Hearts

Hearts

VS Scheduled Sunday 13 Dec 202615:00

Scotland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 18

Motherwell

Head-to-head overview

27 meetings

HeartsWins: 12
Draws22.2% of meetings: 6
MotherwellWins: 9

Goals per match: 2.37
Over 2.5 goals: 40.7%
Both teams scored: 44.4%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-09	25/26	Motherwell1–1Hearts
2026-04-11	25/26	Hearts3–1Motherwell
2025-11-29	25/26	Motherwell0–0Hearts
2025-08-23	25/26	Hearts3–3Motherwell
2025-05-10	24/25	Hearts3–0Motherwell
2025-04-12	24/25	Motherwell0–0Hearts
2025-01-02	24/25	Hearts1–0Motherwell
2024-08-25	24/25	Motherwell3–1Hearts
2024-02-17	23/24	Hearts2–0Motherwell
2023-11-11	23/24	Motherwell1–2Hearts
2023-09-03	23/24	Hearts0–1Motherwell
2023-02-19	22/23	Motherwell2–0Hearts
2022-11-06	22/23	Hearts3–2Motherwell
2022-09-18	22/23	Motherwell0–3Hearts
2022-05-11	21/22	Motherwell2–1Hearts
2022-01-29	21/22	Hearts2–0Motherwell
2021-11-20	21/22	Motherwell2–0Hearts
2021-10-02	21/22	Hearts2–0Motherwell
2020-03-07	19/20	Hearts1–1Motherwell
2019-12-07	19/20	Motherwell1–0Hearts
2019-09-14	19/20	Hearts2–3Motherwell
2019-02-17	18/19	Motherwell2–1Hearts
2018-12-08	18/19	Hearts1–0Motherwell
2018-09-15	18/19	Motherwell0–1Hearts
2018-01-27	17/18	Hearts1–1Motherwell
2017-12-09	17/18	Hearts1–0Motherwell
2017-08-26	17/18	Motherwell2–1Hearts

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Kilmarnock1–1Hearts
2026-09-15	26/27	Falkirk2–1Hearts
2026-09-06	26/27	Hearts2–1Dundee
2026-09-03	26/27	Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-08-29	26/27	Hearts2–1St Johnstone
2026-08-09	26/27	Hearts4–0Dundee United
2026-08-01	26/27	Aberdeen2–1Hearts
2026-05-16	25/26	Celtic3–1Hearts

Motherwell

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Dundee2–1Motherwell
2026-09-15	26/27	Motherwell0–4Aberdeen
2026-09-05	26/27	Rangers1–0Motherwell
2026-09-02	26/27	Motherwell3–0Dundee United
2026-08-30	26/27	St Mirren3–3Motherwell
2026-08-09	26/27	Motherwell0–0Falkirk
2026-08-02	26/27	Hibernian1–2Motherwell
2026-05-16	25/26	Hibernian0–1Motherwell

Hearts Motherwell

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

62%

Both teams scored

88%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hearts

Home · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Hearts		Celtic	1
3	Hearts		Rangers	2
3 · Hearts
3	Hearts	2–1	Dundee	4	17′ Away
3	Hearts		St Mirren	5
3	Hearts	2–1	St Johnstone	6	—
3	Hearts		Aberdeen	7
3	Hearts	4–0	Dundee United	8	4′ Home
3	Hearts		Motherwell	9
3	Hearts		Hibernian	10
3	Hearts		Falkirk	11
3	Hearts		Kilmarnock	12

Motherwell

Away · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Celtic		Motherwell	9
2	Rangers	1–0	Motherwell	9	12′ Home
3	Hearts		Motherwell	9
4	Dundee	2–1	Motherwell	9	23′ Home
5	St Mirren	3–3	Motherwell	9	2′ Away
6	St Johnstone		Motherwell	9
7	Aberdeen		Motherwell	9
8	Dundee United		Motherwell	9
9 · Motherwell
10	Hibernian	1–2	Motherwell	9	40′ Away
11	Falkirk		Motherwell	9
12	Kilmarnock		Motherwell	9

Hearts Home Motherwell Away

Wins

100%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

33%

25%

Both teams scored

67%

75%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

67%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hearts

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.00	1.86
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.50	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.50	1.14
Total goals / match	3.33	3.00	3.14
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Motherwell

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.00	1.14
Draws	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.50	1.29
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.75	1.57
Total goals / match	2.33	3.25	2.86
Failed to score	66.7%	25.0%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	1
31–45	2	4
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Hearts	Draw	Motherwell	How it works
Strength (Elo)	56.9%	18.9%	24.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	41.8%	24.7%	32.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.54–1.34 Model expected goals

54.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.6%

2-18.9%

1-08.7%

1-27.7%

0-17.5%

2-06.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Hearts	Motherwell	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1622	1527	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-42	-42	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1517	1542	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	60.8%	52.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	68.2%	55.0%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	900	1010	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	36.4%	33.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	53.7%	68.1%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Hearts	0.85	0.85	0.55	0.55
Motherwell	0.80	0.70	0.65	0.80

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Hearts	2%	25%	15%	30%	28%
Motherwell	12%	12%	30%	18%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Hearts at home, 10 matches

1.18 Motherwell away, 11 matches

85d Days of rest for Hearts

85d Days of rest for Motherwell

— Manager of Hearts

— Manager of Motherwell

0 Matches for Hearts in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Motherwell in the last 14 days

5 Points for Hearts behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Motherwell behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.83 League goals per match

23.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hearts, the right bar represents Motherwell.

On the ball

20 matches

15.22

shots

14.0

4.89

shots on target

4.89

32.1%

accuracy

34.9%

6.35

corners

4.55

11.0

fouls

10.5

1.65

yellow cards

1.9

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Hearts	DLWWWWLLWD	1.70	1.90–1.20	1D
Motherwell	LLLWDDWWLD	1.20	1.30–1.50	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Hearts	7	8	5	3	1
Motherwell	7	7	6	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hearts

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Motherwell

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Zverev breaks American hearts to become US Open champion Sky Sports 09-13

Kerjota scores 96th-minute winner for Hearts against Dundee BBC Sport 09-07

Four wins in a row, but can it only get better for Hearts? BBC Sport 09-06

Scottish Premiership: Celtic’s Yang completes fightback to see off St Mirren The Guardian 09-06

Watch: Sportscene highlights as Hearts & St Johnstone win BBC Sport 09-06

Who will carry Rangers' goal threat after 'significant' Shankland injury? BBC Sport 09-05