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Hearts
VS Scheduled Scotland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 8
St Mirren

Head-to-head overview

23 meetings
HeartsWins
11
Draws26.1% of meetings
6
St MirrenWins
6
Goals per match
2.65
Over 2.5 goals
43.5%
Both teams scored
47.8%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-03 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 St Mirren1–0Hearts
2026-01-14 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Hearts2–0St Mirren
2025-10-29 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 St Mirren2–2Hearts
2025-02-26 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 Hearts3–1St Mirren
2024-10-19 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 Hearts4–0St Mirren
2024-09-21 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 St Mirren2–1Hearts
2024-05-15 Scotland, Premiership 23/24 St Mirren2–2Hearts
2024-04-06 Scotland, Premiership 23/24 St Mirren1–2Hearts
Recent matches

Hearts

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Kilmarnock1–1Hearts
2026-09-15 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Falkirk2–1Hearts
2026-09-06 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hearts2–1Dundee
2026-09-03 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-08-29 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hearts2–1St Johnstone
2026-08-09 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hearts4–0Dundee United
2026-08-01 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Aberdeen2–1Hearts
2026-05-16 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Celtic3–1Hearts

St Mirren

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 St Mirren0–3Dundee United
2026-09-09 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Rangers1–0St Mirren
2026-09-05 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 St Mirren1–2Celtic
2026-09-02 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Kilmarnock0–1St Mirren
2026-08-30 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 St Mirren3–3Motherwell
2026-08-08 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 St Mirren1–0St Johnstone
2026-08-01 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Falkirk0–2St Mirren
2026-05-17 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 St Mirren1–1Dundee United
Hearts St Mirren

Wins

50%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
38%

Both teams scored

88%
38%

Clean sheets

12%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hearts

Home · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
3 Hearts Celtic 1
3 Hearts Rangers 2
3 · Hearts
3 Hearts 2–1 Dundee 4 17′ Away
3 Hearts St Mirren 5
3 Hearts 2–1 St Johnstone 6 —
3 Hearts Aberdeen 7
3 Hearts 4–0 Dundee United 8 4′ Home
3 Hearts Motherwell 9
3 Hearts Hibernian 10
3 Hearts Falkirk 11
3 Hearts Kilmarnock 12

St Mirren

Away · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
1 Celtic St Mirren 5
2 Rangers 1–0 St Mirren 5 90+1′ Home
3 Hearts St Mirren 5
4 Dundee St Mirren 5
5 · St Mirren
6 St Johnstone St Mirren 5
7 Aberdeen St Mirren 5
8 Dundee United St Mirren 5
9 Motherwell St Mirren 5
10 Hibernian St Mirren 5
11 Falkirk 0–2 St Mirren 5 11′ Away
12 Kilmarnock 0–1 St Mirren 5 4′ Away
Hearts Home St Mirren Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hearts

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match3.001.001.86
Draws0.0%25.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match2.671.502.00
Goals conceded / match0.671.501.14
Total goals / match3.333.003.14
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

St Mirren

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.002.001.43
Draws25.0%0.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match1.251.001.14
Goals conceded / match2.000.331.29
Total goals / match3.251.332.43
Failed to score25.0%33.3%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%100.0%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1520
16–3000
31–4500
46–6000
61–7500
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelHeartsDraw St MirrenHow it works
Strength (Elo) 69.1% 13.3% 17.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 55.6% 25.6% 18.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.54–0.76 Model expected goals
39.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.5% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 15.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-015.5%
2-011.9%
1-111.7%
0-010.0%
2-19.0%
0-17.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureHeartsSt Mirren How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1622 1437 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -42 37 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1517 1504 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 60.8% 49.9% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 68.2% 49.7% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 900 882 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 36.4% 23.3% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 53.7% 64.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Hearts 0.850.85 0.550.55
St Mirren 0.500.35 0.750.70

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Hearts 2%25%15%30%28%
St Mirren 5%28%32%18%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Hearts at home, 10 matches
1.30 St Mirren away, 10 matches
21d Days of rest for Hearts
21d Days of rest for St Mirren
— Manager of Hearts
— Manager of St Mirren
0 Matches for Hearts in the last 14 days
0 Matches for St Mirren in the last 14 days
5 Points for Hearts behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
8 Points for St Mirren behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.83 League goals per match
23.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hearts, the right bar represents St Mirren.

On the ball

20 matches
15.22
shots
12.0
4.89
shots on target
3.84
32.1%
accuracy
32.0%
6.35
corners
4.75
11.0
fouls
12.3
1.65
yellow cards
2.05

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Hearts DLWWWWLLWD 1.70 1.90–1.20 1D
St Mirren LLLWDWWDWL 1.40 1.10–1.30 3L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Hearts7 85 31
St Mirren7 49 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hearts

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

St Mirren

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Zverev breaks American hearts to become US Open champion Sky Sports 09-13
Kerjota scores 96th-minute winner for Hearts against Dundee BBC Sport 09-07
Four wins in a row, but can it only get better for Hearts? BBC Sport 09-06
Scottish Premiership: Celtic’s Yang completes fightback to see off St Mirren The Guardian 09-06
Watch: Sportscene highlights as Hearts & St Johnstone win BBC Sport 09-06
How much will Celtic miss Asian Games-bound Yang? BBC Sport 09-06