Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- PastoWins
- 1
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- FortalezaWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 3.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 |
2026
|
Fortaleza1–2Pasto |
Recent matches
Pasto
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
2026
|
Boyacá Chicó3–0Pasto |
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Pasto1–0Once Caldas |
| 2026-09-15 |
2026
|
América0–1Pasto |
| 2026-09-06 |
2026
|
Cúcuta2–2Pasto |
| 2026-08-31 |
2026
|
Pasto1–2Pereira |
| 2026-08-28 |
2026
|
Equidad1–1Pasto |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Pasto0–1Llaneros |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
Pasto0–2Cali |
Fortaleza
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 |
2026
|
Fortaleza2–2Dep. Tolima |
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Fortaleza1–4Junior Barranquilla |
| 2026-09-12 |
2026
|
Jaguares2–2Fortaleza |
| 2026-09-06 |
2026
|
Santa Fe2–2Fortaleza |
| 2026-09-02 |
2026
|
Fortaleza1–2Once Caldas |
| 2026-08-26 |
2026
|
Boyacá Chicó0–0Fortaleza |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Fortaleza1–2Nac Medellín |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
Fortaleza2–0Cúcuta |
Pasto
Fortaleza
Wins
25%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
75%
Both teams scored
38%
75%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Pasto
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pasto | 1–2 | Nac Medellín | 1 | 22′ Away |
| 11 | Pasto | 2–0 | América | 2 | 3′ Home |
| 11 | Pasto | 1–0 | Dep. Tolima | 3 | 34′ Home |
| 11 | Pasto | 0–2 | Dep. Tolima | 3 | 30′ Away |
| 11 | Pasto | Junior Barranquilla | 4 | ||
| 11 | Pasto | 1–2 | Santa Fe | 5 | 64′ Away |
| 11 | Pasto | 0–2 | Cali | 6 | 33′ Away |
| 11 | Pasto | 2–1 | Millonarios | 7 | 4′ Home |
| 11 | Pasto | 1–0 | Once Caldas | 8 | 49′ Home |
| 11 | Pasto | 1–0 | Ind Medellín | 9 | 52′ Home |
| 11 | Pasto | 0–0 | Bucaramanga | 10 | – |
| 11 · Pasto | |||||
| 11 | Pasto | 1–1 | Equidad | 12 | — |
| 11 | Pasto | 1–2 | Águilas D | 13 | 10′ Home |
| 11 | Pasto | 0–1 | Llaneros | 14 | 62′ Away |
| 11 | Pasto | Fortaleza | 15 | ||
| 11 | Pasto | 3–2 | Cúcuta | 16 | 30′ Home |
| 11 | Pasto | Alianza | 17 | ||
| 11 | Pasto | 2–0 | Boyacá Chicó | 18 | 35′ Home |
| 11 | Pasto | Jaguares | 19 | ||
| 11 | Pasto | 1–2 | Pereira | 20 | 5′ Away |
Fortaleza
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nac Medellín | 4–1 | Fortaleza | 15 | 34′ Home |
| 2 | América | Fortaleza | 15 | ||
| 3 | Dep. Tolima | 2–0 | Fortaleza | 15 | 33′ Home |
| 4 | Junior Barranquilla | 2–1 | Fortaleza | 15 | 14′ Home |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 2–2 | Fortaleza | 15 | — |
| 6 | Cali | 1–1 | Fortaleza | 15 | 4′ Home |
| 7 | Millonarios | 2–2 | Fortaleza | 15 | 13′ Away |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 4–2 | Fortaleza | 15 | 10′ Home |
| 9 | Ind Medellín | 1–0 | Fortaleza | 15 | 86′ Home |
| 10 | Bucaramanga | Fortaleza | 15 | ||
| 11 | Pasto | Fortaleza | 15 | ||
| 12 | Equidad | Fortaleza | 15 | ||
| 13 | Águilas D | Fortaleza | 15 | ||
| 14 | Llaneros | 3–1 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3′ Away |
| 15 · Fortaleza | |||||
| 16 | Cúcuta | 1–1 | Fortaleza | 15 | 12′ Home |
| 17 | Alianza | 1–1 | Fortaleza | 15 | 20′ Away |
| 18 | Boyacá Chicó | 0–0 | Fortaleza | 15 | – |
| 19 | Jaguares | 2–2 | Fortaleza | 15 | 10′ Away |
| 20 | Pereira | 0–0 | Fortaleza | 15 | – |
Pasto Home
Fortaleza Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Primera A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Pasto
| Goals & results | Home16 matches | Away16 matches | Overall32 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.44 | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Draws | 12.5% | 25.0% | 18.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.06 | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.06 | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Total goals / match | 2.12 | 3.12 | 2.62 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 31.2% | 28.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62.5% | 37.5% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 15/16 home.Scoring order known: 31/32 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Fortaleza
| Goals & results | Home16 matches | Away14 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.44 | 0.57 | 1.03 |
| Draws | 31.2% | 57.1% | 43.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.31 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.25 | 1.79 | 1.50 |
| Total goals / match | 2.56 | 2.79 | 2.67 |
| Failed to score | 6.2% | 28.6% | 16.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43.8% | 50.0% | 46.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 46 of 14 | 50%43% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 45 of 14 | 0%36% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 81 of 13 | 0%8% |
Scoring order known: 14/14 away.Scoring order known: 30/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Pasto | Draw | Fortaleza | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 44.1% | 28.6% | 27.3% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 21.6% | 23.4% | 54.0% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.02–1.77
Model expected goals
51.6%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
52.2%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 11.1%
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
0-110.9%
1-29.8%
0-29.7%
1-06.3%
0-06.2%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Pasto | Fortaleza | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1451 | 1444 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -49 | -34 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1503 | 1502 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasto | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.75 | 0.85 |
| Fortaleza | 0.55 | 0.60 | 0.75 | 0.80 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasto | 6% | 22% | 22% | 28% | 22% |
| Fortaleza | 10% | 7% | 30% | 27% | 27% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.67
Pasto at home, 9 matches
0.56
Fortaleza away, 9 matches
8d
Days of rest for Pasto
6d
Days of rest for Fortaleza
—
Manager of Pasto
—
Manager of Fortaleza
2
Matches for Pasto in the last 14 days
2
Matches for Fortaleza in the last 14 days
35
Points for Pasto behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
46
Points for Fortaleza behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.57
League goals per match
30.6%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Pasto, the right bar represents Fortaleza.
On the ball
4.37
3.65
corners
11.45
12.05
fouls
3.6
2.5
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasto | LWWDLDLLLL | 0.80 | 0.70–1.50 | 1L |
| Fortaleza | DLDDLDLWLD | 0.80 | 1.20–1.70 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasto | 3 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Fortaleza | 6 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Pasto
No absences reported.
Fortaleza
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.