Dundee

Dundee

VS Scheduled Saturday 5 Dec 202615:00

Scotland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 17

Falkirk

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings

DundeeWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
FalkirkWins: 2

Goals per match: 1.67
Over 2.5 goals: 33.3%
Both teams scored: 33.3%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-11	25/26	Falkirk1–0Dundee
2025-12-27	25/26	Dundee1–0Falkirk
2025-10-25	25/26	Falkirk2–1Dundee

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Dundee2–1Motherwell
2026-09-06	26/27	Hearts2–1Dundee
2026-09-02	26/27	Dundee1–1St Johnstone
2026-08-30	26/27	Dundee1–2Hibernian
2026-08-22	26/27	Dundee United0–2Dundee
2026-08-08	26/27	Dundee2–0Aberdeen
2026-08-03	26/27	Celtic1–0Dundee
2026-05-17	25/26	Dundee3–2Aberdeen

Falkirk

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	St Johnstone1–1Falkirk
2026-09-15	26/27	Falkirk2–1Hearts
2026-09-05	26/27	Dundee United1–1Falkirk
2026-09-02	26/27	Falkirk1–2Rangers
2026-08-29	26/27	Celtic2–1Falkirk
2026-08-09	26/27	Motherwell0–0Falkirk
2026-08-01	26/27	Falkirk0–2St Mirren
2026-05-16	25/26	Falkirk2–5Rangers

Dundee Falkirk

Wins

50%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Dundee

Home · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Dundee		Celtic	1
4	Dundee		Rangers	2
4	Dundee		Hearts	3
4 · Dundee
4	Dundee		St Mirren	5
4	Dundee	1–1	St Johnstone	6	87′ Home
4	Dundee	2–0	Aberdeen	7	9′ Home
4	Dundee		Dundee United	8
4	Dundee	2–1	Motherwell	9	23′ Home
4	Dundee	1–2	Hibernian	10	25′ Away
4	Dundee		Falkirk	11
4	Dundee		Kilmarnock	12

Falkirk

Away · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Celtic	2–1	Falkirk	11	—
2	Rangers		Falkirk	11
3	Hearts		Falkirk	11
4	Dundee		Falkirk	11
5	St Mirren		Falkirk	11
6	St Johnstone	1–1	Falkirk	11	60′ Away
7	Aberdeen		Falkirk	11
8	Dundee United	1–1	Falkirk	11	4′ Away
9	Motherwell	0–0	Falkirk	11	–
10	Hibernian		Falkirk	11
11 · Falkirk
12	Kilmarnock		Falkirk	11

Dundee Home Falkirk Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

50%

25%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

25%

Scores first

75%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Dundee

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.75	1.00	1.43
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.29
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.50	2.00	2.29
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	66.7%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Falkirk

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.75	0.86
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	42.9%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.75	0.86
Goals conceded / match	1.67	1.00	1.29
Total goals / match	2.67	1.75	2.14
Failed to score	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	75.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	0 of 2	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Dundee	Draw	Falkirk	How it works
Strength (Elo)	44.5%	22.9%	32.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	44.0%	21.7%	32.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.95–1.64 Model expected goals

67.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

67.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 8.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-18.8%

2-18.6%

1-27.2%

2-27.1%

3-15.6%

1-05.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Dundee	Falkirk	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1476	1474	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	42	-41	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1552	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	40.3%	42.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	41.4%	38.0%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1132	1023	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	41.7%	42.1%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	71.6%	60.2%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Dundee	0.75	0.85	0.60	0.90
Falkirk	0.70	0.65	1.05	0.90

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Dundee	2%	25%	12%	28%	32%
Falkirk	8%	18%	22%	28%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.83 Dundee at home, 12 matches

0.78 Falkirk away, 9 matches

77d Days of rest for Dundee

77d Days of rest for Falkirk

— Manager of Dundee

— Manager of Falkirk

0 Matches for Dundee in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Falkirk in the last 14 days

8 Points for Dundee behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Falkirk behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.83 League goals per match

23.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Dundee, the right bar represents Falkirk.

On the ball

20 matches

11.05

shots

10.5

3.79

shots on target

3.17

34.3%

accuracy

30.2%

4.9

corners

4.8

9.65

fouls

12.2

1.4

yellow cards

2.26

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Dundee	WLDLWWLWLW	1.60	1.60–1.20	1W
Falkirk	DWDLLDLLLL	0.60	0.90–2.00	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Dundee	8	7	5	1	1
Falkirk	4	9	7	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Dundee

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Falkirk

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Kerjota scores 96th-minute winner for Hearts against Dundee BBC Sport 09-07

Watch: Sportscene highlights as Hearts & St Johnstone win BBC Sport 09-06