Nac Medellín

Nac Medellín

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202602:15

Colombia 2026 Primera A · Matchday 14

Pasto

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

Nac MedellínWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
PastoWins: 0

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-30	2026	Pasto1–2Nac Medellín

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-10-01	2026	Nac Medellín3–1Junior Barranquilla
2026-09-25	2026	Nac Medellín1–1Millonarios
2026-09-21	2026	Llaneros2–0Nac Medellín
2026-09-17	2026	Equidad2–3Nac Medellín
2026-09-13	2026	Nac Medellín2–0Águilas D
2026-08-30	2026	Alianza1–5Nac Medellín
2026-08-27	2026	Nac Medellín2–1Cali
2026-08-23	2026	Fortaleza1–2Nac Medellín

Pasto

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Boyacá Chicó3–0Pasto
2026-09-20	2026	Pasto1–0Once Caldas
2026-09-15	2026	América0–1Pasto
2026-09-06	2026	Cúcuta2–2Pasto
2026-08-31	2026	Pasto1–2Pereira
2026-08-28	2026	Equidad1–1Pasto
2026-08-23	2026	Pasto0–1Llaneros
2026-08-09	2026	Pasto0–2Cali

Nac Medellín Pasto

Wins

75%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

38%

Both teams scored

75%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Nac Medellín

Home · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Nac Medellín
1	Nac Medellín	2–1	América	2	13′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	3–1	Dep. Tolima	3	53′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	1–0	Junior Barranquilla	4	56′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	3–1	Junior Barranquilla	4	—
1	Nac Medellín		Santa Fe	5
1	Nac Medellín	2–1	Cali	6	18′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	1–1	Millonarios	7	39′ Away
1	Nac Medellín		Once Caldas	8
1	Nac Medellín		Ind Medellín	9
1	Nac Medellín	2–0	Bucaramanga	10	57′ Home
1	Nac Medellín		Pasto	11
1	Nac Medellín	3–0	Equidad	12	31′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	7–1	Equidad	12	5′ Away
1	Nac Medellín	2–0	Águilas D	13	68′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	2–0	Llaneros	14	2′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	4–1	Fortaleza	15	34′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	0–0	Cúcuta	16	–
1	Nac Medellín	3–0	Alianza	17	9′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	4–0	Boyacá Chicó	18	41′ Home
1	Nac Medellín	2–1	Jaguares	19	16′ Home
1	Nac Medellín		Pereira	20

Pasto

Away · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nac Medellín		Pasto	11
2	América	0–1	Pasto	11	78′ Away
3	Dep. Tolima	1–0	Pasto	11	41′ Home
4	Junior Barranquilla	4–3	Pasto	11	17′ Away
5	Santa Fe		Pasto	11
6	Cali	3–0	Pasto	11	13′ Home
7	Millonarios	2–0	Pasto	11	25′ Home
8	Once Caldas	4–2	Pasto	11	7′ Home
9	Ind Medellín	3–2	Pasto	11	4′ Home
10	Bucaramanga		Pasto	11
11 · Pasto
12	Equidad	1–1	Pasto	11	9′ Away
13	Águilas D	1–2	Pasto	11	20′ Away
14	Llaneros	0–1	Pasto	11	30′ Away
15	Fortaleza	1–2	Pasto	11	18′ Home
16	Cúcuta	2–2	Pasto	11	14′ Away
17	Alianza	0–0	Pasto	11	–
18	Boyacá Chicó	3–0	Pasto	11	68′ Home
19	Jaguares	2–3	Pasto	11	33′ Away
20	Pereira	2–2	Pasto	11	35′ Home

Nac Medellín Home Pasto Away

Wins

88%

31%

Over 1.5

88%

75%

Over 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

31%

38%

Both teams scored

50%

56%

Clean sheets

50%

19%

Scores first

N/A

44%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Nac Medellín

35 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away19 matches	Overall35 matches
Points / match	2.75	1.74	2.20
Draws	12.5%	0.0%	5.7%
Goals scored / match	2.56	1.53	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.21	0.89
Total goals / match	3.06	2.74	2.89
Failed to score	6.2%	42.1%	25.7%
Under 2.5 goals	37.5%	36.8%	37.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 15/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Pasto

32 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away16 matches	Overall32 matches
Points / match	1.44	1.19	1.31
Draws	12.5%	25.0%	18.8%
Goals scored / match	1.06	1.31	1.19
Goals conceded / match	1.06	1.81	1.44
Total goals / match	2.12	3.12	2.62
Failed to score	25.0%	31.2%	28.1%
Under 2.5 goals	62.5%	37.5%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 7	57%
Scores first → wins	4 of 7	57%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 8	12%

Scoring order known: 16/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	3
16–30	5	6
31–45	3	5
46–60	2	3
61–75	1	8
76–90	8	4

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nac Medellín	Draw	Pasto	How it works
Strength (Elo)	69.8%	15.1%	15.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	61.5%	20.1%	16.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.10–0.96 Model expected goals

56.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

52.8% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 10.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-010.3%

2-19.9%

1-09.9%

1-19.5%

3-07.2%

3-16.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nac Medellín	Pasto	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1641	1451	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	27	-49	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1509	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nac Medellín	0.80	1.20	0.70	0.30
Pasto	0.60	0.40	0.75	0.85

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nac Medellín	3%	20%	14%	37%	26%
Pasto	6%	22%	22%	28%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.75 Nac Medellín at home, 8 matches

1.09 Pasto away, 11 matches

10d Days of rest for Nac Medellín

15d Days of rest for Pasto

— Manager of Nac Medellín

— Manager of Pasto

1 Matches for Nac Medellín in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Pasto in the last 14 days

0 Points for Nac Medellín behind the leaders, and 49 above the relegation zone

35 Points for Pasto behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nac Medellín, the right bar represents Pasto.

On the ball

20 matches

6.16

corners

4.37

12.16

fouls

11.45

2.44

yellow cards

3.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nac Medellín	WDLWWWWWLW	2.20	2.10–1.00	1W
Pasto	LWWDLDLLLL	0.80	0.70–1.50	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nac Medellín	5	11	4	1	0
Pasto	3	11	6	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nac Medellín

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Pasto

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.