Maritimo

Maritimo

VS Scheduled Sunday 16 May 202701:00

Portugal 26/27 Liga Portugal · Matchday 34

Alverca

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Gil Vicente1–1Maritimo
2026-09-14	26/27	Moreirense3–1Maritimo
2026-09-05	26/27	Maritimo0–3Benfica
2026-08-29	26/27	Arouca2–1Maritimo
2026-08-22	26/27	Maritimo2–2Academico Viseu
2026-08-16	26/27	Famalicao1–2Maritimo
2026-08-08	26/27	Maritimo1–0Casa Pia
2023-05-27	22/23	Estoril3–1Maritimo

Alverca

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Alverca1–0Rio Ave
2026-09-13	26/27	Nacional1–3Alverca
2026-09-12	26/27	Nacional1–3Alverca
2026-09-05	26/27	Alverca1–2Sp Braga
2026-08-29	26/27	Alverca1–1Santa Clara
2026-08-22	26/27	Sp Lisbon3–1Alverca
2026-08-15	26/27	Alverca2–2Estrela
2026-08-09	26/27	Porto2–0Alverca

Maritimo Alverca

Wins

25%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

62%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Maritimo

Home · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Maritimo		Porto	1
12	Maritimo	0–3	Benfica	2	7′ Away
12	Maritimo		Santa Clara	3
12	Maritimo		Sp Lisbon	4
12	Maritimo	2–2	Academico Viseu	5	25′ Away
12	Maritimo		Arouca	6
12	Maritimo		Sp Braga	7
12	Maritimo		Alverca	8
12	Maritimo		Estrela	9
12	Maritimo		Famalicao	10
12	Maritimo		Gil Vicente	11
12 · Maritimo
12	Maritimo		Moreirense	13
12	Maritimo		Guimaraes	14
12	Maritimo		Nacional	15
12	Maritimo		Rio Ave	16
12	Maritimo	1–0	Casa Pia	17	61′ Home
12	Maritimo		Estoril	18

Alverca

Away · Liga Portugal

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Porto	2–0	Alverca	8	9′ Home
2	Benfica		Alverca	8
3	Santa Clara		Alverca	8
4	Sp Lisbon	3–1	Alverca	8	—
5	Academico Viseu		Alverca	8
6	Arouca		Alverca	8
7	Sp Braga		Alverca	8
8 · Alverca
9	Estrela		Alverca	8
10	Famalicao		Alverca	8
11	Gil Vicente		Alverca	8
12	Maritimo		Alverca	8
13	Moreirense		Alverca	8
14	Guimaraes		Alverca	8
15	Nacional	1–3	Alverca	8	34′ Away
15	Nacional	1–3	Alverca	8	—
16	Rio Ave		Alverca	8
17	Casa Pia		Alverca	8
18	Estoril		Alverca	8

Maritimo Home Alverca Away

Wins

33%

50%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

67%

75%

Over 3.5

33%

75%

Both teams scored

33%

75%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

33%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Portugal · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Maritimo

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.00	1.14
Draws	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.25	1.14
Goals conceded / match	1.67	1.75	1.71
Total goals / match	2.67	3.00	2.86
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Alverca

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.50	1.38
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.75	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.75	1.50
Total goals / match	2.50	3.50	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Maritimo	Draw	Alverca	How it works
Strength (Elo)	38.0%	24.4%	37.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	25.0%	22.9%	50.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.21–1.83 Model expected goals

57.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

58.1% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.6%

1-29.7%

0-18.7%

0-28.0%

2-16.4%

1-35.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Maritimo	Alverca	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1462	1502	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	56	17	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1522	1532	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	52.7%	44.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	48.3%	41.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	930	1003	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	28.9%	31.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	64.0%	68.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Maritimo	0.50	0.80	0.85	0.95
Alverca	0.53	0.63	0.37	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Maritimo	2%	20%	18%	35%	25%
Alverca	2%	20%	28%	20%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Maritimo at home, 10 matches

1.10 Alverca away, 10 matches

239d Days of rest for Maritimo

239d Days of rest for Alverca

— Manager of Maritimo

— Manager of Alverca

0 Matches for Maritimo in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Alverca in the last 14 days

16 Points for Maritimo behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Alverca behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Maritimo, the right bar represents Alverca.

On the ball

20 matches

14.28

shots

10.53

4.61

shots on target

3.35

32.3%

accuracy

31.8%

4.95

corners

6.0

14.6

fouls

11.74

2.7

yellow cards

1.72

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Maritimo	DLLLDWWLWL	1.10	1.10–1.70	1D
Alverca	WWWLDLDLLD	1.20	1.30–1.40	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Maritimo	4	4	12	1	2
Alverca	7	6	6	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Maritimo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Alverca

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.