Head-to-head overview
3 meetings- VaprusWins
- 1
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- PaideWins
- 2
- Goals per match
- 3.67
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66.7%
- Both teams scored
- 66.7%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
2026
|
Paide2–0Vaprus |
| 2026-07-04 |
2026
|
Paide3–1Vaprus |
| 2026-03-07 |
2026
|
Vaprus3–2Paide |
Recent matches
Vaprus
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Flora3–2Vaprus |
| 2026-09-16 |
2026
|
Paide2–0Vaprus |
| 2026-09-12 |
2026
|
Levadia4–0Vaprus |
| 2026-09-09 |
2026
|
Vaprus3–2Harju JK |
| 2026-09-05 |
2026
|
Vaprus1–0Nõmme Utd |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Kuressaare2–2Vaprus |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Vaprus1–2Flora |
| 2026-08-16 |
2026
|
Kalju3–1Vaprus |
Paide
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
2026
|
Nõmme Utd1–3Paide |
| 2026-09-16 |
2026
|
Paide2–0Vaprus |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Paide1–2Harju JK |
| 2026-09-09 |
2026
|
Tammeka0–2Paide |
| 2026-09-06 |
2026
|
Paide0–2Levadia |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Flora1–2Paide |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Paide4–1Nõmme Utd |
| 2026-08-16 |
2026
|
Trans1–1Paide |
Vaprus
Paide
Wins
25%
62%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
50%
Both teams scored
62%
62%
Clean sheets
12%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Vaprus
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vaprus | 1–6 | Levadia | 1 | — |
| 7 | Vaprus | 1–1 | Levadia | 1 | 22′ Home |
| 7 | Vaprus | 1–2 | Flora | 2 | 20′ Home |
| 7 | Vaprus | 1–2 | Flora | 2 | 29′ Away |
| 7 | Vaprus | 3–2 | Paide | 3 | 55′ Away |
| 7 | Vaprus | 3–1 | Kalju | 4 | 4′ Home |
| 7 | Vaprus | 0–0 | Tammeka | 5 | – |
| 7 | Vaprus | 5–1 | Tammeka | 5 | 19′ Home |
| 7 | Vaprus | 0–2 | Harju JK | 6 | 51′ Away |
| 7 | Vaprus | 3–2 | Harju JK | 6 | — |
| 7 · Vaprus | |||||
| 7 | Vaprus | 1–0 | Kuressaare | 8 | 4′ Home |
| 7 | Vaprus | 2–3 | Nõmme Utd | 9 | 10′ Away |
| 7 | Vaprus | 1–0 | Nõmme Utd | 9 | 51′ Home |
| 7 | Vaprus | 2–0 | Trans | 10 | 38′ Home |
Paide
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 2–2 | Paide | 3 | 17′ Home |
| 2 | Flora | 1–2 | Paide | 3 | 5′ Home |
| 2 | Flora | 1–2 | Paide | 3 | 48′ Home |
| 3 · Paide | |||||
| 4 | Kalju | 1–1 | Paide | 3 | 35′ Home |
| 4 | Kalju | 1–1 | Paide | 3 | 66′ Home |
| 5 | Tammeka | 1–4 | Paide | 3 | 22′ Away |
| 5 | Tammeka | 0–2 | Paide | 3 | 28′ Away |
| 6 | Harju JK | 2–2 | Paide | 3 | 18′ Home |
| 6 | Harju JK | 5–2 | Paide | 3 | 10′ Home |
| 7 | Vaprus | 3–2 | Paide | 3 | 55′ Away |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 0–1 | Paide | 3 | 61′ Away |
| 9 | Nõmme Utd | 2–3 | Paide | 3 | 9′ Away |
| 9 | Nõmme Utd | 1–3 | Paide | 3 | 20′ Away |
| 10 | Trans | 1–0 | Paide | 3 | 90+2′ Home |
| 10 | Trans | 1–1 | Paide | 3 | 4′ Home |
Vaprus Home
Paide Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Meistriliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Vaprus
| Goals & results | Home14 matches | Away15 matches | Overall29 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.64 | 0.73 | 1.17 |
| Draws | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.71 | 1.00 | 1.34 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.57 | 2.33 | 1.97 |
| Total goals / match | 3.29 | 3.33 | 3.31 |
| Failed to score | 14.3% | 26.7% | 20.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.9% | 26.7% | 34.5% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 13/14 home.Scoring order known: 28/29 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Paide
| Goals & results | Home14 matches | Away15 matches | Overall29 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.79 | 1.73 | 1.76 |
| Draws | 7.1% | 33.3% | 20.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.43 | 1.87 | 1.66 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| Total goals / match | 2.43 | 3.33 | 2.90 |
| Failed to score | 14.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57.1% | 40.0% | 48.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 4 of 610 of 16 | 67%62% |
| Scores first → wins | 5 of 613 of 16 | 83%81% |
| Concedes first → wins | 2 of 92 of 13 | 22%15% |
Scoring order known: 15/15 away.Scoring order known: 29/29 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 2 | 4 |
| 16–30 | 4 | 3 |
| 31–45 | 5 | 3 |
| 46–60 | 5 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 5 | 4 |
| 76–90 | 7 | 6 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Vaprus | Draw | Paide | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 32.8% | 11.4% | 55.8% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 16.6% | 19.3% | 61.3% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.05–2.22
Model expected goals
60.9%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
56.2%
Both teams to score
1-2
Most likely score, at 9.8%
Most likely scores
1-29.8%
0-29.4%
1-18.8%
0-18.4%
1-37.3%
0-36.9%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Vaprus | Paide | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1452 | 1561 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -43 | 18 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1517 | 1489 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.05 | 0.90 |
| Paide | 0.65 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.55 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 7% | 10% | 17% | 21% | 45% |
| Paide | 0% | 24% | 24% | 14% | 38% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.73
Vaprus at home, 11 matches
1.80
Paide away, 10 matches
41d
Days of rest for Vaprus
42d
Days of rest for Paide
—
Manager of Vaprus
—
Manager of Paide
0
Matches for Vaprus in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Paide in the last 14 days
38
Points for Vaprus behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
21
Points for Paide behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
3.14
League goals per match
12.4%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Vaprus, the right bar represents Paide.
On the ball
4.22
5.32
corners
8.38
9.9
fouls
2.12
2.69
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | LLLWWDLLDL | 0.80 | 1.20–2.20 | 3L |
| Paide | WWLWLWWDWL | 1.90 | 1.80–1.30 | 2W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Paide | 7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Vaprus
No absences reported.
Paide
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.