Sp Lisbon

Sp Lisbon

VS Scheduled Sunday 20 Dec 202600:00

Portugal 26/27 Liga Portugal · Matchday 15

Estoril

Head-to-head overview

12 meetings

Sp LisbonWins: 11
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
EstorilWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.58
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 25.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-27	25/26	Sp Lisbon3–0Estoril
2025-09-27	25/26	Estoril0–1Sp Lisbon
2025-03-03	24/25	Sp Lisbon3–1Estoril
2024-09-27	24/25	Estoril0–3Sp Lisbon
2024-05-11	23/24	Estoril0–1Sp Lisbon
2024-01-05	23/24	Sp Lisbon5–1Estoril
2023-02-27	22/23	Sp Lisbon2–0Estoril
2022-09-02	22/23	Estoril0–2Sp Lisbon
2022-02-20	21/22	Sp Lisbon3–0Estoril
2021-09-19	21/22	Estoril0–1Sp Lisbon
2018-02-04	17/18	Estoril2–0Sp Lisbon
2017-08-27	17/18	Sp Lisbon2–1Estoril

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Sp Lisbon2–2Arouca
2026-09-14	26/27	Famalicao1–1Sp Lisbon
2026-09-13	26/27	Famalicao1–1Sp Lisbon
2026-09-05	26/27	Sp Lisbon2–0Nacional
2026-08-28	26/27	Rio Ave0–4Sp Lisbon
2026-08-22	26/27	Sp Lisbon3–1Alverca
2026-08-14	26/27	Sp Lisbon3–2Guimaraes
2026-08-08	26/27	Estrela2–2Sp Lisbon

Estoril

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Estoril1–2Casa Pia
2026-09-14	26/27	Sp Braga1–0Estoril
2026-09-07	26/27	Estoril0–0Arouca
2026-08-31	26/27	Benfica2–1Estoril
2026-08-22	26/27	Estoril0–2Rio Ave
2026-08-16	26/27	Nacional2–0Estoril
2026-08-07	26/27	Estoril1–1Famalicao
2026-05-16	25/26	Estoril1–3Benfica

Sp Lisbon Estoril

Wins

50%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

38%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sp Lisbon

Home · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Sp Lisbon		Porto	1
4	Sp Lisbon		Benfica	2
4	Sp Lisbon		Santa Clara	3
4 · Sp Lisbon
4	Sp Lisbon		Academico Viseu	5
4	Sp Lisbon	2–2	Arouca	6	3′ Home
4	Sp Lisbon		Sp Braga	7
4	Sp Lisbon	3–1	Alverca	8	—
4	Sp Lisbon		Estrela	9
4	Sp Lisbon		Famalicao	10
4	Sp Lisbon		Gil Vicente	11
4	Sp Lisbon		Maritimo	12
4	Sp Lisbon		Moreirense	13
4	Sp Lisbon	3–2	Guimaraes	14	9′ Home
4	Sp Lisbon	2–0	Nacional	15	32′ Home
4	Sp Lisbon		Rio Ave	16
4	Sp Lisbon		Casa Pia	17
4	Sp Lisbon		Estoril	18

Estoril

Away · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Porto		Estoril	18
2	Benfica	2–1	Estoril	18	40′ Home
3	Santa Clara		Estoril	18
4	Sp Lisbon		Estoril	18
5	Academico Viseu		Estoril	18
6	Arouca		Estoril	18
7	Sp Braga	1–0	Estoril	18	83′ Home
8	Alverca		Estoril	18
9	Estrela		Estoril	18
10	Famalicao		Estoril	18
11	Gil Vicente		Estoril	18
12	Maritimo		Estoril	18
13	Moreirense		Estoril	18
14	Guimaraes		Estoril	18
15	Nacional	2–0	Estoril	18	68′ Home
16	Rio Ave		Estoril	18
17	Casa Pia		Estoril	18
18 · Estoril

Sp Lisbon Home Estoril Away

Wins

75%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

75%

33%

Over 3.5

75%

0%

Both teams scored

75%

33%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

100%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Portugal · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sp Lisbon

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.50	1.50	2.00
Draws	25.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	2.00	2.25
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.00	1.12
Total goals / match	3.75	3.00	3.38
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 4	100%
Scores first → wins	3 of 4	75%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Estoril

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.00	0.29
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.50	0.33	0.43
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.67	1.43
Total goals / match	1.75	2.00	1.86
Failed to score	50.0%	66.7%	57.1%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	66.7%	71.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sp Lisbon	Draw	Estoril	How it works
Strength (Elo)	79.2%	8.5%	12.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	76.3%	11.7%	5.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.81–0.60 Model expected goals

59.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

39.4% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-013.0%

3-012.2%

1-09.3%

4-08.6%

2-17.8%

3-17.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sp Lisbon	Estoril	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1724	1442	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-65	-50	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1547	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	61.6%	45.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	68.5%	45.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1090	828	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	42.3%	20.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	66.7%	62.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sp Lisbon	1.37	1.26	0.21	0.84
Estoril	0.25	0.45	0.80	0.80

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sp Lisbon	0%	8%	22%	30%	40%
Estoril	5%	20%	18%	12%	45%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.30 Sp Lisbon at home, 10 matches

0.50 Estoril away, 10 matches

92d Days of rest for Sp Lisbon

91d Days of rest for Estoril

— Manager of Sp Lisbon

— Manager of Estoril

0 Matches for Sp Lisbon in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Estoril in the last 14 days

8 Points for Sp Lisbon behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

22 Points for Estoril behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sp Lisbon, the right bar represents Estoril.

On the ball

20 matches

15.18

shots

10.89

6.53

shots on target

3.61

43.0%

accuracy

33.2%

5.53

corners

4.4

11.58

fouls

12.4

1.84

yellow cards

2.16

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sp Lisbon	DDDWWWWDWW	2.20	2.50–1.00	3D
Estoril	LLDLLLDLDD	0.40	0.60–1.50	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sp Lisbon	12	6	1	0	2
Estoril	2	9	9	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sp Lisbon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Estoril

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.