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Hearts
VS Scheduled Scotland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 22
Kilmarnock

Head-to-head overview

26 meetings
HeartsWins
8
Draws26.9% of meetings
7
KilmarnockWins
11
Goals per match
2.08
Over 2.5 goals
38.5%
Both teams scored
46.2%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Kilmarnock1–1Hearts
2026-03-14 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Kilmarnock1–0Hearts
2025-12-03 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Hearts1–1Kilmarnock
2025-10-18 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Kilmarnock0–3Hearts
2025-05-18 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 Kilmarnock0–1Hearts
2025-01-25 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 Hearts3–2Kilmarnock
2024-12-15 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 Kilmarnock1–0Hearts
2024-10-30 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 Hearts1–2Kilmarnock
Recent matches

Hearts

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Kilmarnock1–1Hearts
2026-09-15 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Falkirk2–1Hearts
2026-09-06 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hearts2–1Dundee
2026-09-03 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-08-29 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hearts2–1St Johnstone
2026-08-09 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hearts4–0Dundee United
2026-08-01 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Aberdeen2–1Hearts
2026-05-16 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Celtic3–1Hearts

Kilmarnock

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Kilmarnock1–1Hearts
2026-09-15 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hibernian0–1Kilmarnock
2026-09-05 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Aberdeen0–0Kilmarnock
2026-09-02 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Kilmarnock0–1St Mirren
2026-08-29 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Kilmarnock0–4Dundee United
2026-08-09 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Kilmarnock1–5Celtic
2026-08-02 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 St Johnstone4–3Kilmarnock
2026-05-17 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Livingston1–4Kilmarnock
Hearts Kilmarnock

Wins

50%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
50%

Both teams scored

88%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hearts

Home · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
3 Hearts Celtic 1
3 Hearts Rangers 2
3 · Hearts
3 Hearts 2–1 Dundee 4 17′ Away
3 Hearts St Mirren 5
3 Hearts 2–1 St Johnstone 6 —
3 Hearts Aberdeen 7
3 Hearts 4–0 Dundee United 8 4′ Home
3 Hearts Motherwell 9
3 Hearts Hibernian 10
3 Hearts Falkirk 11
3 Hearts Kilmarnock 12

Kilmarnock

Away · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
1 Celtic Kilmarnock 12
2 Rangers Kilmarnock 12
3 Hearts Kilmarnock 12
4 Dundee Kilmarnock 12
5 St Mirren Kilmarnock 12
6 St Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock 12 —
7 Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock 12 –
8 Dundee United Kilmarnock 12
9 Motherwell Kilmarnock 12
10 Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock 12 40′ Away
11 Falkirk Kilmarnock 12
12 · Kilmarnock
Hearts Home Kilmarnock Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hearts

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match3.001.001.86
Draws0.0%25.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match2.671.502.00
Goals conceded / match0.671.501.14
Total goals / match3.333.003.14
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kilmarnock

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.251.330.71
Draws25.0%33.3%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.501.330.86
Goals conceded / match2.751.332.14
Total goals / match3.252.673.00
Failed to score50.0%33.3%42.9%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%66.7%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelHeartsDraw KilmarnockHow it works
Strength (Elo) 67.9% 14.0% 18.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 46.7% 22.5% 29.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.86–1.42 Model expected goals
62.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
62.9% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 9.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-19.9%
2-19.2%
1-27.1%
1-07.0%
2-26.6%
2-06.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureHeartsKilmarnock How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1622 1446 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -42 17 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1517 1493 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 60.8% 46.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 68.2% 46.2% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 900 1009 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 36.4% 37.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 53.7% 63.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Hearts 0.850.85 0.550.55
Kilmarnock 0.800.80 0.850.90

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Hearts 2%25%15%30%28%
Kilmarnock 5%15%20%20%40%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Hearts at home, 10 matches
1.22 Kilmarnock away, 9 matches
105d Days of rest for Hearts
105d Days of rest for Kilmarnock
— Manager of Hearts
— Manager of Kilmarnock
0 Matches for Hearts in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Kilmarnock in the last 14 days
5 Points for Hearts behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
13 Points for Kilmarnock behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
2.83 League goals per match
23.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hearts, the right bar represents Kilmarnock.

On the ball

20 matches
15.22
shots
12.28
4.89
shots on target
4.44
32.1%
accuracy
36.2%
6.35
corners
4.6
11.0
fouls
12.7
1.65
yellow cards
2.11

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Hearts DLWWWWLLWD 1.70 1.90–1.20 1D
Kilmarnock DWDLLLLWWW 1.40 1.60–1.70 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Hearts7 85 31
Kilmarnock10 46 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hearts

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kilmarnock

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Zverev breaks American hearts to become US Open champion Sky Sports 09-13
Kerjota scores 96th-minute winner for Hearts against Dundee BBC Sport 09-07
Four wins in a row, but can it only get better for Hearts? BBC Sport 09-06
Scottish Premiership: Celtic’s Yang completes fightback to see off St Mirren The Guardian 09-06
Watch: Sportscene highlights as Hearts & St Johnstone win BBC Sport 09-06