Estrela

Estrela

VS Scheduled Sunday 9 May 202701:00

Portugal 26/27 Liga Portugal · Matchday 33

Santa Clara

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings

EstrelaWins: 1
Draws50.0% of meetings: 2
Santa ClaraWins: 1

Goals per match: 0.50
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-07	25/26	Estrela1–0Santa Clara
2025-08-31	25/26	Santa Clara0–0Estrela
2025-02-23	24/25	Estrela0–0Santa Clara
2024-09-21	24/25	Santa Clara1–0Estrela

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Estrela0–2Academico Viseu
2026-09-14	26/27	Rio Ave3–3Estrela
2026-09-10	26/27	Estrela2–1Sp Braga
2026-09-05	26/27	Estrela2–2Famalicao
2026-08-30	26/27	Nacional2–3Estrela
2026-08-15	26/27	Alverca2–2Estrela
2026-08-08	26/27	Estrela2–2Sp Lisbon
2026-05-16	25/26	Sp Braga2–2Estrela

Santa Clara

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Santa Clara0–0Sp Braga
2026-09-14	26/27	Arouca1–2Santa Clara
2026-09-13	26/27	Arouca1–2Santa Clara
2026-09-06	26/27	Santa Clara4–0Rio Ave
2026-08-29	26/27	Alverca1–1Santa Clara
2026-08-23	26/27	Santa Clara1–0Famalicao
2026-08-15	26/27	Academico Viseu0–1Santa Clara
2026-08-10	26/27	Santa Clara2–2Nacional

Estrela Santa Clara

Wins

25%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

50%

Both teams scored

88%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Estrela

Home · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Estrela		Porto	1
9	Estrela		Benfica	2
9	Estrela		Santa Clara	3
9	Estrela	2–2	Sp Lisbon	4	—
9	Estrela	0–2	Academico Viseu	5	10′ Away
9	Estrela		Arouca	6
9	Estrela	2–1	Sp Braga	7	5′ Away
9	Estrela		Alverca	8
9 · Estrela
9	Estrela	2–2	Famalicao	10	2′ Away
9	Estrela		Gil Vicente	11
9	Estrela		Maritimo	12
9	Estrela		Moreirense	13
9	Estrela		Guimaraes	14
9	Estrela		Nacional	15
9	Estrela		Rio Ave	16
9	Estrela		Casa Pia	17
9	Estrela		Estoril	18

Santa Clara

Away · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Porto		Santa Clara	3
2	Benfica		Santa Clara	3
3 · Santa Clara
4	Sp Lisbon		Santa Clara	3
5	Academico Viseu	0–1	Santa Clara	3	14′ Away
6	Arouca	1–2	Santa Clara	3	22′ Away
6	Arouca	1–2	Santa Clara	3	—
7	Sp Braga		Santa Clara	3
8	Alverca	1–1	Santa Clara	3	69′ Home
9	Estrela		Santa Clara	3
10	Famalicao		Santa Clara	3
11	Gil Vicente		Santa Clara	3
12	Maritimo		Santa Clara	3
13	Moreirense		Santa Clara	3
14	Guimaraes		Santa Clara	3
15	Nacional		Santa Clara	3
16	Rio Ave		Santa Clara	3
17	Casa Pia		Santa Clara	3
18	Estoril		Santa Clara	3

Estrela Home Santa Clara Away

Wins

25%

75%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

75%

50%

Over 3.5

50%

0%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Portugal · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Estrela

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.67	1.43
Draws	50.0%	66.7%	57.1%
Goals scored / match	1.50	2.67	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.75	2.33	2.00
Total goals / match	3.25	5.00	4.00
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Santa Clara

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.50	2.25
Draws	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.75	1.50	1.62
Goals conceded / match	0.50	0.75	0.62
Total goals / match	2.25	2.25	2.25
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Estrela	Draw	Santa Clara	How it works
Strength (Elo)	32.6%	23.7%	43.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	16.1%	21.9%	60.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.84–1.88 Model expected goals

49.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 12.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-112.4%

0-211.7%

1-110.4%

1-29.8%

0-37.3%

0-06.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Estrela	Santa Clara	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1453	1546	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	48	69	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1536	1522	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	45.8%	55.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	47.7%	50.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	979	1143	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	33.3%	44.4%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	64.6%	69.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Estrela	0.50	0.85	0.70	0.95
Santa Clara	0.68	0.68	0.47	0.42

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Estrela	12%	10%	18%	15%	45%
Santa Clara	10%	32%	20%	20%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Estrela at home, 10 matches

1.55 Santa Clara away, 11 matches

231d Days of rest for Estrela

231d Days of rest for Santa Clara

— Manager of Estrela

— Manager of Santa Clara

0 Matches for Estrela in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Santa Clara in the last 14 days

14 Points for Estrela behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Santa Clara behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Estrela, the right bar represents Santa Clara.

On the ball

20 matches

11.28

shots

11.88

4.0

shots on target

3.18

35.5%

accuracy

26.7%

3.75

corners

4.32

12.7

fouls

14.0

2.45

yellow cards

2.26

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Estrela	LDWDWDDDDL	1.20	1.80–1.90	1L
Santa Clara	DWWWDWWDLW	2.10	1.50–0.60	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Estrela	3	10	7	0	2
Santa Clara	6	10	3	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Estrela

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Santa Clara

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.