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Porto
VS Scheduled Portugal 26/27 Liga Portugal · Matchday 10
Estoril

Head-to-head overview

12 meetings
PortoWins
9
Draws8.3% of meetings
1
EstorilWins
2
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
58.3%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-12 Portugal, Liga Portugal 25/26 Estoril1–3Porto
2025-11-30 Portugal, Liga Portugal 25/26 Porto1–0Estoril
2025-03-30 Portugal, Liga Portugal 24/25 Estoril1–2Porto
2024-11-03 Portugal, Liga Portugal 24/25 Porto4–0Estoril
2024-03-30 Portugal, Liga Portugal 23/24 Estoril1–0Porto
2023-11-03 Portugal, Liga Portugal 23/24 Porto0–1Estoril
2023-03-10 Portugal, Liga Portugal 22/23 Porto3–2Estoril
2022-09-17 Portugal, Liga Portugal 22/23 Estoril1–1Porto
Recent matches

Porto

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Porto3–1Benfica
2026-09-13 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Casa Pia1–4Porto
2026-09-12 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Casa Pia1–4Porto
2026-09-04 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Porto2–1Moreirense
2026-08-29 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Academico Viseu0–3Porto
2026-08-23 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Porto2–0Arouca
2026-08-15 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Rio Ave0–2Porto
2026-08-09 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Porto2–0Alverca

Estoril

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Estoril1–2Casa Pia
2026-09-14 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Sp Braga1–0Estoril
2026-09-07 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Estoril0–0Arouca
2026-08-31 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Benfica2–1Estoril
2026-08-22 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Estoril0–2Rio Ave
2026-08-16 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Nacional2–0Estoril
2026-08-07 Portugal, Liga Portugal 26/27 Estoril1–1Famalicao
2026-05-16 Portugal, Liga Portugal 25/26 Estoril1–3Benfica
Porto Estoril

Wins

100%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
38%

Both teams scored

50%
50%

Clean sheets

50%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Porto

Home · Liga Portugal
HomeAway1st goal
1 · Porto
1 Porto 3–1 Benfica 2 31′ Home
1 Porto Santa Clara 3
1 Porto Sp Lisbon 4
1 Porto Academico Viseu 5
1 Porto 2–0 Arouca 6 67′ Home
1 Porto Sp Braga 7
1 Porto 2–0 Alverca 8 9′ Home
1 Porto Estrela 9
1 Porto Famalicao 10
1 Porto Gil Vicente 11
1 Porto Maritimo 12
1 Porto 2–1 Moreirense 13 20′ Away
1 Porto Guimaraes 14
1 Porto Nacional 15
1 Porto Rio Ave 16
1 Porto Casa Pia 17
1 Porto Estoril 18

Estoril

Away · Liga Portugal
HomeAway1st goal
1 Porto Estoril 18
2 Benfica 2–1 Estoril 18 40′ Home
3 Santa Clara Estoril 18
4 Sp Lisbon Estoril 18
5 Academico Viseu Estoril 18
6 Arouca Estoril 18
7 Sp Braga 1–0 Estoril 18 83′ Home
8 Alverca Estoril 18
9 Estrela Estoril 18
10 Famalicao Estoril 18
11 Gil Vicente Estoril 18
12 Maritimo Estoril 18
13 Moreirense Estoril 18
14 Guimaraes Estoril 18
15 Nacional 2–0 Estoril 18 68′ Home
16 Rio Ave Estoril 18
17 Casa Pia Estoril 18
18 · Estoril
Porto Home Estoril Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Portugal · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Porto

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match3.003.003.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.253.252.75
Goals conceded / match0.500.500.50
Total goals / match2.753.753.25
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%25.0%37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3001
31–4530
46–6031
61–7510
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Estoril

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.500.000.29
Draws50.0%0.0%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.500.330.43
Goals conceded / match1.251.671.43
Total goals / match1.752.001.86
Failed to score50.0%66.7%57.1%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%66.7%71.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4501
46–6001
61–7501
76–9012

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPortoDraw EstorilHow it works
Strength (Elo) 81.9% 7.2% 10.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 77.0% 13.5% 5.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.48–0.49 Model expected goals
53.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
34.0% Both teams to score
2-0 Most likely score, at 15.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-015.8%
3-013.0%
1-012.7%
4-08.1%
2-17.7%
3-16.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePortoEstoril How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1750 1442 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -31 -50 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1502 1547 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 62.7% 45.9% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 67.6% 45.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1095 828 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 36.2% 20.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 73.3% 62.8% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Porto 1.111.05 0.160.58
Estoril 0.250.45 0.800.80

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Porto 2%22%18%30%28%
Estoril 5%20%18%12%45%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.82 Porto at home, 11 matches
0.50 Estoril away, 10 matches
41d Days of rest for Porto
41d Days of rest for Estoril
— Manager of Porto
— Manager of Estoril
0 Matches for Porto in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Estoril in the last 14 days
0 Points for Porto behind the leaders, and 20 above the relegation zone
22 Points for Estoril behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
2.68 League goals per match
26.9% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Porto, the right bar represents Estoril.

On the ball

20 matches
15.35
shots
10.89
5.53
shots on target
3.61
36.0%
accuracy
33.2%
6.21
corners
4.4
13.89
fouls
12.4
1.89
yellow cards
2.16

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Porto WWWWWWWWWL 2.70 2.40–0.70 9W
Estoril LLDLLLDLDD 0.40 0.60–1.50 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Porto12 61 02
Estoril2 99 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Porto

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Estoril

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.