Erzurumspor

Erzurumspor

VS Scheduled Sunday 20 Sep 202615:00

Turkey 26/27 Süper Lig · Matchday 6

Samsunspor

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-11	26/27	Besiktas3–0Erzurumspor
2026-09-05	26/27	Erzurumspor1–0Konyaspor
2026-08-28	26/27	Genclerbirligi1–1Erzurumspor
2026-08-21	26/27	Erzurumspor0–4Galatasaray
2026-08-16	26/27	Amedspor3–0Erzurumspor

Samsunspor

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Erzurum BB1–0Samsunspor
2026-09-13	26/27	Samsunspor1–5Corum
2026-09-12	26/27	Samsunspor1–5Corum
2026-09-06	26/27	Kocaelispor1–0Samsunspor
2026-08-30	26/27	Samsunspor0–2Fenerbahce
2026-08-22	26/27	Rizespor0–2Samsunspor
2026-08-17	26/27	Samsunspor3–3Goztep
2026-05-16	25/26	Samsunspor3–0Goztep

Erzurumspor Samsunspor

Wins

20%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

50%

Both teams scored

20%

38%

Clean sheets

20%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Erzurumspor

Home · Süper Lig

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Erzurumspor		Amedspor	1
17	Erzurumspor	0–4	Galatasaray	2	—
17	Erzurumspor		Besiktas	3
17	Erzurumspor		Kasimpasa	4
17	Erzurumspor		Rizespor	5
17	Erzurumspor		Alanyaspor	6
17	Erzurumspor		Kocaelispor	7
17	Erzurumspor		Fenerbahce	8
17	Erzurumspor		Trabzonspor	9
17	Erzurumspor		Corum	10
17	Erzurumspor		Gaziantep	11
17	Erzurumspor		Genclerbirligi	12
17	Erzurumspor	1–0	Konyaspor	13	—
17	Erzurumspor		Buyuksehyr	14
17	Erzurumspor		Erzurum BB	15
17	Erzurumspor		Goztep	16
17 · Erzurumspor
17	Erzurumspor		Samsunspor	18
17	Erzurumspor		Eyupspor	19

Samsunspor

Away · Süper Lig

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Amedspor		Samsunspor	18
2	Galatasaray		Samsunspor	18
3	Besiktas		Samsunspor	18
4	Kasimpasa		Samsunspor	18
5	Rizespor	0–2	Samsunspor	18	33′ Away
6	Alanyaspor		Samsunspor	18
7	Kocaelispor	1–0	Samsunspor	18	26′ Home
8	Fenerbahce		Samsunspor	18
9	Trabzonspor		Samsunspor	18
10	Corum		Samsunspor	18
11	Gaziantep		Samsunspor	18
12	Genclerbirligi		Samsunspor	18
13	Konyaspor		Samsunspor	18
14	Buyuksehyr		Samsunspor	18
15	Erzurum BB	1–0	Samsunspor	18	45′ Home
16	Goztep		Samsunspor	18
17	Erzurumspor		Samsunspor	18
18 · Samsunspor
19	Eyupspor		Samsunspor	18

Erzurumspor Home Samsunspor Away

Wins

50%

33%

Over 1.5

50%

33%

Over 2.5

50%

0%

Over 3.5

50%

0%

Both teams scored

0%

Clean sheets

50%

33%

Scores first

50%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Süper Lig · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Erzurumspor

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.33	0.80
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	0.33	0.40
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.33	2.20
Total goals / match	2.50	2.67	2.60
Failed to score	50.0%	66.7%	60.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	33.3%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Samsunspor

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.25	1.00	0.57
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	1.25	0.67	1.00
Goals conceded / match	3.75	0.67	2.43
Total goals / match	5.00	1.33	3.43
Failed to score	25.0%	66.7%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	100.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Erzurumspor	Draw	Samsunspor	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.6%	24.2%	33.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	8.6%	14.6%	71.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.76–2.60 Model expected goals

60.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

46.7% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.7%

0-310.2%

0-19.0%

1-28.9%

1-37.7%

1-16.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Erzurumspor	Samsunspor	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1476	1488	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-10	-50	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1555	1540	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	41.8%	47.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	46.4%	49.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	621	1005	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	15.4%	36.5%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	46.7%	64.0%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Erzurumspor	0.25	0.25	0.75	1.25
Samsunspor	0.63	0.84	0.95	0.79

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Erzurumspor	0%	20%	20%	40%	20%
Samsunspor	12%	12%	22%	18%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Erzurumspor at home, 2 matches

1.00 Samsunspor away, 10 matches

9d Days of rest for Erzurumspor

7d Days of rest for Samsunspor

— Manager of Erzurumspor

— Manager of Samsunspor

1 Matches for Erzurumspor in the last 14 days

3 Matches for Samsunspor in the last 14 days

15 Points for Erzurumspor behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Samsunspor behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.82 League goals per match

24.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Erzurumspor, the right bar represents Samsunspor.

On the ball

20 matches

9.5

shots

13.12

3.25

shots on target

4.35

34.2%

accuracy

33.2%

3.75

corners

4.89

11.75

fouls

13.42

1.25

yellow cards

1.94

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Erzurumspor	LWDLL	0.80	0.40–2.20	1L
Samsunspor	LLLLLWDWLW	1.00	1.40–2.10	5L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Erzurumspor	1	2	1	0	0
Samsunspor	6	5	8	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Erzurumspor

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Samsunspor

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.