Fortaleza

Fortaleza

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202619:00

Colombia 2026 Primera A · Matchday 16

Cali

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

FortalezaWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 1
CaliWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-01	2026	Cali1–1Fortaleza

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-28	2026	Fortaleza2–2Dep. Tolima
2026-09-20	2026	Fortaleza1–4Junior Barranquilla
2026-09-12	2026	Jaguares2–2Fortaleza
2026-09-06	2026	Santa Fe2–2Fortaleza
2026-09-02	2026	Fortaleza1–2Once Caldas
2026-08-26	2026	Boyacá Chicó0–0Fortaleza
2026-08-23	2026	Fortaleza1–2Nac Medellín
2026-08-08	2026	Fortaleza2–0Cúcuta

Cali

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-28	2026	Cali2–0Águilas D
2026-09-23	2026	Santa Fe0–1Cali
2026-09-20	2026	Cali3–0Cúcuta
2026-09-14	2026	Once Caldas1–2Cali
2026-09-11	2026	Millonarios1–1Cali
2026-08-31	2026	Cali1–1Bucaramanga
2026-08-27	2026	Nac Medellín2–1Cali
2026-08-24	2026	Cali2–2Equidad

Fortaleza Cali

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Fortaleza

Home · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Fortaleza	1–2	Nac Medellín	1	—
15	Fortaleza	1–2	América	2	24′ Away
15	Fortaleza	2–2	Dep. Tolima	3	—
15	Fortaleza	1–4	Junior Barranquilla	4	19′ Away
15	Fortaleza	1–1	Santa Fe	5	80′ Home
15	Fortaleza		Cali	6
15	Fortaleza		Millonarios	7
15	Fortaleza	1–2	Once Caldas	8	27′ Home
15	Fortaleza		Ind Medellín	9
15	Fortaleza	2–1	Bucaramanga	10	39′ Home
15	Fortaleza	1–2	Pasto	11	18′ Home
15	Fortaleza	1–1	Equidad	12	3′ Home
15	Fortaleza	2–0	Águilas D	13	—
15	Fortaleza	1–1	Llaneros	14	18′ Away
15 · Fortaleza
15	Fortaleza	2–0	Cúcuta	16	38′ Home
15	Fortaleza	1–0	Alianza	17	—
15	Fortaleza	2–1	Boyacá Chicó	18	2′ Home
15	Fortaleza	2–1	Jaguares	19	49′ Away
15	Fortaleza	0–0	Pereira	20	–

Cali

Away · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Nac Medellín	2–1	Cali	6	18′ Home
2	América		Cali	6
3	Dep. Tolima	1–1	Cali	6	12′ Home
4	Junior Barranquilla	1–2	Cali	6	31′ Away
5	Santa Fe	0–1	Cali	6	38′ Away
6 · Cali
7	Millonarios	1–1	Cali	6	39′ Away
8	Once Caldas	1–2	Cali	6	12′ Away
9	Ind Medellín	1–0	Cali	6	90+3′ Home
10	Bucaramanga	0–0	Cali	6	–
11	Pasto	0–2	Cali	6	33′ Away
12	Equidad	3–2	Cali	6	25′ Away
13	Águilas D	2–1	Cali	6	51′ Home
14	Llaneros		Cali	6
15	Fortaleza		Cali	6
16	Cúcuta	0–2	Cali	6	48′ Away
17	Alianza	1–0	Cali	6	40′ Home
18	Boyacá Chicó	1–0	Cali	6	47′ Home
19	Jaguares	1–0	Cali	6	70′ Home
20	Pereira		Cali	6

Fortaleza Home Cali Away

Wins

38%

33%

Over 1.5

88%

60%

Over 2.5

56%

33%

Over 3.5

12%

7%

Both teams scored

75%

47%

Clean sheets

25%

27%

Scores first

62%

47%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Fortaleza

30 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away14 matches	Overall30 matches
Points / match	1.44	0.57	1.03
Draws	31.2%	57.1%	43.3%
Goals scored / match	1.31	1.00	1.17
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.79	1.50
Total goals / match	2.56	2.79	2.67
Failed to score	6.2%	28.6%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	43.8%	50.0%	46.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 10	40%
Scores first → wins	5 of 10	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 5	20%

Scoring order known: 16/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Cali

30 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away15 matches	Overall30 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.20	1.60
Draws	40.0%	20.0%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	1.47	1.00	1.23
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.00	0.80
Total goals / match	2.07	2.00	2.03
Failed to score	13.3%	33.3%	23.3%
Under 2.5 goals	73.3%	66.7%	70.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 7	71%
Scores first → wins	5 of 7	71%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 7	0%

Scoring order known: 15/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	1
31–45	4	2
46–60	3	4
61–75	4	4
76–90	2	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Fortaleza	Draw	Cali	How it works
Strength (Elo)	30.4%	30.0%	39.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	10.8%	20.2%	67.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.61–1.93 Model expected goals

45.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

38.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 15.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-115.2%

0-214.7%

0-39.5%

1-19.3%

1-29.0%

0-07.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Fortaleza	Cali	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1444	1566	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-34	43	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Fortaleza	0.55	0.60	0.75	0.80
Cali	0.50	0.80	0.25	0.45

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Fortaleza	10%	7%	30%	27%	27%
Cali	7%	27%	37%	20%	10%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.09 Fortaleza at home, 11 matches

1.55 Cali away, 11 matches

27d Days of rest for Fortaleza

27d Days of rest for Cali

— Manager of Fortaleza

— Manager of Cali

0 Matches for Fortaleza in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Cali in the last 14 days

46 Points for Fortaleza behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

29 Points for Cali behind the leaders, and 20 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Fortaleza, the right bar represents Cali.

On the ball

20 matches

3.65

corners

4.11

12.05

fouls

12.95

2.5

yellow cards

2.89

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Fortaleza	DLDDLDLWLD	0.80	1.20–1.70	1D
Cali	WWWWDDLDWL	1.80	1.50–0.80	4W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Fortaleza	6	6	8	0	3
Cali	9	7	4	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Fortaleza

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Cali

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.