Bucaramanga

Bucaramanga

VS Scheduled Tuesday 3 Nov 202601:15

Colombia 2026 Primera A · Matchday 17

Nac Medellín

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

BucaramangaWins: 0
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Nac MedellínWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-21	2026	Nac Medellín2–0Bucaramanga

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Once Caldas1–3Bucaramanga
2026-09-20	2026	Bucaramanga2–0Equidad
2026-09-18	2026	Bucaramanga2–2Ind Medellín
2026-09-13	2026	Pereira1–3Bucaramanga
2026-08-31	2026	Cali1–1Bucaramanga
2026-08-22	2026	Dep. Tolima0–0Bucaramanga
2026-08-09	2026	Alianza2–3Bucaramanga
2026-08-04	2026	Bucaramanga1–1Cúcuta

Nac Medellín

Date	Season	Match
2026-10-01	2026	Nac Medellín3–1Junior Barranquilla
2026-09-25	2026	Nac Medellín1–1Millonarios
2026-09-21	2026	Llaneros2–0Nac Medellín
2026-09-17	2026	Equidad2–3Nac Medellín
2026-09-13	2026	Nac Medellín2–0Águilas D
2026-08-30	2026	Alianza1–5Nac Medellín
2026-08-27	2026	Nac Medellín2–1Cali
2026-08-23	2026	Fortaleza1–2Nac Medellín

Bucaramanga Nac Medellín

Wins

50%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

62%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Bucaramanga

Home · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Bucaramanga		Nac Medellín	1
10	Bucaramanga		América	2
10	Bucaramanga	0–0	Dep. Tolima	3	–
10	Bucaramanga		Junior Barranquilla	4
10	Bucaramanga	1–2	Santa Fe	5	22′ Away
10	Bucaramanga	0–0	Cali	6	–
10	Bucaramanga	2–1	Millonarios	7	—
10	Bucaramanga	1–1	Once Caldas	8	27′ Home
10	Bucaramanga	2–2	Ind Medellín	9	26′ Home
10 · Bucaramanga
10	Bucaramanga		Pasto	11
10	Bucaramanga	2–0	Equidad	12	13′ Home
10	Bucaramanga		Águilas D	13
10	Bucaramanga	1–1	Llaneros	14	54′ Home
10	Bucaramanga		Fortaleza	15
10	Bucaramanga	1–1	Cúcuta	16	13′ Away
10	Bucaramanga	5–0	Alianza	17	34′ Home
10	Bucaramanga	5–0	Boyacá Chicó	18	—
10	Bucaramanga	2–2	Jaguares	19	18′ Away
10	Bucaramanga	3–0	Pereira	20	20′ Home

Nac Medellín

Away · Primera A

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Nac Medellín
2	América	1–0	Nac Medellín	1	46′ Home
3	Dep. Tolima	1–0	Nac Medellín	1	52′ Home
3	Dep. Tolima	0–1	Nac Medellín	1	57′ Away
4	Junior Barranquilla	0–4	Nac Medellín	1	45+4′ Away
4	Junior Barranquilla	3–0	Nac Medellín	1	7′ Home
5	Santa Fe	1–2	Nac Medellín	1	10′ Home
6	Cali	1–0	Nac Medellín	1	47′ Home
7	Millonarios	3–0	Nac Medellín	1	15′ Home
8	Once Caldas	1–0	Nac Medellín	1	46′ Home
9	Ind Medellín	2–3	Nac Medellín	1	—
10	Bucaramanga		Nac Medellín	1
11	Pasto	1–2	Nac Medellín	1	22′ Away
12	Equidad	1–2	Nac Medellín	1	—
12	Equidad	2–3	Nac Medellín	1	20′ Home
13	Águilas D	1–2	Nac Medellín	1	45+8′ Home
14	Llaneros	2–0	Nac Medellín	1	15′ Home
15	Fortaleza	1–2	Nac Medellín	1	—
16	Cúcuta		Nac Medellín	1
17	Alianza	1–5	Nac Medellín	1	5′ Away
18	Boyacá Chicó		Nac Medellín	1
19	Jaguares	0–3	Nac Medellín	1	7′ Away
20	Pereira	1–0	Nac Medellín	1	13′ Home

Bucaramanga Home Nac Medellín Away

Wins

38%

58%

Over 1.5

85%

68%

Over 2.5

54%

63%

Over 3.5

31%

21%

Both teams scored

54%

42%

Clean sheets

46%

16%

Scores first

54%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera A · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Bucaramanga

29 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away16 matches	Overall29 matches
Points / match	1.69	1.31	1.48
Draws	53.8%	37.5%	44.8%
Goals scored / match	1.92	1.12	1.48
Goals conceded / match	0.77	1.19	1.00
Total goals / match	2.69	2.31	2.48
Failed to score	15.4%	37.5%	27.6%
Under 2.5 goals	46.2%	56.2%	51.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 7	71%
Scores first → wins	4 of 7	57%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 4	25%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nac Medellín

35 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away19 matches	Overall35 matches
Points / match	2.75	1.74	2.20
Draws	12.5%	0.0%	5.7%
Goals scored / match	2.56	1.53	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.21	0.89
Total goals / match	3.06	2.74	2.89
Failed to score	6.2%	42.1%	25.7%
Under 2.5 goals	37.5%	36.8%	37.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 17/19 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Bucaramanga	Draw	Nac Medellín	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.4%	30.6%	36.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	13.4%	18.1%	65.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.92–2.30 Model expected goals

59.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

52.2% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 10.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-210.6%

1-29.7%

0-19.2%

1-18.4%

0-38.1%

1-37.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Bucaramanga	Nac Medellín	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1552	1641	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	63	27	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1497	1509	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Bucaramanga	0.75	0.65	0.55	0.65
Nac Medellín	0.80	1.20	0.70	0.30

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Bucaramanga	17%	3%	31%	21%	28%
Nac Medellín	3%	20%	14%	37%	26%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.38 Bucaramanga at home, 8 matches

1.75 Nac Medellín away, 12 matches

38d Days of rest for Bucaramanga

33d Days of rest for Nac Medellín

— Manager of Bucaramanga

— Manager of Nac Medellín

0 Matches for Bucaramanga in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Nac Medellín in the last 14 days

34 Points for Bucaramanga behind the leaders, and 15 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Nac Medellín behind the leaders, and 49 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bucaramanga, the right bar represents Nac Medellín.

On the ball

20 matches

3.76

corners

6.16

11.55

fouls

12.16

2.94

yellow cards

2.44

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Bucaramanga	WWDWDDWDDW	2.00	1.70–0.90	2W
Nac Medellín	WDLWWWWWLW	2.20	2.10–1.00	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Bucaramanga	6	10	4	0	1
Nac Medellín	5	11	4	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bucaramanga

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nac Medellín

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.