Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- Once CaldasWins
- 0
- Draws100.0% of meetings
- 1
- AlianzaWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 2.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 0.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 |
2026
|
Alianza1–1Once Caldas |
Recent matches
Once Caldas
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
2026
|
Once Caldas1–3Bucaramanga |
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Pasto1–0Once Caldas |
| 2026-09-17 |
2026
|
Once Caldas1–0Dep. Tolima |
| 2026-09-14 |
2026
|
Once Caldas1–2Cali |
| 2026-09-05 |
2026
|
Boyacá Chicó2–0Once Caldas |
| 2026-09-02 |
2026
|
Fortaleza1–2Once Caldas |
| 2026-08-24 |
2026
|
Junior Barranquilla1–1Once Caldas |
| 2026-08-10 |
2026
|
Jaguares1–1Once Caldas |
Alianza
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 |
2026
|
Jaguares1–2Alianza |
| 2026-09-19 |
2026
|
Alianza1–4Santa Fe |
| 2026-09-16 |
2026
|
Boyacá Chicó1–2Alianza |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Alianza1–0Junior Barranquilla |
| 2026-09-03 |
2026
|
América3–0Alianza |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Alianza1–5Nac Medellín |
| 2026-08-26 |
2026
|
Cúcuta1–0Alianza |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Alianza0–0Pereira |
Once Caldas
Alianza
Wins
25%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
62%
Both teams scored
62%
50%
Clean sheets
12%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Once Caldas
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Once Caldas | 1–0 | Nac Medellín | 1 | 46′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 0–1 | América | 2 | 71′ Away |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 1–0 | Dep. Tolima | 3 | 8′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 2–1 | Junior Barranquilla | 4 | 6′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 0–1 | Junior Barranquilla | 4 | 43′ Away |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 1–1 | Santa Fe | 5 | 78′ Away |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 1–2 | Cali | 6 | 12′ Away |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 1–4 | Millonarios | 7 | 45+3′ Away |
| 8 · Once Caldas | |||||
| 8 | Once Caldas | 1–1 | Ind Medellín | 9 | 80′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 1–3 | Bucaramanga | 10 | 2′ Away |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 4–2 | Pasto | 11 | 7′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 2–1 | Equidad | 12 | 41′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Águilas D | 13 | ||
| 8 | Once Caldas | Llaneros | 14 | ||
| 8 | Once Caldas | 4–2 | Fortaleza | 15 | 10′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 5–1 | Cúcuta | 16 | 2′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Alianza | 17 | ||
| 8 | Once Caldas | 3–0 | Boyacá Chicó | 18 | 38′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 1–1 | Jaguares | 19 | 16′ Home |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Pereira | 20 | ||
Alianza
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nac Medellín | 3–0 | Alianza | 17 | 9′ Home |
| 2 | América | 3–0 | Alianza | 17 | 29′ Home |
| 3 | Dep. Tolima | 2–0 | Alianza | 17 | 58′ Home |
| 4 | Junior Barranquilla | 1–1 | Alianza | 17 | 32′ Home |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 1–1 | Alianza | 17 | 31′ Home |
| 6 | Cali | Alianza | 17 | ||
| 7 | Millonarios | Alianza | 17 | ||
| 8 | Once Caldas | Alianza | 17 | ||
| 9 | Ind Medellín | Alianza | 17 | ||
| 10 | Bucaramanga | 5–0 | Alianza | 17 | 34′ Home |
| 11 | Pasto | Alianza | 17 | ||
| 12 | Equidad | 2–1 | Alianza | 17 | 38′ Away |
| 13 | Águilas D | 1–0 | Alianza | 17 | 70′ Home |
| 14 | Llaneros | 0–0 | Alianza | 17 | – |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 1–0 | Alianza | 17 | — |
| 16 | Cúcuta | 1–0 | Alianza | 17 | 63′ Home |
| 17 · Alianza | |||||
| 18 | Boyacá Chicó | 1–2 | Alianza | 17 | 10′ Away |
| 19 | Jaguares | 1–2 | Alianza | 17 | 15′ Home |
| 20 | Pereira | 2–3 | Alianza | 17 | 13′ Away |
Once Caldas Home
Alianza Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Primera A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Once Caldas
| Goals & results | Home16 matches | Away16 matches | Overall32 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.69 | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Draws | 18.8% | 62.5% | 40.6% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.75 | 1.19 | 1.47 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.31 | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Total goals / match | 3.06 | 2.38 | 2.72 |
| Failed to score | 12.5% | 18.8% | 15.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43.8% | 62.5% | 53.1% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 6 of 10— | 60%— |
| Scores first → wins | 8 of 10— | 80%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 6— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 16/16 home.Scoring order known: 31/32 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 7 | 3 |
| 16–30 | 2 | 3 |
| 31–45 | 4 | 3 |
| 46–60 | 4 | 4 |
| 61–75 | 5 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 6 | 6 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Alianza
| Goals & results | Home16 matches | Away14 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Draws | 43.8% | 21.4% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.88 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.50 | 1.71 | 1.60 |
| Total goals / match | 2.38 | 2.43 | 2.40 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 57.1% | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62.5% | 50.0% | 56.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 3 of 37 of 11 | 100%64% |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 35 of 11 | 67%46% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 101 of 16 | 10%6% |
Scoring order known: 14/14 away.Scoring order known: 30/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Once Caldas | Draw | Alianza | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 54.3% | 23.9% | 21.8% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 33.8% | 27.8% | 38.1% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.14–1.23
Model expected goals
42.0%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.0%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 13.1%
Most likely scores
1-113.1%
0-111.5%
1-010.6%
0-09.3%
1-28.1%
2-17.5%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Once Caldas | Alianza | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1504 | 1422 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -49 | -26 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1503 | 1499 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 0.45 | 0.75 | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| Alianza | 0.65 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 3% | 16% | 34% | 22% | 25% |
| Alianza | 10% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 20% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.30
Once Caldas at home, 10 matches
1.25
Alianza away, 8 matches
32d
Days of rest for Once Caldas
31d
Days of rest for Alianza
—
Manager of Once Caldas
—
Manager of Alianza
0
Matches for Once Caldas in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Alianza in the last 14 days
31
Points for Once Caldas behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone
49
Points for Alianza behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.57
League goals per match
30.6%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Once Caldas, the right bar represents Alianza.
On the ball
5.41
4.21
corners
10.0
12.15
fouls
2.47
3.06
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | LLWLLWDDLD | 0.90 | 0.90–1.40 | 2L |
| Alianza | WLWWLLLDLL | 1.00 | 1.00–2.00 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Alianza | 7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Once Caldas
No absences reported.
Alianza
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.