Celtic

Celtic

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202615:00

Scotland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 9

Hearts

Head-to-head overview

30 meetings

CelticWins: 22
Draws3.3% of meetings: 1
HeartsWins: 7

Goals per match: 3.47
Over 2.5 goals: 73.3%
Both teams scored: 56.7%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-16	25/26	Celtic3–1Hearts
2026-01-25	25/26	Hearts2–2Celtic
2025-12-07	25/26	Celtic1–2Hearts
2025-10-26	25/26	Hearts3–1Celtic
2025-03-29	24/25	Celtic3–0Hearts
2024-11-23	24/25	Hearts1–4Celtic
2024-09-14	24/25	Celtic2–0Hearts
2024-05-04	23/24	Celtic3–0Hearts
2024-03-03	23/24	Hearts2–0Celtic
2023-12-16	23/24	Celtic0–2Hearts
2023-10-22	23/24	Hearts1–4Celtic
2023-05-07	22/23	Hearts0–2Celtic
2023-03-08	22/23	Celtic3–1Hearts
2022-10-22	22/23	Hearts3–4Celtic
2022-08-21	22/23	Celtic2–0Hearts
2022-05-07	21/22	Celtic4–1Hearts
2022-01-26	21/22	Hearts1–2Celtic
2021-12-02	21/22	Celtic1–0Hearts
2021-07-31	21/22	Hearts2–1Celtic
2020-02-12	19/20	Celtic5–0Hearts
2019-12-18	19/20	Hearts0–2Celtic
2019-08-25	19/20	Celtic3–1Hearts
2019-05-19	18/19	Celtic2–1Hearts
2019-02-27	18/19	Hearts1–2Celtic
2018-11-03	18/19	Celtic5–0Hearts
2018-08-11	18/19	Hearts1–0Celtic
2018-05-06	17/18	Hearts1–3Celtic
2018-01-30	17/18	Celtic3–1Hearts
2017-12-17	17/18	Hearts4–0Celtic
2017-08-05	17/18	Celtic4–1Hearts

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Celtic0–1Rangers
2026-09-09	26/27	St Johnstone0–1Celtic
2026-09-05	26/27	St Mirren1–2Celtic
2026-09-02	26/27	Celtic3–0Aberdeen
2026-08-29	26/27	Celtic2–1Falkirk
2026-08-09	26/27	Kilmarnock1–5Celtic
2026-08-03	26/27	Celtic1–0Dundee
2026-05-16	25/26	Celtic3–1Hearts

Hearts

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Kilmarnock1–1Hearts
2026-09-15	26/27	Falkirk2–1Hearts
2026-09-06	26/27	Hearts2–1Dundee
2026-09-03	26/27	Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-08-29	26/27	Hearts2–1St Johnstone
2026-08-09	26/27	Hearts4–0Dundee United
2026-08-01	26/27	Aberdeen2–1Hearts
2026-05-16	25/26	Celtic3–1Hearts

Celtic Hearts

Wins

88%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Celtic

Home · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Celtic
1	Celtic	0–1	Rangers	2	33′ Away
1	Celtic		Hearts	3
1	Celtic	1–0	Dundee	4	52′ Home
1	Celtic		St Mirren	5
1	Celtic		St Johnstone	6
1	Celtic	3–0	Aberdeen	7	14′ Home
1	Celtic		Dundee United	8
1	Celtic		Motherwell	9
1	Celtic		Hibernian	10
1	Celtic	2–1	Falkirk	11	—
1	Celtic		Kilmarnock	12

Hearts

Away · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Celtic		Hearts	3
2	Rangers		Hearts	3
3 · Hearts
4	Dundee		Hearts	3
5	St Mirren		Hearts	3
6	St Johnstone		Hearts	3
7	Aberdeen	2–1	Hearts	3	35′ Away
8	Dundee United		Hearts	3
9	Motherwell		Hearts	3
10	Hibernian	1–3	Hearts	3	13′ Away
11	Falkirk	2–1	Hearts	3	8′ Home
12	Kilmarnock	1–1	Hearts	3	—

Celtic Home Hearts Away

Wins

75%

25%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

50%

75%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

25%

100%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

75%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Celtic

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.25	3.00	2.57
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	2.67	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	0.67	0.57
Total goals / match	2.00	3.33	2.57
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hearts

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.00	1.86
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.50	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.50	1.14
Total goals / match	3.33	3.00	3.14
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Celtic	Draw	Hearts	How it works
Strength (Elo)	52.9%	20.4%	26.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	37.3%	24.8%	37.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.45–1.44 Model expected goals

54.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.9% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.6%

2-18.4%

1-28.4%

1-08.0%

0-18.0%

2-26.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Celtic	Hearts	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1689	1622	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-4	-42	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1523	1517	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	62.5%	60.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	65.8%	68.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1028	900	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	33.1%	36.4%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	69.7%	53.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Celtic	0.95	1.15	0.65	0.40
Hearts	0.85	0.85	0.55	0.55

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Celtic	2%	18%	10%	28%	42%
Hearts	2%	25%	15%	30%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.40 Celtic at home, 10 matches

0.90 Hearts away, 10 matches

28d Days of rest for Celtic

29d Days of rest for Hearts

— Manager of Celtic

— Manager of Hearts

0 Matches for Celtic in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Hearts in the last 14 days

0 Points for Celtic behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Hearts behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.83 League goals per match

23.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Celtic, the right bar represents Hearts.

On the ball

20 matches

17.84

shots

15.22

6.68

shots on target

4.89

37.5%

accuracy

32.1%

7.35

corners

6.35

11.45

fouls

11.0

2.2

yellow cards

1.65

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Celtic	LWWWWWWWWW	2.70	2.30–0.80	1L
Hearts	DLWWWWLLWD	1.70	1.90–1.20	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Celtic	6	10	4	2	0
Hearts	7	8	5	3	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Celtic

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hearts

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Zverev breaks American hearts to become US Open champion Sky Sports 09-13

Did O'Neill get team selection wrong in Old Firm defeat? BBC Sport 09-13

McInnes delivers togetherness & intensity in Old Firm gobsmacker BBC Sport 09-13

Sportsound reaction as Rangers reach League Cup semis with convincing win over Celtic BBC Sport 09-13

Rangers lay down Old Firm marker to send Celtic packing from Scottish League Cup The Guardian 09-13

Rangers' Shankland blow, Celtic lose Yang & managers already under pressure Sky Sports 09-07

Kerjota scores 96th-minute winner for Hearts against Dundee BBC Sport 09-07

Four wins in a row, but can it only get better for Hearts? BBC Sport 09-06

Scottish Premiership: Celtic’s Yang completes fightback to see off St Mirren The Guardian 09-06

Watch: Sportscene highlights as Hearts & St Johnstone win BBC Sport 09-06

How much will Celtic miss Asian Games-bound Yang? BBC Sport 09-06