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Kuressaare
VS Scheduled Estonia 2026 Meistriliiga · Matchday 36
Nõmme Utd

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings
KuressaareWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Nõmme UtdWins
2
Goals per match
3.67
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-07-11 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd3–2Kuressaare
2026-05-20 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare2–1Nõmme Utd
2026-04-25 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd2–1Kuressaare
Recent matches

Kuressaare

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Harju JK0–0Kuressaare
2026-09-13 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare1–3Tammeka
2026-09-09 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Levadia4–0Kuressaare
2026-09-05 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare3–1Trans
2026-08-29 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare2–2Vaprus
2026-08-22 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Tammeka1–0Kuressaare
2026-08-16 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Flora2–3Kuressaare
2026-08-07 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kuressaare3–2Harju JK

Nõmme Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–3Paide
2026-09-12 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd2–3Flora
2026-09-08 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Kalju1–2Nõmme Utd
2026-09-05 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Vaprus1–0Nõmme Utd
2026-08-29 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd1–2Harju JK
2026-08-23 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Paide4–1Nõmme Utd
2026-08-14 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Nõmme Utd0–1Tammeka
2026-08-09 Estonia, Meistriliiga 2026 Levadia5–0Nõmme Utd
Kuressaare Nõmme Utd

Wins

38%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
75%

Both teams scored

62%
62%

Clean sheets

12%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Kuressaare

Home · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
8 Kuressaare 1–2 Levadia 1 18′ Home
8 Kuressaare 0–3 Flora 2 29′ Away
8 Kuressaare 0–1 Paide 3 61′ Away
8 Kuressaare 0–2 Kalju 4 10′ Away
8 Kuressaare 0–0 Kalju 4 –
8 Kuressaare 3–2 Tammeka 5 33′ Home
8 Kuressaare 1–3 Tammeka 5 16′ Away
8 Kuressaare 3–2 Harju JK 6 8′ Home
8 Kuressaare 3–2 Harju JK 6 45+2′ Home
8 Kuressaare 0–1 Vaprus 7 57′ Away
8 Kuressaare 2–2 Vaprus 7 24′ Away
8 · Kuressaare
8 Kuressaare 2–1 Nõmme Utd 9 —
8 Kuressaare 0–0 Trans 10 –
8 Kuressaare 3–1 Trans 10 41′ Home

Nõmme Utd

Away · Meistriliiga
HomeAway1st goal
1 Levadia 1–1 Nõmme Utd 9 59′ Away
1 Levadia 5–0 Nõmme Utd 9 22′ Home
2 Flora 3–0 Nõmme Utd 9 6′ Home
2 Flora 1–2 Nõmme Utd 9 —
3 Paide 3–1 Nõmme Utd 9 14′ Home
3 Paide 4–1 Nõmme Utd 9 27′ Home
4 Kalju 7–1 Nõmme Utd 9 —
4 Kalju 1–2 Nõmme Utd 9 19′ Away
5 Tammeka 3–1 Nõmme Utd 9 19′ Home
6 Harju JK 1–3 Nõmme Utd 9 34′ Home
7 Vaprus 2–3 Nõmme Utd 9 10′ Away
7 Vaprus 1–0 Nõmme Utd 9 51′ Home
8 Kuressaare 2–1 Nõmme Utd 9 —
9 · Nõmme Utd
10 Trans 1–2 Nõmme Utd 9 44′ Away
Kuressaare Home Nõmme Utd Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Meistriliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Kuressaare

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome14 matchesAway15 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match1.290.731.00
Draws21.4%13.3%17.2%
Goals scored / match1.290.871.07
Goals conceded / match1.571.801.69
Total goals / match2.862.672.76
Failed to score42.9%53.3%48.3%
Under 2.5 goals35.7%46.7%41.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 5 of 6 83%
Scores first → wins 5 of 6 83%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 6 0%

Scoring order known: 14/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nõmme Utd

29 matches
Goals & resultsHome15 matchesAway14 matchesOverall29 matches
Points / match0.801.140.97
Draws0.0%7.1%3.4%
Goals scored / match1.931.291.62
Goals conceded / match2.202.502.34
Total goals / match4.133.793.97
Failed to score13.3%21.4%17.2%
Under 2.5 goals6.7%14.3%10.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 13/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelKuressaareDraw Nõmme UtdHow it works
Strength (Elo) 48.8% 12.2% 38.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 32.3% 24.4% 42.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.35–1.59 Model expected goals
55.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.4% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.3%
1-29.0%
0-18.4%
2-17.7%
1-07.1%
0-26.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureKuressaareNõmme Utd How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1431 1408 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 6 -52 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1501 1506 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Kuressaare 0.600.45 0.551.05
Nõmme Utd 0.500.85 1.051.25

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Kuressaare 10%21%10%21%38%
Nõmme Utd 0%7%3%34%55%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 Kuressaare at home, 10 matches
1.50 Nõmme Utd away, 10 matches
50d Days of rest for Kuressaare
49d Days of rest for Nõmme Utd
— Manager of Kuressaare
— Manager of Nõmme Utd
0 Matches for Kuressaare in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Nõmme Utd in the last 14 days
43 Points for Kuressaare behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone
44 Points for Nõmme Utd behind the leaders, and -6 above the relegation zone
3.14 League goals per match
12.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kuressaare, the right bar represents Nõmme Utd.

On the ball

20 matches
6.0
corners
4.35
6.31
fouls
8.23
1.57
yellow cards
2.08

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Kuressaare DLLWDLWWLD 1.20 1.20–1.60 1D
Nõmme Utd LLWLLLLLLW 0.60 1.00–2.30 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Kuressaare6 77 02
Nõmme Utd4 511 21
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Kuressaare

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nõmme Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.