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Hibernian
VS Scheduled Scotland 26/27 Premiership · Matchday 33
Hearts

Head-to-head overview

29 meetings
HibernianWins
8
Draws34.5% of meetings
10
HeartsWins
11
Goals per match
2.14
Over 2.5 goals
41.4%
Both teams scored
55.2%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-03 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-04-26 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Hibernian1–2Hearts
2026-02-10 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Hearts1–0Hibernian
2025-12-27 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Hibernian3–2Hearts
2025-10-04 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Hearts1–0Hibernian
2025-03-02 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 Hibernian2–1Hearts
2024-12-26 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 Hearts1–2Hibernian
2024-10-27 Scotland, Premiership 24/25 Hibernian1–1Hearts
Recent matches

Hibernian

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hibernian1–1Aberdeen
2026-09-15 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hibernian0–1Kilmarnock
2026-09-06 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 St Johnstone2–1Hibernian
2026-09-03 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-08-30 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Dundee1–2Hibernian
2026-08-09 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Rangers1–2Hibernian
2026-08-02 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hibernian1–2Motherwell
2026-05-16 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Hibernian0–1Motherwell

Hearts

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Kilmarnock1–1Hearts
2026-09-15 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Falkirk2–1Hearts
2026-09-06 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hearts2–1Dundee
2026-09-03 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hibernian1–3Hearts
2026-08-29 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hearts2–1St Johnstone
2026-08-09 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Hearts4–0Dundee United
2026-08-01 Scotland, Premiership 26/27 Aberdeen2–1Hearts
2026-05-16 Scotland, Premiership 25/26 Celtic3–1Hearts
Hibernian Hearts

Wins

25%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
88%

Both teams scored

75%
88%

Clean sheets

0%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hibernian

Home · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
10 Hibernian Celtic 1
10 Hibernian Rangers 2
10 Hibernian 1–3 Hearts 3 13′ Away
10 Hibernian Dundee 4
10 Hibernian St Mirren 5
10 Hibernian St Johnstone 6
10 Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen 7 17′ Away
10 Hibernian Dundee United 8
10 Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell 9 40′ Away
10 · Hibernian
10 Hibernian Falkirk 11
10 Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock 12 40′ Away

Hearts

Away · Premiership
HomeAway1st goal
1 Celtic Hearts 3
2 Rangers Hearts 3
3 · Hearts
4 Dundee Hearts 3
5 St Mirren Hearts 3
6 St Johnstone Hearts 3
7 Aberdeen 2–1 Hearts 3 35′ Away
8 Dundee United Hearts 3
9 Motherwell Hearts 3
10 Hibernian 1–3 Hearts 3 13′ Away
11 Falkirk 2–1 Hearts 3 8′ Home
12 Kilmarnock 1–1 Hearts 3 —
Hibernian Home Hearts Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premiership · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hibernian

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.252.001.00
Draws25.0%0.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match0.751.671.14
Goals conceded / match1.751.331.57
Total goals / match2.503.002.71
Failed to score25.0%0.0%14.3%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%0.0%28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3001
31–4503
46–6020
61–7511
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hearts

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match3.001.001.86
Draws0.0%25.0%14.3%
Goals scored / match2.671.502.00
Goals conceded / match0.671.501.14
Total goals / match3.333.003.14
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelHibernianDraw HeartsHow it works
Strength (Elo) 33.5% 23.1% 43.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 18.6% 23.7% 56.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.86–1.72 Model expected goals
46.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
46.9% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-113.0%
1-111.2%
0-211.2%
1-29.6%
0-07.6%
1-06.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureHibernianHearts How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1524 1622 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -36 -42 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1533 1517 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 44.2% 60.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 44.4% 68.2% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1093 900 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 40.0% 36.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 69.3% 53.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Hibernian 0.700.55 0.650.60
Hearts 0.850.85 0.550.55

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Hibernian 10%15%20%32%22%
Hearts 2%25%15%30%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.80 Hibernian at home, 10 matches
0.90 Hearts away, 10 matches
203d Days of rest for Hibernian
203d Days of rest for Hearts
— Manager of Hibernian
— Manager of Hearts
0 Matches for Hibernian in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Hearts in the last 14 days
11 Points for Hibernian behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
5 Points for Hearts behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2.83 League goals per match
23.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hibernian, the right bar represents Hearts.

On the ball

20 matches
10.94
shots
15.22
3.33
shots on target
4.89
30.5%
accuracy
32.1%
5.5
corners
6.35
10.95
fouls
11.0
2.05
yellow cards
1.65

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Hibernian DLLLWWLLWW 1.30 1.30–1.40 1D
Hearts DLWWWWLLWD 1.70 1.90–1.20 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Hibernian6 77 01
Hearts7 85 31
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hibernian

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hearts

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams