Hearts

Hearts

VS Scheduled Sunday 27 Dec 202612:00

Scotland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 20

Hibernian

Head-to-head overview

29 meetings

HeartsWins: 11
Draws34.5% of meetings: 10
HibernianWins: 8

Goals per match: 2.14
Over 2.5 goals: 41.4%
Both teams scored: 55.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-03	26/27	Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-04-26	25/26	Hibernian1–2Hearts
2026-02-10	25/26	Hearts1–0Hibernian
2025-12-27	25/26	Hibernian3–2Hearts
2025-10-04	25/26	Hearts1–0Hibernian
2025-03-02	24/25	Hibernian2–1Hearts
2024-12-26	24/25	Hearts1–2Hibernian
2024-10-27	24/25	Hibernian1–1Hearts
2024-02-28	23/24	Hearts1–1Hibernian
2023-12-27	23/24	Hibernian0–1Hearts
2023-10-07	23/24	Hearts2–2Hibernian
2023-05-27	22/23	Hearts1–1Hibernian
2023-04-15	22/23	Hibernian1–0Hearts
2023-01-02	22/23	Hearts3–0Hibernian
2022-08-07	22/23	Hibernian1–1Hearts
2022-04-09	21/22	Hearts3–1Hibernian
2022-02-01	21/22	Hibernian0–0Hearts
2021-09-12	21/22	Hearts0–0Hibernian
2020-03-03	19/20	Hibernian1–3Hearts
2019-12-26	19/20	Hearts0–2Hibernian
2019-09-22	19/20	Hibernian1–2Hearts
2019-04-28	18/19	Hibernian1–1Hearts
2019-04-06	18/19	Hearts1–2Hibernian
2018-12-29	18/19	Hibernian0–1Hearts
2018-10-31	18/19	Hearts0–0Hibernian
2018-05-09	17/18	Hearts2–1Hibernian
2018-03-09	17/18	Hibernian2–0Hearts
2017-12-27	17/18	Hearts0–0Hibernian
2017-10-24	17/18	Hibernian1–0Hearts

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Kilmarnock1–1Hearts
2026-09-15	26/27	Falkirk2–1Hearts
2026-09-06	26/27	Hearts2–1Dundee
2026-09-03	26/27	Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-08-29	26/27	Hearts2–1St Johnstone
2026-08-09	26/27	Hearts4–0Dundee United
2026-08-01	26/27	Aberdeen2–1Hearts
2026-05-16	25/26	Celtic3–1Hearts

Hibernian

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Hibernian1–1Aberdeen
2026-09-15	26/27	Hibernian0–1Kilmarnock
2026-09-06	26/27	St Johnstone2–1Hibernian
2026-09-03	26/27	Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-08-30	26/27	Dundee1–2Hibernian
2026-08-09	26/27	Rangers1–2Hibernian
2026-08-02	26/27	Hibernian1–2Motherwell
2026-05-16	25/26	Hibernian0–1Motherwell

Hearts Hibernian

Wins

50%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

62%

Both teams scored

88%

75%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hearts

Home · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Hearts		Celtic	1
3	Hearts		Rangers	2
3 · Hearts
3	Hearts	2–1	Dundee	4	17′ Away
3	Hearts		St Mirren	5
3	Hearts	2–1	St Johnstone	6	—
3	Hearts		Aberdeen	7
3	Hearts	4–0	Dundee United	8	4′ Home
3	Hearts		Motherwell	9
3	Hearts		Hibernian	10
3	Hearts		Falkirk	11
3	Hearts		Kilmarnock	12

Hibernian

Away · Premiership

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Celtic		Hibernian	10
2	Rangers	1–2	Hibernian	10	—
3	Hearts		Hibernian	10
4	Dundee	1–2	Hibernian	10	25′ Away
5	St Mirren		Hibernian	10
6	St Johnstone	2–1	Hibernian	10	17′ Home
7	Aberdeen		Hibernian	10
8	Dundee United		Hibernian	10
9	Motherwell		Hibernian	10
10 · Hibernian
11	Falkirk		Hibernian	10
12	Kilmarnock		Hibernian	10

Hearts Home Hibernian Away

Wins

100%

67%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

67%

100%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hearts

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.00	1.86
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.50	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.50	1.14
Total goals / match	3.33	3.00	3.14
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hibernian

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.25	2.00	1.00
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.67	1.14
Goals conceded / match	1.75	1.33	1.57
Total goals / match	2.50	3.00	2.71
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Hearts	Draw	Hibernian	How it works
Strength (Elo)	57.2%	18.8%	24.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	41.4%	27.2%	31.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.33–1.11 Model expected goals

43.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.1% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.9%

1-011.6%

0-19.7%

0-08.7%

2-18.6%

2-07.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Hearts	Hibernian	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1622	1524	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-42	-36	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1517	1533	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	60.8%	44.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	68.2%	44.4%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	900	1093	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	36.4%	40.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	53.7%	69.3%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Hearts	0.85	0.85	0.55	0.55
Hibernian	0.70	0.55	0.65	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Hearts	2%	25%	15%	30%	28%
Hibernian	10%	15%	20%	32%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Hearts at home, 10 matches

1.70 Hibernian away, 10 matches

99d Days of rest for Hearts

99d Days of rest for Hibernian

— Manager of Hearts

— Manager of Hibernian

0 Matches for Hearts in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Hibernian in the last 14 days

5 Points for Hearts behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Hibernian behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.83 League goals per match

23.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hearts, the right bar represents Hibernian.

On the ball

20 matches

15.22

shots

10.94

4.89

shots on target

3.33

32.1%

accuracy

30.5%

6.35

corners

5.5

11.0

fouls

10.95

1.65

yellow cards

2.05

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Hearts	DLWWWWLLWD	1.70	1.90–1.20	1D
Hibernian	DLLLWWLLWW	1.30	1.30–1.40	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Hearts	7	8	5	3	1
Hibernian	6	7	7	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hearts

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hibernian

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Zverev breaks American hearts to become US Open champion Sky Sports 09-13

Rangers v Aberdeen & Edinburgh derby in League Cup semis BBC Sport 09-13

Kerjota scores 96th-minute winner for Hearts against Dundee BBC Sport 09-07

Fowler scores twice as St Johnstone beat Hibs BBC Sport 09-07

'Gambling & guessing' - Gray faces up to Hibs slump BBC Sport 09-07

Four wins in a row, but can it only get better for Hearts? BBC Sport 09-06

Scottish Premiership: Celtic’s Yang completes fightback to see off St Mirren The Guardian 09-06

Watch: Sportscene highlights as Hearts & St Johnstone win BBC Sport 09-06