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Doncaster
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League One · Matchday 8
Oxford

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings
DoncasterWins
2
Draws30.0% of meetings
3
OxfordWins
5
Goals per match
2.70
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2022-04-30 England, League One 21/22 Oxford1–1Doncaster
2021-12-07 England, League One 21/22 Doncaster1–2Oxford
2021-03-16 England, League One 20/21 Oxford3–0Doncaster
2021-02-06 England, League One 20/21 Doncaster3–2Oxford
2020-01-01 England, League One 19/20 Doncaster1–0Oxford
2019-10-12 England, League One 19/20 Oxford3–0Doncaster
2019-04-27 England, League One 18/19 Oxford2–2Doncaster
2018-12-22 England, League One 18/19 Doncaster2–2Oxford
Recent matches

Doncaster

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro0–2Doncaster
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 AFC Wimbledon1–0Doncaster
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 AFC Wimbledon1–0Doncaster
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Doncaster2–3Plymouth
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Doncaster1–1Notts County
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage2–2Doncaster
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Doncaster0–0Barnsley
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Mansfield2–1Doncaster

Oxford

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Oxford1–1Cambridge
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Leicester0–4Oxford
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Huddersfield3–1Oxford
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage1–2Oxford
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Oxford2–2Milton Keynes Dons
2024-04-27 England, League One 23/24 Exeter1–2Oxford
Doncaster Oxford

Wins

12%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
88%

Both teams scored

50%
62%

Clean sheets

25%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Doncaster

Home · League One

Oxford

Away · League One
Doncaster Home Oxford Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Doncaster

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway5 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match0.670.800.75
Draws66.7%20.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match1.001.001.00
Goals conceded / match1.331.201.25
Total goals / match2.332.202.25
Failed to score33.3%40.0%37.5%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%60.0%62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4510
46–6010
61–7502
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Oxford

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match2.002.002.00
Draws50.0%0.0%28.6%
Goals scored / match2.252.332.29
Goals conceded / match0.751.331.00
Total goals / match3.003.673.29
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%0.0%14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3000
31–4500
46–6021
61–7521
76–9022

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelDoncasterDraw OxfordHow it works
Strength (Elo) 30.8% 24.2% 45.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 15.4% 21.3% 61.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.83–1.93 Model expected goals
50.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
47.4% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 12.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-112.2%
0-211.8%
1-110.1%
1-29.8%
0-37.6%
0-06.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureDoncasterOxford How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1459 1565 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 8 -7 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1490 1502 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 51.0% 55.0% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 53.8% 59.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 940 1018 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 26.8% 36.2% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 67.2% 65.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Doncaster 0.210.89 0.370.74
Oxford 0.891.11 0.370.84

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Doncaster 8%22%20%25%25%
Oxford 5%5%22%30%38%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Doncaster at home, 10 matches
1.78 Oxford away, 9 matches
87d Days of rest for Doncaster
87d Days of rest for Oxford
— Manager of Doncaster
— Manager of Oxford
0 Matches for Doncaster in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Oxford in the last 14 days
12 Points for Doncaster behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
4 Points for Oxford behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.62 League goals per match
25.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Doncaster, the right bar represents Oxford.

On the ball

20 matches
13.06
shots
15.41
4.18
shots on target
5.53
32.0%
accuracy
35.9%
4.16
corners
4.89
11.11
fouls
10.68
2.0
yellow cards
1.44

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Doncaster WLLLDDDLWD 1.00 1.20–1.20 1W
Oxford DWWWLWDWDL 1.80 1.90–1.00 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Doncaster4 87 01
Oxford9 73 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Doncaster

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Oxford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams