Equidad

Equidad

VS Scheduled Friday 2 Oct 202602:00

Colombia 2026 Primera A · Matchday 17

Once Caldas

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

EquidadWins: 0
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Once CaldasWins: 1

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-21	2026	Once Caldas2–1Equidad

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Pereira0–0Equidad
2026-09-20	2026	Bucaramanga2–0Equidad
2026-09-17	2026	Equidad2–3Nac Medellín
2026-09-12	2026	Equidad3–2Llaneros
2026-09-06	2026	Equidad2–2Águilas D
2026-08-31	2026	Millonarios0–0Equidad
2026-08-28	2026	Equidad1–1Pasto
2026-08-24	2026	Cali2–2Equidad

Once Caldas

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Once Caldas1–3Bucaramanga
2026-09-20	2026	Pasto1–0Once Caldas
2026-09-17	2026	Once Caldas1–0Dep. Tolima
2026-09-14	2026	Once Caldas1–2Cali
2026-09-05	2026	Boyacá Chicó2–0Once Caldas
2026-09-02	2026	Fortaleza1–2Once Caldas
2026-08-24	2026	Junior Barranquilla1–1Once Caldas
2026-08-10	2026	Jaguares1–1Once Caldas

Equidad Once Caldas

Wins

12%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Equidad

Home · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Equidad	1–2	Nac Medellín	1	—
12	Equidad	2–3	Nac Medellín	1	20′ Home
12	Equidad	0–2	América	2	52′ Away
12	Equidad	0–0	Dep. Tolima	3	–
12	Equidad	0–1	Junior Barranquilla	4	76′ Away
12	Equidad		Santa Fe	5
12	Equidad	3–2	Cali	6	25′ Away
12	Equidad	3–2	Millonarios	7	54′ Home
12	Equidad		Once Caldas	8
12	Equidad		Ind Medellín	9
12	Equidad	0–0	Bucaramanga	10	–
12	Equidad	1–1	Pasto	11	9′ Away
12 · Equidad
12	Equidad	2–2	Águilas D	13	6′ Away
12	Equidad	3–2	Llaneros	14	—
12	Equidad		Fortaleza	15
12	Equidad	2–1	Cúcuta	16	19′ Away
12	Equidad	2–1	Alianza	17	38′ Away
12	Equidad	4–0	Boyacá Chicó	18	8′ Home
12	Equidad	1–0	Jaguares	19	55′ Home
12	Equidad	2–2	Pereira	20	45+2′ Away

Once Caldas

Away · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nac Medellín		Once Caldas	8
2	América	1–1	Once Caldas	8	9′ Away
3	Dep. Tolima	2–1	Once Caldas	8	60′ Home
4	Junior Barranquilla	2–2	Once Caldas	8	—
4	Junior Barranquilla	1–1	Once Caldas	8	79′ Away
5	Santa Fe	2–2	Once Caldas	8	—
6	Cali	0–2	Once Caldas	8	—
7	Millonarios		Once Caldas	8
8 · Once Caldas
9	Ind Medellín		Once Caldas	8
10	Bucaramanga	1–1	Once Caldas	8	27′ Home
11	Pasto	1–0	Once Caldas	8	49′ Home
12	Equidad		Once Caldas	8
13	Águilas D	2–2	Once Caldas	8	34′ Away
14	Llaneros	1–1	Once Caldas	8	7′ Away
15	Fortaleza	1–2	Once Caldas	8	27′ Home
16	Cúcuta	1–2	Once Caldas	8	35′ Home
17	Alianza	1–1	Once Caldas	8	58′ Home
18	Boyacá Chicó	2–0	Once Caldas	8	2′ Home
19	Jaguares	1–1	Once Caldas	8	70′ Away
20	Pereira	0–0	Once Caldas	8	–

Equidad Home Once Caldas Away

Wins

44%

19%

Over 1.5

75%

88%

Over 2.5

62%

38%

Over 3.5

44%

19%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Equidad

33 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away17 matches	Overall33 matches
Points / match	1.62	0.82	1.21
Draws	31.2%	47.1%	39.4%
Goals scored / match	1.62	0.88	1.24
Goals conceded / match	1.31	1.82	1.58
Total goals / match	2.94	2.71	2.82
Failed to score	25.0%	35.3%	30.3%
Under 2.5 goals	37.5%	47.1%	42.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Once Caldas

32 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away16 matches	Overall32 matches
Points / match	1.69	1.19	1.44
Draws	18.8%	62.5%	40.6%
Goals scored / match	1.75	1.19	1.47
Goals conceded / match	1.31	1.19	1.25
Total goals / match	3.06	2.38	2.72
Failed to score	12.5%	18.8%	15.6%
Under 2.5 goals	43.8%	62.5%	53.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 15/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Equidad	Draw	Once Caldas	How it works
Strength (Elo)	38.5%	30.2%	31.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.0%	21.7%	56.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.06–1.96 Model expected goals

56.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.1% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.1%

1-29.9%

0-19.6%

0-29.4%

1-36.5%

0-36.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Equidad	Once Caldas	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1464	1504	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-10	-49	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1506	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Equidad	0.60	0.60	0.75	0.95
Once Caldas	0.45	0.75	0.60	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Equidad	15%	6%	21%	24%	33%
Once Caldas	3%	16%	34%	22%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Equidad at home, 10 matches

1.00 Once Caldas away, 10 matches

6d Days of rest for Equidad

6d Days of rest for Once Caldas

— Manager of Equidad

— Manager of Once Caldas

2 Matches for Equidad in the last 14 days

2 Matches for Once Caldas in the last 14 days

37 Points for Equidad behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

31 Points for Once Caldas behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Equidad, the right bar represents Once Caldas.

On the ball

20 matches

5.0

corners

5.41

10.7

fouls

10.0

3.19

yellow cards

2.47

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Equidad	DLLWDDDDDL	0.90	1.20–1.50	1D
Once Caldas	LLWLLWDDLD	0.90	0.90–1.40	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Equidad	1	13	6	1	0
Once Caldas	4	10	6	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Equidad

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Once Caldas

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.