Nac Medellín

Nac Medellín

VS Scheduled Thursday 8 Oct 202602:20

Colombia 2026 Primera A · Matchday 9

Dep. Tolima

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings

Nac MedellínWins: 2
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Dep. TolimaWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 33.3%
Both teams scored: 33.3%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-24	2026	Nac Medellín3–1Dep. Tolima
2026-05-17	2026	Dep. Tolima0–1Nac Medellín
2026-03-02	2026	Dep. Tolima1–0Nac Medellín

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-10-01	2026	Nac Medellín3–1Junior Barranquilla
2026-09-25	2026	Nac Medellín1–1Millonarios
2026-09-21	2026	Llaneros2–0Nac Medellín
2026-09-17	2026	Equidad2–3Nac Medellín
2026-09-13	2026	Nac Medellín2–0Águilas D
2026-08-30	2026	Alianza1–5Nac Medellín
2026-08-27	2026	Nac Medellín2–1Cali
2026-08-23	2026	Fortaleza1–2Nac Medellín

Dep. Tolima

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-28	2026	Fortaleza2–2Dep. Tolima
2026-09-21	2026	Dep. Tolima1–1América
2026-09-17	2026	Once Caldas1–0Dep. Tolima
2026-09-12	2026	Santa Fe1–0Dep. Tolima
2026-09-08	2026	Llaneros1–2Dep. Tolima
2026-09-01	2026	Dep. Tolima2–1Cúcuta
2026-08-22	2026	Dep. Tolima0–0Bucaramanga
2026-08-09	2026	Dep. Tolima2–1Equidad

Nac Medellín Dep. Tolima

Wins

75%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Nac Medellín

Home · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Nac Medellín
1	Nac Medellín	2–1	América	2	13′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	3–1	Dep. Tolima	3	53′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	1–0	Junior Barranquilla	4	56′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	3–1	Junior Barranquilla	4	—
1	Nac Medellín		Santa Fe	5
1	Nac Medellín	2–1	Cali	6	18′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	1–1	Millonarios	7	39′ Away
1	Nac Medellín		Once Caldas	8
1	Nac Medellín		Ind Medellín	9
1	Nac Medellín	2–0	Bucaramanga	10	57′ Home
1	Nac Medellín		Pasto	11
1	Nac Medellín	3–0	Equidad	12	31′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	7–1	Equidad	12	5′ Away
1	Nac Medellín	2–0	Águilas D	13	68′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	2–0	Llaneros	14	2′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	4–1	Fortaleza	15	34′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	0–0	Cúcuta	16	–
1	Nac Medellín	3–0	Alianza	17	9′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	4–0	Boyacá Chicó	18	41′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	2–1	Jaguares	19	16′ Home
1	Nac Medellín		Pereira	20

Dep. Tolima

Away · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nac Medellín	3–1	Dep. Tolima	3	53′ Home
2	América	1–1	Dep. Tolima	3	12′ Away
3 · Dep. Tolima
4	Junior Barranquilla	0–2	Dep. Tolima	3	8′ Away
5	Santa Fe	1–0	Dep. Tolima	3	61′ Home
6	Cali		Dep. Tolima	3
7	Millonarios	2–0	Dep. Tolima	3	42′ Home
8	Once Caldas	1–0	Dep. Tolima	3	8′ Home
9	Ind Medellín	2–2	Dep. Tolima	3	21′ Home
10	Bucaramanga	0–0	Dep. Tolima	3	–
11	Pasto	1–0	Dep. Tolima	3	34′ Home
11	Pasto	0–2	Dep. Tolima	3	30′ Away
12	Equidad	0–0	Dep. Tolima	3	–
13	Águilas D		Dep. Tolima	3
14	Llaneros	1–2	Dep. Tolima	3	—
15	Fortaleza	2–2	Dep. Tolima	3	—
16	Cúcuta	3–2	Dep. Tolima	3	15′ Away
17	Alianza	1–2	Dep. Tolima	3	9′ Home
18	Boyacá Chicó	1–1	Dep. Tolima	3	39′ Home
19	Jaguares		Dep. Tolima	3
20	Pereira		Dep. Tolima	3

Nac Medellín Home Dep. Tolima Away

Wins

88%

25%

Over 1.5

88%

69%

Over 2.5

62%

38%

Over 3.5

31%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Nac Medellín

35 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away19 matches	Overall35 matches
Points / match	2.75	1.74	2.20
Draws	12.5%	0.0%	5.7%
Goals scored / match	2.56	1.53	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.21	0.89
Total goals / match	3.06	2.74	2.89
Failed to score	6.2%	42.1%	25.7%
Under 2.5 goals	37.5%	36.8%	37.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 15/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Dep. Tolima

34 matches

Goals & results	Home18 matches	Away16 matches	Overall34 matches
Points / match	2.06	1.12	1.62
Draws	22.2%	37.5%	29.4%
Goals scored / match	1.61	1.06	1.35
Goals conceded / match	0.83	1.19	1.00
Total goals / match	2.44	2.25	2.35
Failed to score	16.7%	37.5%	26.5%
Under 2.5 goals	55.6%	62.5%	58.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 15/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nac Medellín	Draw	Dep. Tolima	How it works
Strength (Elo)	56.2%	22.9%	21.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	45.0%	25.6%	28.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.51–1.15 Model expected goals

49.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

52.8% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.2%

1-010.6%

2-19.2%

0-18.1%

2-08.0%

0-07.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nac Medellín	Dep. Tolima	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1641	1546	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	27	-5	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1509	1515	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nac Medellín	0.80	1.20	0.70	0.30
Dep. Tolima	0.60	0.60	0.50	0.65

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nac Medellín	3%	20%	14%	37%	26%
Dep. Tolima	9%	21%	29%	18%	24%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.75 Nac Medellín at home, 8 matches

1.11 Dep. Tolima away, 9 matches

7d Days of rest for Nac Medellín

10d Days of rest for Dep. Tolima

— Manager of Nac Medellín

— Manager of Dep. Tolima

2 Matches for Nac Medellín in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Dep. Tolima in the last 14 days

0 Points for Nac Medellín behind the leaders, and 49 above the relegation zone

22 Points for Dep. Tolima behind the leaders, and 27 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nac Medellín, the right bar represents Dep. Tolima.

On the ball

20 matches

6.16

corners

5.47

12.16

fouls

10.55

2.44

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nac Medellín	WDLWWWWWLW	2.20	2.10–1.00	1W
Dep. Tolima	DDLLWWDWLW	1.50	1.30–1.20	2D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nac Medellín	5	11	4	1	0
Dep. Tolima	7	8	5	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nac Medellín

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Dep. Tolima

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.