Paide
0 Matches for Kuressaare in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Paide in the last 14 days
43 Points for Kuressaare behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone
21 Points for Paide behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
3.14 League goals per match
12.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kuressaare, the right bar represents Paide.

On the ball

20 matches
6.0
corners
5.32
6.31
fouls
9.9
1.57
yellow cards
2.69

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Kuressaare DLLWDLWWLD 1.20 1.20–1.60 1D
Paide WWLWLWWDWL 1.90 1.80–1.30 2W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Kuressaare6 77 02
Paide7 85 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Kuressaare

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Paide

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.