Alverca

Alverca

VS Scheduled Sunday 6 Dec 202600:00

Portugal 26/27 Liga Portugal · Matchday 13

Moreirense

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

AlvercaWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
MoreirenseWins: 1

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-01-17	25/26	Alverca2–1Moreirense
2025-08-10	25/26	Moreirense2–1Alverca

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Alverca1–0Rio Ave
2026-09-13	26/27	Nacional1–3Alverca
2026-09-12	26/27	Nacional1–3Alverca
2026-09-05	26/27	Alverca1–2Sp Braga
2026-08-29	26/27	Alverca1–1Santa Clara
2026-08-22	26/27	Sp Lisbon3–1Alverca
2026-08-15	26/27	Alverca2–2Estrela
2026-08-09	26/27	Porto2–0Alverca

Moreirense

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Guimaraes1–1Moreirense
2026-09-14	26/27	Moreirense3–1Maritimo
2026-09-09	26/27	Moreirense0–4Benfica
2026-09-04	26/27	Porto2–1Moreirense
2026-08-30	26/27	Casa Pia0–1Moreirense
2026-08-16	26/27	Arouca4–0Moreirense
2026-08-09	26/27	Moreirense2–2Sp Braga
2026-05-16	25/26	Moreirense0–0AVS

Alverca Moreirense

Wins

38%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Alverca

Home · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Alverca		Porto	1
8	Alverca		Benfica	2
8	Alverca	1–1	Santa Clara	3	69′ Home
8	Alverca		Sp Lisbon	4
8	Alverca		Academico Viseu	5
8	Alverca		Arouca	6
8	Alverca	1–2	Sp Braga	7	27′ Home
8 · Alverca
8	Alverca	2–2	Estrela	9	51′ Away
8	Alverca		Famalicao	10
8	Alverca		Gil Vicente	11
8	Alverca		Maritimo	12
8	Alverca		Moreirense	13
8	Alverca		Guimaraes	14
8	Alverca		Nacional	15
8	Alverca	1–0	Rio Ave	16	3′ Home
8	Alverca		Casa Pia	17
8	Alverca		Estoril	18

Moreirense

Away · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Porto	2–1	Moreirense	13	20′ Away
2	Benfica		Moreirense	13
3	Santa Clara		Moreirense	13
4	Sp Lisbon		Moreirense	13
5	Academico Viseu		Moreirense	13
6	Arouca	4–0	Moreirense	13	—
7	Sp Braga		Moreirense	13
8	Alverca		Moreirense	13
9	Estrela		Moreirense	13
10	Famalicao		Moreirense	13
11	Gil Vicente		Moreirense	13
12	Maritimo		Moreirense	13
13 · Moreirense
14	Guimaraes	1–1	Moreirense	13	52′ Away
15	Nacional		Moreirense	13
16	Rio Ave		Moreirense	13
17	Casa Pia	0–1	Moreirense	13	24′ Away
18	Estoril		Moreirense	13

Alverca Home Moreirense Away

Wins

25%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

25%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

Scores first

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Portugal · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Alverca

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.50	1.38
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.75	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.75	1.50
Total goals / match	2.50	3.50	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	3
61–75	2	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Moreirense

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.00	1.14
Draws	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.75	1.14
Goals conceded / match	2.33	1.75	2.00
Total goals / match	4.00	2.50	3.14
Failed to score	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Alverca	Draw	Moreirense	How it works
Strength (Elo)	45.4%	23.3%	31.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	47.7%	26.3%	25.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.47–0.99 Model expected goals

44.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

48.1% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 12.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-012.6%

1-112.5%

2-09.2%

2-19.1%

0-08.6%

0-18.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Alverca	Moreirense	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1502	1479	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	17	-7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1532	1548	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	44.3%	35.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	41.6%	35.4%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1003	930	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	31.6%	27.5%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	68.8%	65.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Alverca	0.53	0.63	0.37	1.00
Moreirense	0.55	0.35	0.80	0.90

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Alverca	2%	20%	28%	20%	30%
Moreirense	5%	20%	22%	25%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Alverca at home, 10 matches

0.90 Moreirense away, 10 matches

78d Days of rest for Alverca

77d Days of rest for Moreirense

— Manager of Alverca

— Manager of Moreirense

0 Matches for Alverca in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Moreirense in the last 14 days

13 Points for Alverca behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Moreirense behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Alverca, the right bar represents Moreirense.

On the ball

20 matches

10.53

shots

8.0

3.35

shots on target

2.83

31.8%

accuracy

35.4%

6.0

corners

3.0

11.74

fouls

13.65

1.72

yellow cards

2.53

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Alverca	WWWLDLDLLD	1.20	1.30–1.40	3W
Moreirense	DWLLWLDDLW	1.20	1.10–1.80	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Alverca	7	6	6	1	3
Moreirense	5	7	8	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Alverca

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Moreirense

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.