Nacional

Nacional

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202615:30

Portugal 26/27 Liga Portugal · Matchday 11

Academico Viseu

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Nacional0–4Famalicao
2026-09-13	26/27	Nacional1–3Alverca
2026-09-12	26/27	Nacional1–3Alverca
2026-09-05	26/27	Sp Lisbon2–0Nacional
2026-08-30	26/27	Nacional2–3Estrela
2026-08-23	26/27	Guimaraes1–0Nacional
2026-08-16	26/27	Nacional2–0Estoril
2026-08-10	26/27	Santa Clara2–2Nacional

Academico Viseu

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Estrela0–2Academico Viseu
2026-09-13	26/27	Academico Viseu2–1Guimaraes
2026-09-12	26/27	Academico Viseu2–1Guimaraes
2026-09-06	26/27	Gil Vicente0–1Academico Viseu
2026-08-29	26/27	Academico Viseu0–3Porto
2026-08-22	26/27	Maritimo2–2Academico Viseu
2026-08-15	26/27	Academico Viseu0–1Santa Clara
2026-08-09	26/27	Benfica2–2Academico Viseu

Nacional Academico Viseu

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nacional

Home · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Nacional		Porto	1
15	Nacional		Benfica	2
15	Nacional		Santa Clara	3
15	Nacional		Sp Lisbon	4
15	Nacional		Academico Viseu	5
15	Nacional		Arouca	6
15	Nacional		Sp Braga	7
15	Nacional	1–3	Alverca	8	34′ Away
15	Nacional	1–3	Alverca	8	—
15	Nacional	2–3	Estrela	9	3′ Home
15	Nacional	0–4	Famalicao	10	7′ Away
15	Nacional		Gil Vicente	11
15	Nacional		Maritimo	12
15	Nacional		Moreirense	13
15	Nacional		Guimaraes	14
15 · Nacional
15	Nacional		Rio Ave	16
15	Nacional		Casa Pia	17
15	Nacional	2–0	Estoril	18	68′ Home

Academico Viseu

Away · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Porto		Academico Viseu	5
2	Benfica	2–2	Academico Viseu	5	10′ Home
3	Santa Clara		Academico Viseu	5
4	Sp Lisbon		Academico Viseu	5
5 · Academico Viseu
6	Arouca		Academico Viseu	5
7	Sp Braga		Academico Viseu	5
8	Alverca		Academico Viseu	5
9	Estrela	0–2	Academico Viseu	5	10′ Away
10	Famalicao		Academico Viseu	5
11	Gil Vicente	0–1	Academico Viseu	5	4′ Away
12	Maritimo	2–2	Academico Viseu	5	25′ Away
13	Moreirense		Academico Viseu	5
14	Guimaraes		Academico Viseu	5
15	Nacional		Academico Viseu	5
16	Rio Ave		Academico Viseu	5
17	Casa Pia		Academico Viseu	5
18	Estoril		Academico Viseu	5

Nacional Home Academico Viseu Away

Wins

20%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

80%

50%

Over 3.5

80%

50%

Both teams scored

60%

50%

Clean sheets

20%

50%

Scores first

N/A

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Portugal · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nacional

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.60	0.33	0.50
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.20	0.67	1.00
Goals conceded / match	2.60	1.67	2.25
Total goals / match	3.80	2.33	3.25
Failed to score	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Academico Viseu

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.50	2.00	1.75
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.75	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.00	1.25
Total goals / match	2.50	2.75	2.62
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	2	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nacional	Draw	Academico Viseu	How it works
Strength (Elo)	29.9%	22.9%	47.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.7%	22.6%	60.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.78–1.80 Model expected goals

46.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.5% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.7%

0-212.3%

1-110.6%

1-29.6%

0-07.6%

0-37.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nacional	Academico Viseu	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1408	1529	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-37	23	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1513	1543	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	45.9%	35.1%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	47.0%	33.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	950	1071	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	22.5%	35.7%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	72.5%	71.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nacional	0.37	0.53	0.95	0.58
Academico Viseu	0.71	0.57	0.71	0.57

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nacional	2%	22%	28%	20%	28%
Academico Viseu	0%	25%	12%	38%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.09 Nacional at home, 11 matches

2.00 Academico Viseu away, 4 matches

49d Days of rest for Nacional

48d Days of rest for Academico Viseu

Bruno Abreu Manager of Nacional, since 31/08/26

— Manager of Academico Viseu

0 Matches for Nacional in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Academico Viseu in the last 14 days

20 Points for Nacional behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Academico Viseu behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nacional, the right bar represents Academico Viseu.

On the ball

20 matches

12.71

shots

9.2

4.18

shots on target

2.8

32.9%

accuracy

30.4%

4.44

corners

2.71

13.16

fouls

13.0

2.67

yellow cards

2.86

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nacional	LLLLLLWDWL	0.70	1.00–2.00	6L
Academico Viseu	WWWWLDLD	1.75	1.38–1.25	4W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nacional	2	8	9	0	0
Academico Viseu	3	1	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nacional

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Academico Viseu

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.