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AFC Wimbledon
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League One · Matchday 9
Stevenage

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings
AFC WimbledonWins
0
Draws50.0% of meetings
1
StevenageWins
1
Goals per match
0.50
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
0.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-03-14 England, League One 25/26 Stevenage1–0AFC Wimbledon
2025-12-26 England, League One 25/26 AFC Wimbledon0–0Stevenage
Recent matches

AFC Wimbledon

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League One 26/27 Cambridge1–1AFC Wimbledon
2026-09-17 England, League One 26/27 AFC Wimbledon0–0Milton Keynes Dons
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 AFC Wimbledon1–0Doncaster
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 AFC Wimbledon1–0Doncaster
2026-09-07 England, League One 26/27 Bromley0–2AFC Wimbledon
2026-09-02 England, League One 26/27 Burton4–1AFC Wimbledon
2026-08-30 England, League One 26/27 AFC Wimbledon1–0Wigan
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 AFC Wimbledon0–0Reading

Stevenage

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Leyton Orient1–0Stevenage
2026-09-10 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage2–1Luton
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Barnsley1–5Stevenage
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro0–0Stevenage
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage2–2Doncaster
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage1–2Oxford
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Burton1–1Stevenage
2026-05-02 England, League One 25/26 Stevenage1–0Wigan
AFC Wimbledon Stevenage

Wins

50%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

12%
50%

Both teams scored

25%
62%

Clean sheets

75%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Stevenage

Away · League One
AFC Wimbledon Home Stevenage Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

AFC Wimbledon

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.201.001.67
Draws40.0%25.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match0.601.000.78
Goals conceded / match0.002.000.89
Total goals / match0.603.001.67
Failed to score40.0%25.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%50.0%77.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15—0
16–30—0
31–45—0
46–60—0
61–75—0
76–90—0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Stevenage

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.331.251.29
Draws33.3%50.0%42.9%
Goals scored / match1.671.501.57
Goals conceded / match1.670.751.14
Total goals / match3.332.252.71
Failed to score0.0%50.0%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%75.0%42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4510
46–6020
61–7511
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAFC WimbledonDraw StevenageHow it works
Strength (Elo) 34.0% 25.0% 41.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 14.0% 25.6% 59.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.58–1.52 Model expected goals
34.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
34.3% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 18.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-118.6%
0-214.1%
0-012.2%
1-110.8%
1-28.2%
0-37.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAFC WimbledonStevenage How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1452 1526 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 35 12 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1506 1502 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 43.6% 49.2% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 37.3% 54.7% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 812 1018 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 19.1% 32.9% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 62.0% 69.0% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
AFC Wimbledon 0.370.21 0.581.05
Stevenage 0.450.70 0.250.70

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
AFC Wimbledon 10%32%15%10%32%
Stevenage 15%32%10%20%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.09 AFC Wimbledon at home, 11 matches
1.30 Stevenage away, 10 matches
7d Days of rest for AFC Wimbledon
14d Days of rest for Stevenage
— Manager of AFC Wimbledon
— Manager of Stevenage
1 Matches for AFC Wimbledon in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Stevenage in the last 14 days
3 Points for AFC Wimbledon behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Stevenage behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.62 League goals per match
25.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents AFC Wimbledon, the right bar represents Stevenage.

On the ball

20 matches
10.38
shots
10.0
2.94
shots on target
3.68
28.3%
accuracy
36.8%
5.63
corners
3.85
12.21
fouls
12.4
1.84
yellow cards
1.8

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
AFC Wimbledon DDWWWLWDLL 1.50 0.70–1.20 2D
Stevenage LWWDDLDWDW 1.60 1.40–0.90 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
AFC Wimbledon5 77 03
Stevenage6 131 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

AFC Wimbledon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Stevenage

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.