Alianza

Alianza

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202601:30

Colombia 2026 Primera A · Matchday 14

Águilas D

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

AlianzaWins: 0
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Águilas DWins: 1

Goals per match: 1.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-27	2026	Águilas D1–0Alianza

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Jaguares1–2Alianza
2026-09-19	2026	Alianza1–4Santa Fe
2026-09-16	2026	Boyacá Chicó1–2Alianza
2026-09-13	2026	Alianza1–0Junior Barranquilla
2026-09-03	2026	América3–0Alianza
2026-08-30	2026	Alianza1–5Nac Medellín
2026-08-26	2026	Cúcuta1–0Alianza
2026-08-22	2026	Alianza0–0Pereira

Águilas D

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-28	2026	Cali2–0Águilas D
2026-09-24	2026	América1–0Águilas D
2026-09-18	2026	Águilas D2–2Pereira
2026-09-13	2026	Nac Medellín2–0Águilas D
2026-09-06	2026	Equidad2–2Águilas D
2026-08-30	2026	Águilas D2–2Boyacá Chicó
2026-08-22	2026	Águilas D1–1Millonarios
2026-08-19	2026	Águilas D1–1Llaneros

Alianza Águilas D

Wins

38%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

38%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Alianza

Home · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Alianza	1–5	Nac Medellín	1	5′ Away
17	Alianza	0–3	América	2	19′ Away
17	Alianza	1–2	Dep. Tolima	3	9′ Home
17	Alianza	1–0	Junior Barranquilla	4	4′ Home
17	Alianza	1–4	Santa Fe	5	29′ Away
17	Alianza	1–0	Cali	6	40′ Home
17	Alianza	2–2	Millonarios	7	45′ Home
17	Alianza	1–1	Once Caldas	8	58′ Home
17	Alianza	0–1	Ind Medellín	9	41′ Away
17	Alianza	2–3	Bucaramanga	10	5′ Away
17	Alianza	0–0	Pasto	11	–
17	Alianza		Equidad	12
17	Alianza		Águilas D	13
17	Alianza		Llaneros	14
17	Alianza	1–1	Fortaleza	15	20′ Away
17	Alianza	1–1	Cúcuta	16	14′ Home
17 · Alianza
17	Alianza	1–1	Boyacá Chicó	18	47′ Home
17	Alianza	1–0	Jaguares	19	9′ Home
17	Alianza	0–0	Pereira	20	–

Águilas D

Away · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nac Medellín	2–0	Águilas D	13	68′ Home
2	América	1–0	Águilas D	13	27′ Home
3	Dep. Tolima	4–1	Águilas D	13	27′ Away
4	Junior Barranquilla		Águilas D	13
5	Santa Fe	1–1	Águilas D	13	18′ Away
6	Cali	2–0	Águilas D	13	20′ Home
7	Millonarios	1–0	Águilas D	13	56′ Home
8	Once Caldas		Águilas D	13
9	Ind Medellín	1–2	Águilas D	13	20′ Away
10	Bucaramanga		Águilas D	13
11	Pasto	1–2	Águilas D	13	10′ Home
12	Equidad	2–2	Águilas D	13	6′ Away
13 · Águilas D
14	Llaneros	1–1	Águilas D	13	—
15	Fortaleza	2–0	Águilas D	13	—
16	Cúcuta		Águilas D	13
17	Alianza		Águilas D	13
18	Boyacá Chicó	0–1	Águilas D	13	90′ Away
19	Jaguares	1–1	Águilas D	13	63′ Away
20	Pereira	0–1	Águilas D	13	53′ Away

Alianza Home Águilas D Away

Wins

19%

29%

Over 1.5

62%

71%

Over 2.5

38%

29%

Over 3.5

25%

14%

Both teams scored

56%

50%

Clean sheets

31%

14%

Scores first

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Alianza

30 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away14 matches	Overall30 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.86	0.93
Draws	43.8%	21.4%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	0.88	0.71	0.80
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.71	1.60
Total goals / match	2.38	2.43	2.40
Failed to score	25.0%	57.1%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	62.5%	50.0%	56.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 8	50%
Scores first → wins	3 of 8	38%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 6	0%

Scoring order known: 16/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	4	2
16–30	1	6
31–45	3	5
46–60	4	3
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	7

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Águilas D

29 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away14 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.40	1.14	1.28
Draws	40.0%	28.6%	34.5%
Goals scored / match	1.33	0.86	1.10
Goals conceded / match	1.40	1.36	1.38
Total goals / match	2.73	2.21	2.48
Failed to score	20.0%	35.7%	27.6%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	71.4%	51.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 7	29%
Scores first → wins	3 of 7	43%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 7	14%

Scoring order known: 14/14 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Alianza	Draw	Águilas D	How it works
Strength (Elo)	37.5%	30.4%	32.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	23.0%	25.8%	50.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.93–1.53 Model expected goals

44.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.2% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.0%

1-112.2%

0-210.0%

1-29.3%

0-08.5%

1-07.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Alianza	Águilas D	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1422	1472	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-26	-9	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1506	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Alianza	0.65	0.30	0.70	0.75
Águilas D	0.30	0.80	0.60	0.90

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Alianza	10%	23%	23%	23%	20%
Águilas D	3%	21%	28%	28%	21%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.08 Alianza at home, 12 matches

1.10 Águilas D away, 10 matches

13d Days of rest for Alianza

12d Days of rest for Águilas D

— Manager of Alianza

— Manager of Águilas D

1 Matches for Alianza in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Águilas D in the last 14 days

49 Points for Alianza behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

40 Points for Águilas D behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Alianza, the right bar represents Águilas D.

On the ball

20 matches

4.21

corners

4.33

12.15

fouls

9.9

3.06

yellow cards

2.82

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Alianza	WLWWLLLDLL	1.00	1.00–2.00	1W
Águilas D	LLDLDDDDWW	1.10	1.20–1.50	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Alianza	7	7	6	0	2
Águilas D	3	10	7	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Alianza

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Águilas D

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.