Head-to-head overview
7 meetings- EstrelaWins
- 1
- Draws42.9% of meetings
- 3
- Rio AveWins
- 3
- Goals per match
- 3.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57.1%
- Both teams scored
- 71.4%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Rio Ave3–3Estrela |
| 2026-03-15 |
25/26
|
Rio Ave2–1Estrela |
| 2025-10-25 |
25/26
|
Estrela1–2Rio Ave |
| 2025-05-05 |
24/25
|
Rio Ave2–0Estrela |
| 2024-12-23 |
24/25
|
Estrela1–0Rio Ave |
| 2024-04-14 |
23/24
|
Estrela2–2Rio Ave |
| 2023-12-02 |
23/24
|
Rio Ave1–1Estrela |
Recent matches
Estrela
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Estrela0–2Academico Viseu |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Rio Ave3–3Estrela |
| 2026-09-10 |
26/27
|
Estrela2–1Sp Braga |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Estrela2–2Famalicao |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Nacional2–3Estrela |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Alverca2–2Estrela |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Estrela2–2Sp Lisbon |
| 2026-05-16 |
25/26
|
Sp Braga2–2Estrela |
Rio Ave
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Alverca1–0Rio Ave |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Rio Ave3–3Estrela |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Santa Clara4–0Rio Ave |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Rio Ave0–4Sp Lisbon |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Estoril0–2Rio Ave |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Rio Ave0–2Porto |
| 2026-08-09 |
26/27
|
Gil Vicente1–0Rio Ave |
| 2026-05-16 |
25/26
|
Casa Pia1–1Rio Ave |
Estrela
Rio Ave
Wins
25%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
38%
Both teams scored
88%
25%
Clean sheets
0%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Estrela
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Estrela | Porto | 1 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | Benfica | 2 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | Santa Clara | 3 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | 2–2 | Sp Lisbon | 4 | — |
| 9 | Estrela | 0–2 | Academico Viseu | 5 | 10′ Away |
| 9 | Estrela | Arouca | 6 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | 2–1 | Sp Braga | 7 | 5′ Away |
| 9 | Estrela | Alverca | 8 | ||
| 9 · Estrela | |||||
| 9 | Estrela | 2–2 | Famalicao | 10 | 2′ Away |
| 9 | Estrela | Gil Vicente | 11 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | Maritimo | 12 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | Moreirense | 13 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | Guimaraes | 14 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | Nacional | 15 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | Casa Pia | 17 | ||
| 9 | Estrela | Estoril | 18 | ||
Rio Ave
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 2 | Benfica | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 3 | Santa Clara | 4–0 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3′ Home |
| 4 | Sp Lisbon | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 5 | Academico Viseu | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 6 | Arouca | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 7 | Sp Braga | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 8 | Alverca | 1–0 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3′ Home |
| 9 | Estrela | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 10 | Famalicao | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 1–0 | Rio Ave | 16 | 87′ Home |
| 12 | Maritimo | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 13 | Moreirense | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 14 | Guimaraes | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 15 | Nacional | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 16 · Rio Ave | |||||
| 17 | Casa Pia | Rio Ave | 16 | ||
| 18 | Estoril | 0–2 | Rio Ave | 16 | 15′ Away |
Estrela Home
Rio Ave Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Liga Portugal · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Estrela
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away3 matches | Overall7 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.25 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Draws | 50.0% | 66.7% | 57.1% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.50 | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.75 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Total goals / match | 3.25 | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 0.0% | 14.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 0.0% | 14.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 3/4 home.Scoring order known: 6/7 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Rio Ave
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away4 matches | Overall7 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded / match | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.14 |
| Total goals / match | 4.00 | 2.00 | 2.86 |
| Failed to score | 66.7% | 75.0% | 71.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 75.0% | 57.1% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 11 of 1 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 30 of 6 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 4/4 away.Scoring order known: 7/7 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 2 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Estrela | Draw | Rio Ave | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 45.1% | 23.4% | 31.5% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 42.1% | 25.9% | 31.5% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.44–1.21
Model expected goals
49.0%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
53.2%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 12.3%
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-010.2%
2-18.9%
0-18.5%
1-27.4%
2-07.3%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Estrela | Rio Ave | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1453 | 1433 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 48 | -16 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1536 | 1531 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 45.8% | 45.3% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 47.7% | 44.1% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 979 | 901 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 33.3% | 23.4% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 64.6% | 66.7% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 0.50 | 0.85 | 0.70 | 0.95 |
| Rio Ave | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.85 | 0.70 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 12% | 10% | 18% | 15% | 45% |
| Rio Ave | 8% | 12% | 22% | 25% | 32% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.00
Estrela at home, 10 matches
1.30
Rio Ave away, 10 matches
154d
Days of rest for Estrela
155d
Days of rest for Rio Ave
—
Manager of Estrela
—
Manager of Rio Ave
0
Matches for Estrela in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Rio Ave in the last 14 days
14
Points for Estrela behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
20
Points for Rio Ave behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.68
League goals per match
26.9%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Estrela, the right bar represents Rio Ave.
On the ball
11.28
10.89
shots
4.0
3.56
shots on target
35.5%
32.7%
accuracy
3.75
4.4
corners
12.7
11.5
fouls
2.45
2.3
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | LDWDWDDDDL | 1.20 | 1.80–1.90 | 1L |
| Rio Ave | LDLLWLLDLD | 0.60 | 0.70–2.00 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 3 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Rio Ave | 2 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Estrela
No absences reported.
Rio Ave
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.