Fortaleza

Fortaleza

VS Scheduled Friday 9 Oct 202602:10

Colombia 2026 Primera A · Matchday 14

Millonarios

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

FortalezaWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 1
MillonariosWins: 0

Goals per match: 4.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-31	2026	Millonarios2–2Fortaleza

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-28	2026	Fortaleza2–2Dep. Tolima
2026-09-20	2026	Fortaleza1–4Junior Barranquilla
2026-09-12	2026	Jaguares2–2Fortaleza
2026-09-06	2026	Santa Fe2–2Fortaleza
2026-09-02	2026	Fortaleza1–2Once Caldas
2026-08-26	2026	Boyacá Chicó0–0Fortaleza
2026-08-23	2026	Fortaleza1–2Nac Medellín
2026-08-08	2026	Fortaleza2–0Cúcuta

Millonarios

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-25	2026	Nac Medellín1–1Millonarios
2026-09-19	2026	Millonarios3–0Boyacá Chicó
2026-09-14	2026	Cúcuta1–2Millonarios
2026-09-11	2026	Millonarios1–1Cali
2026-09-07	2026	Pereira1–1Millonarios
2026-09-03	2026	Santa Fe3–2Millonarios
2026-08-31	2026	Millonarios0–0Equidad
2026-08-28	2026	Llaneros0–2Millonarios

Fortaleza Millonarios

Wins

12%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

38%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Fortaleza

Home · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Fortaleza	1–2	Nac Medellín	1	—
15	Fortaleza	1–2	América	2	24′ Away
15	Fortaleza	2–2	Dep. Tolima	3	—
15	Fortaleza	1–4	Junior Barranquilla	4	19′ Away
15	Fortaleza	1–1	Santa Fe	5	80′ Home
15	Fortaleza		Cali	6
15	Fortaleza		Millonarios	7
15	Fortaleza	1–2	Once Caldas	8	27′ Home
15	Fortaleza		Ind Medellín	9
15	Fortaleza	2–1	Bucaramanga	10	39′ Home
15	Fortaleza	1–2	Pasto	11	18′ Home
15	Fortaleza	1–1	Equidad	12	3′ Home
15	Fortaleza	2–0	Águilas D	13	—
15	Fortaleza	1–1	Llaneros	14	18′ Away
15 · Fortaleza
15	Fortaleza	2–0	Cúcuta	16	38′ Home
15	Fortaleza	1–0	Alianza	17	—
15	Fortaleza	2–1	Boyacá Chicó	18	2′ Home
15	Fortaleza	2–1	Jaguares	19	49′ Away
15	Fortaleza	0–0	Pereira	20	–

Millonarios

Away · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nac Medellín	1–1	Millonarios	7	39′ Away
2	América	3–1	Millonarios	7	26′ Home
3	Dep. Tolima		Millonarios	7
4	Junior Barranquilla	0–1	Millonarios	7	90+1′ Away
5	Santa Fe	3–2	Millonarios	7	6′ Away
6	Cali	0–0	Millonarios	7	–
7 · Millonarios
8	Once Caldas	1–4	Millonarios	7	45+3′ Away
9	Ind Medellín		Millonarios	7
10	Bucaramanga	2–1	Millonarios	7	—
11	Pasto	2–1	Millonarios	7	4′ Home
12	Equidad	3–2	Millonarios	7	54′ Home
13	Águilas D	1–1	Millonarios	7	—
14	Llaneros	0–2	Millonarios	7	29′ Away
15	Fortaleza		Millonarios	7
16	Cúcuta	1–2	Millonarios	7	58′ Away
17	Alianza	2–2	Millonarios	7	45′ Home
18	Boyacá Chicó	2–1	Millonarios	7	26′ Home
19	Jaguares	1–0	Millonarios	7	50′ Home
20	Pereira	1–1	Millonarios	7	67′ Home

Fortaleza Home Millonarios Away

Wins

38%

25%

Over 1.5

88%

81%

Over 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

12%

31%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

25%

19%

Scores first

62%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Fortaleza

30 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away14 matches	Overall30 matches
Points / match	1.44	0.57	1.03
Draws	31.2%	57.1%	43.3%
Goals scored / match	1.31	1.00	1.17
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.79	1.50
Total goals / match	2.56	2.79	2.67
Failed to score	6.2%	28.6%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	43.8%	50.0%	46.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 10	40%
Scores first → wins	5 of 10	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 5	20%

Scoring order known: 16/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Millonarios

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.93	1.06	1.48
Draws	33.3%	31.2%	32.3%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.38	1.52
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.44	1.03
Total goals / match	2.27	2.81	2.55
Failed to score	20.0%	12.5%	16.1%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	43.8%	51.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 15/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Fortaleza	Draw	Millonarios	How it works
Strength (Elo)	31.0%	30.2%	38.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	9.9%	16.9%	70.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.72–2.31 Model expected goals

55.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.5% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 12.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-212.9%

0-111.2%

0-310.0%

1-29.3%

1-18.0%

1-37.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Fortaleza	Millonarios	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1444	1560	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-34	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1504	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Fortaleza	0.55	0.60	0.75	0.80
Millonarios	0.50	1.05	0.35	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Fortaleza	10%	7%	30%	27%	27%
Millonarios	10%	13%	29%	26%	23%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.09 Fortaleza at home, 11 matches

1.45 Millonarios away, 11 matches

11d Days of rest for Fortaleza

14d Days of rest for Millonarios

— Manager of Fortaleza

— Manager of Millonarios

1 Matches for Fortaleza in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Millonarios in the last 14 days

46 Points for Fortaleza behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

31 Points for Millonarios behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Fortaleza, the right bar represents Millonarios.

On the ball

20 matches

3.65

corners

6.2

12.05

fouls

11.45

2.5

yellow cards

2.89

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Fortaleza	DLDDLDLWLD	0.80	1.20–1.70	1D
Millonarios	DWWDDLDWDW	1.70	1.50–0.80	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Fortaleza	6	6	8	0	3
Millonarios	7	10	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Fortaleza

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Millonarios

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.