Alverca

Alverca

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202618:00

Portugal 26/27 Liga Portugal · Matchday 11

Casa Pia

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

AlvercaWins: 2
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Casa PiaWins: 0

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-12	25/26	Alverca3–1Casa Pia
2025-11-29	25/26	Casa Pia0–2Alverca

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Alverca1–0Rio Ave
2026-09-13	26/27	Nacional1–3Alverca
2026-09-12	26/27	Nacional1–3Alverca
2026-09-05	26/27	Alverca1–2Sp Braga
2026-08-29	26/27	Alverca1–1Santa Clara
2026-08-22	26/27	Sp Lisbon3–1Alverca
2026-08-15	26/27	Alverca2–2Estrela
2026-08-09	26/27	Porto2–0Alverca

Casa Pia

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Estoril1–2Casa Pia
2026-09-13	26/27	Casa Pia1–4Porto
2026-09-12	26/27	Casa Pia1–4Porto
2026-09-06	26/27	Guimaraes0–0Casa Pia
2026-08-30	26/27	Casa Pia0–1Moreirense
2026-08-24	26/27	Gil Vicente2–0Casa Pia
2026-08-17	26/27	Casa Pia0–7Benfica
2026-08-08	26/27	Maritimo1–0Casa Pia

Alverca Casa Pia

Wins

38%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Alverca

Home · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Alverca		Porto	1
8	Alverca		Benfica	2
8	Alverca	1–1	Santa Clara	3	69′ Home
8	Alverca		Sp Lisbon	4
8	Alverca		Academico Viseu	5
8	Alverca		Arouca	6
8	Alverca	1–2	Sp Braga	7	27′ Home
8 · Alverca
8	Alverca	2–2	Estrela	9	51′ Away
8	Alverca		Famalicao	10
8	Alverca		Gil Vicente	11
8	Alverca		Maritimo	12
8	Alverca		Moreirense	13
8	Alverca		Guimaraes	14
8	Alverca		Nacional	15
8	Alverca	1–0	Rio Ave	16	3′ Home
8	Alverca		Casa Pia	17
8	Alverca		Estoril	18

Casa Pia

Away · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Porto		Casa Pia	17
2	Benfica		Casa Pia	17
3	Santa Clara		Casa Pia	17
4	Sp Lisbon		Casa Pia	17
5	Academico Viseu		Casa Pia	17
6	Arouca		Casa Pia	17
7	Sp Braga		Casa Pia	17
8	Alverca		Casa Pia	17
9	Estrela		Casa Pia	17
10	Famalicao		Casa Pia	17
11	Gil Vicente	2–0	Casa Pia	17	20′ Home
12	Maritimo	1–0	Casa Pia	17	61′ Home
13	Moreirense		Casa Pia	17
14	Guimaraes	0–0	Casa Pia	17	–
15	Nacional		Casa Pia	17
16	Rio Ave		Casa Pia	17
17 · Casa Pia
18	Estoril	1–2	Casa Pia	17	70′ Home

Alverca Home Casa Pia Away

Wins

25%

Over 1.5

75%

50%

Over 2.5

50%

25%

Over 3.5

25%

0%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

Scores first

75%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Portugal · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Alverca

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.50	1.38
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.75	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.75	1.50
Total goals / match	2.50	3.50	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	3
61–75	2	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Casa Pia

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.00	1.00	0.50
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	0.50	0.50	0.50
Goals conceded / match	4.00	1.00	2.50
Total goals / match	4.50	1.50	3.00
Failed to score	50.0%	75.0%	62.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	75.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	2
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Alverca	Draw	Casa Pia	How it works
Strength (Elo)	54.8%	20.2%	25.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	61.4%	25.1%	12.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.55–0.55 Model expected goals

34.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

33.1% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 19.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-019.0%

2-014.7%

0-012.2%

1-110.4%

2-18.1%

3-07.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Alverca	Casa Pia	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1502	1408	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	17	2	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1532	1540	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	44.3%	40.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	41.6%	36.4%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1003	786	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	31.6%	13.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	68.8%	64.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Alverca	0.53	0.63	0.37	1.00
Casa Pia	0.26	0.21	0.63	1.05

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Alverca	2%	20%	28%	20%	30%
Casa Pia	12%	15%	25%	15%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Alverca at home, 10 matches

0.80 Casa Pia away, 10 matches

49d Days of rest for Alverca

48d Days of rest for Casa Pia

— Manager of Alverca

— Manager of Casa Pia

0 Matches for Alverca in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Casa Pia in the last 14 days

13 Points for Alverca behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

20 Points for Casa Pia behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Alverca, the right bar represents Casa Pia.

On the ball

20 matches

10.53

shots

9.35

3.35

shots on target

2.59

31.8%

accuracy

27.7%

6.0

corners

4.63

11.74

fouls

15.11

1.72

yellow cards

2.21

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Alverca	WWWLDLDLLD	1.20	1.30–1.40	3W
Casa Pia	WLLDLLLLDW	0.80	0.60–2.10	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Alverca	7	6	6	1	3
Casa Pia	3	10	6	0	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Alverca

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Casa Pia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.