Hibernian

Hibernian

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202612:00

Scotland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 10

Celtic

Head-to-head overview

32 meetings

HibernianWins: 5
Draws31.2% of meetings: 10
CelticWins: 17

Goals per match: 2.84
Over 2.5 goals: 59.4%
Both teams scored: 56.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-03	25/26	Hibernian1–2Celtic
2026-02-22	25/26	Celtic1–2Hibernian
2025-11-30	25/26	Hibernian1–2Celtic
2025-09-27	25/26	Celtic0–0Hibernian
2025-05-10	24/25	Celtic3–1Hibernian
2025-02-22	24/25	Hibernian2–1Celtic
2024-12-07	24/25	Celtic3–0Hibernian
2024-08-11	24/25	Hibernian0–2Celtic
2024-02-07	23/24	Hibernian1–2Celtic
2023-12-06	23/24	Celtic4–1Hibernian
2023-10-28	23/24	Hibernian0–0Celtic
2023-05-24	22/23	Hibernian4–2Celtic
2023-03-18	22/23	Celtic3–1Hibernian
2022-12-28	22/23	Hibernian0–4Celtic
2022-10-15	22/23	Celtic6–1Hibernian
2022-02-27	21/22	Hibernian0–0Celtic
2022-01-17	21/22	Celtic2–0Hibernian
2021-10-27	21/22	Hibernian1–3Celtic
2021-05-15	20/21	Hibernian0–0Celtic
2021-01-11	20/21	Celtic1–1Hibernian
2020-11-21	20/21	Hibernian2–2Celtic
2020-09-27	20/21	Celtic3–0Hibernian
2019-12-15	19/20	Celtic2–0Hibernian
2019-09-28	19/20	Hibernian1–1Celtic
2019-04-21	18/19	Hibernian0–0Celtic
2019-02-06	18/19	Celtic2–0Hibernian
2018-12-16	18/19	Hibernian2–0Celtic
2018-10-20	18/19	Celtic4–2Hibernian
2018-04-21	17/18	Hibernian2–1Celtic
2018-01-27	17/18	Celtic1–0Hibernian
2017-12-10	17/18	Hibernian2–2Celtic
2017-09-30	17/18	Celtic2–2Hibernian

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Hibernian1–1Aberdeen
2026-09-15	26/27	Hibernian0–1Kilmarnock
2026-09-06	26/27	St Johnstone2–1Hibernian
2026-09-03	26/27	Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-08-30	26/27	Dundee1–2Hibernian
2026-08-09	26/27	Rangers1–2Hibernian
2026-08-02	26/27	Hibernian1–2Motherwell
2026-05-16	25/26	Hibernian0–1Motherwell

Celtic

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Celtic0–1Rangers
2026-09-09	26/27	St Johnstone0–1Celtic
2026-09-05	26/27	St Mirren1–2Celtic
2026-09-02	26/27	Celtic3–0Aberdeen
2026-08-29	26/27	Celtic2–1Falkirk
2026-08-09	26/27	Kilmarnock1–5Celtic
2026-08-03	26/27	Celtic1–0Dundee
2026-05-16	25/26	Celtic3–1Hearts

Hibernian Celtic

Wins

25%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hibernian

Home · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Hibernian		Celtic	1
10	Hibernian		Rangers	2
10	Hibernian	1–3	Hearts	3	13′ Away
10	Hibernian		Dundee	4
10	Hibernian		St Mirren	5
10	Hibernian		St Johnstone	6
10	Hibernian	1–1	Aberdeen	7	17′ Away
10	Hibernian		Dundee United	8
10	Hibernian	1–2	Motherwell	9	40′ Away
10 · Hibernian
10	Hibernian		Falkirk	11
10	Hibernian	0–1	Kilmarnock	12	40′ Away

Celtic

Away · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Celtic
2	Rangers		Celtic	1
3	Hearts		Celtic	1
4	Dundee		Celtic	1
5	St Mirren	1–2	Celtic	1	22′ Home
6	St Johnstone	0–1	Celtic	1	52′ Away
7	Aberdeen		Celtic	1
8	Dundee United		Celtic	1
9	Motherwell		Celtic	1
10	Hibernian		Celtic	1
11	Falkirk		Celtic	1
12	Kilmarnock	1–5	Celtic	1	2′ Away

Hibernian Home Celtic Away

Wins

0%

100%

Over 1.5

75%

67%

Over 2.5

50%

67%

Over 3.5

25%

33%

Both teams scored

75%

67%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Scores first

0%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hibernian

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.25	2.00	1.00
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.67	1.14
Goals conceded / match	1.75	1.33	1.57
Total goals / match	2.50	3.00	2.71
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	3
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Celtic

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.25	3.00	2.57
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	2.67	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	0.67	0.57
Total goals / match	2.00	3.33	2.57
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	2	0
46–60	3	1
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Hibernian	Draw	Celtic	How it works
Strength (Elo)	27.3%	20.7%	52.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	13.3%	19.3%	65.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.82–2.12 Model expected goals

54.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

48.1% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.9%

0-111.2%

1-29.7%

1-19.2%

0-38.4%

1-36.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1524	1689	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-36	-4	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1533	1523	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	44.2%	62.5%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	44.4%	65.8%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1093	1028	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	40.0%	33.1%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	69.3%	69.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Hibernian	0.70	0.55	0.65	0.60
Celtic	0.95	1.15	0.65	0.40

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Hibernian	10%	15%	20%	32%	22%
Celtic	2%	18%	10%	28%	42%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.80 Hibernian at home, 10 matches

2.50 Celtic away, 10 matches

36d Days of rest for Hibernian

35d Days of rest for Celtic

— Manager of Hibernian

— Manager of Celtic

0 Matches for Hibernian in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Celtic in the last 14 days

11 Points for Hibernian behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Celtic behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.83 League goals per match

23.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hibernian, the right bar represents Celtic.

On the ball

20 matches

10.94

shots

17.84

3.33

shots on target

6.68

30.5%

accuracy

37.5%

5.5

corners

7.35

10.95

fouls

11.45

2.05

yellow cards

2.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Hibernian	DLLLWWLLWW	1.30	1.30–1.40	1D
Celtic	LWWWWWWWWW	2.70	2.30–0.80	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Hibernian	6	7	7	0	1
Celtic	6	10	4	2	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hibernian

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Celtic

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Did O'Neill get team selection wrong in Old Firm defeat? BBC Sport 09-13

McInnes delivers togetherness & intensity in Old Firm gobsmacker BBC Sport 09-13

Sportsound reaction as Rangers reach League Cup semis with convincing win over Celtic BBC Sport 09-13

Rangers lay down Old Firm marker to send Celtic packing from Scottish League Cup The Guardian 09-13

Rangers v Aberdeen & Edinburgh derby in League Cup semis BBC Sport 09-13

Rangers' Shankland blow, Celtic lose Yang & managers already under pressure Sky Sports 09-07

Fowler scores twice as St Johnstone beat Hibs BBC Sport 09-07

'Gambling & guessing' - Gray faces up to Hibs slump BBC Sport 09-07

Scottish Premiership: Celtic’s Yang completes fightback to see off St Mirren The Guardian 09-06

How much will Celtic miss Asian Games-bound Yang? BBC Sport 09-06