Moreirense

Moreirense

VS Scheduled Sunday 27 Dec 202600:00

Portugal 26/27 Liga Portugal · Matchday 16

Academico Viseu

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Guimaraes1–1Moreirense
2026-09-14	26/27	Moreirense3–1Maritimo
2026-09-09	26/27	Moreirense0–4Benfica
2026-09-04	26/27	Porto2–1Moreirense
2026-08-30	26/27	Casa Pia0–1Moreirense
2026-08-16	26/27	Arouca4–0Moreirense
2026-08-09	26/27	Moreirense2–2Sp Braga
2026-05-16	25/26	Moreirense0–0AVS

Academico Viseu

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Estrela0–2Academico Viseu
2026-09-13	26/27	Academico Viseu2–1Guimaraes
2026-09-12	26/27	Academico Viseu2–1Guimaraes
2026-09-06	26/27	Gil Vicente0–1Academico Viseu
2026-08-29	26/27	Academico Viseu0–3Porto
2026-08-22	26/27	Maritimo2–2Academico Viseu
2026-08-15	26/27	Academico Viseu0–1Santa Clara
2026-08-09	26/27	Benfica2–2Academico Viseu

Moreirense Academico Viseu

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Moreirense

Home · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Moreirense		Porto	1
13	Moreirense	0–4	Benfica	2	45+4′ Away
13	Moreirense		Santa Clara	3
13	Moreirense		Sp Lisbon	4
13	Moreirense		Academico Viseu	5
13	Moreirense		Arouca	6
13	Moreirense	2–2	Sp Braga	7	7′ Away
13	Moreirense		Alverca	8
13	Moreirense		Estrela	9
13	Moreirense		Famalicao	10
13	Moreirense		Gil Vicente	11
13	Moreirense	3–1	Maritimo	12	18′ Home
13 · Moreirense
13	Moreirense		Guimaraes	14
13	Moreirense		Nacional	15
13	Moreirense		Rio Ave	16
13	Moreirense		Casa Pia	17
13	Moreirense		Estoril	18

Academico Viseu

Away · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Porto		Academico Viseu	5
2	Benfica	2–2	Academico Viseu	5	10′ Home
3	Santa Clara		Academico Viseu	5
4	Sp Lisbon		Academico Viseu	5
5 · Academico Viseu
6	Arouca		Academico Viseu	5
7	Sp Braga		Academico Viseu	5
8	Alverca		Academico Viseu	5
9	Estrela	0–2	Academico Viseu	5	10′ Away
10	Famalicao		Academico Viseu	5
11	Gil Vicente	0–1	Academico Viseu	5	4′ Away
12	Maritimo	2–2	Academico Viseu	5	25′ Away
13	Moreirense		Academico Viseu	5
14	Guimaraes		Academico Viseu	5
15	Nacional		Academico Viseu	5
16	Rio Ave		Academico Viseu	5
17	Casa Pia		Academico Viseu	5
18	Estoril		Academico Viseu	5

Moreirense Home Academico Viseu Away

Wins

33%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

100%

50%

Over 3.5

100%

50%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Scores first

33%

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Portugal · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Moreirense

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.00	1.14
Draws	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.75	1.14
Goals conceded / match	2.33	1.75	2.00
Total goals / match	4.00	2.50	3.14
Failed to score	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	2	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	2
61–75	0	2
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Academico Viseu

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.50	2.00	1.75
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.75	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.00	1.25
Total goals / match	2.50	2.75	2.62
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	2	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Moreirense	Draw	Academico Viseu	How it works
Strength (Elo)	36.9%	24.3%	38.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	14.5%	21.3%	62.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.78–1.91 Model expected goals

49.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.3% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.0%

0-212.4%

1-110.1%

1-29.6%

0-37.9%

0-06.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Moreirense	Academico Viseu	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1479	1529	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-7	23	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1548	1543	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	35.8%	35.1%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	35.4%	33.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	930	1071	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	27.5%	35.7%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	65.6%	71.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Moreirense	0.55	0.35	0.80	0.90
Academico Viseu	0.71	0.57	0.71	0.57

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Moreirense	5%	20%	22%	25%	28%
Academico Viseu	0%	25%	12%	38%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 Moreirense at home, 10 matches

2.00 Academico Viseu away, 4 matches

98d Days of rest for Moreirense

98d Days of rest for Academico Viseu

— Manager of Moreirense

— Manager of Academico Viseu

0 Matches for Moreirense in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Academico Viseu in the last 14 days

16 Points for Moreirense behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Academico Viseu behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Moreirense, the right bar represents Academico Viseu.

On the ball

20 matches

8.0

shots

9.2

2.83

shots on target

2.8

35.4%

accuracy

30.4%

3.0

corners

2.71

13.65

fouls

13.0

2.53

yellow cards

2.86

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Moreirense	DWLLWLDDLW	1.20	1.10–1.80	1D
Academico Viseu	WWWWLDLD	1.75	1.38–1.25	4W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Moreirense	5	7	8	1	2
Academico Viseu	3	1	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Moreirense

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Academico Viseu

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.