Mansfield

Mansfield

VS Scheduled Thursday 15 Oct 202620:00

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 11

Oxford

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Burton2–2Mansfield
2026-09-13	26/27	Mansfield0–0Huddersfield
2026-09-12	26/27	Mansfield0–0Huddersfield
2026-09-05	26/27	Bradford1–0Mansfield
2026-09-02	26/27	Reading5–0Mansfield
2026-08-30	26/27	Mansfield5–2Luton
2026-08-22	26/27	Peterboro2–1Mansfield
2026-08-15	26/27	Mansfield2–1Doncaster

Oxford

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Oxford1–1Cambridge
2026-09-13	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-12	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-05	26/27	Leicester0–4Oxford
2026-09-01	26/27	Huddersfield3–1Oxford
2026-08-22	26/27	Stevenage1–2Oxford
2026-08-15	26/27	Oxford2–2Milton Keynes Dons
2024-04-27	23/24	Exeter1–2Oxford

Mansfield Oxford

Wins

25%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mansfield

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
16	Mansfield		Bradford	1
16	Mansfield		Plymouth	2
16	Mansfield		Cambridge	3
16	Mansfield		Sheffield Weds	4
16	Mansfield		AFC Wimbledon	5
16	Mansfield		Oxford	6
16	Mansfield		Stockport	7
16	Mansfield	0–0	Huddersfield	8	–
16	Mansfield	0–0	Huddersfield	8	–
16	Mansfield		Wycombe	9
16	Mansfield		Leicester	10
16	Mansfield		Burton	11
16	Mansfield		Reading	12
16	Mansfield		Leyton Orient	13
16	Mansfield		Stevenage	14
16	Mansfield		Blackpool	15
16 · Mansfield
16	Mansfield		Bromley	17
16	Mansfield	5–2	Luton	18	17′ Home
16	Mansfield		Barnsley	19
16	Mansfield		Milton Keynes Dons	20
16	Mansfield		Notts County	21
16	Mansfield	2–1	Doncaster	22	26′ Home
16	Mansfield		Peterboro	23
16	Mansfield		Wigan	24

Oxford

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Oxford	6
2	Plymouth		Oxford	6
3	Cambridge		Oxford	6
4	Sheffield Weds		Oxford	6
5	AFC Wimbledon		Oxford	6
6 · Oxford
7	Stockport		Oxford	6
8	Huddersfield	3–1	Oxford	6	56′ Home
9	Wycombe		Oxford	6
10	Leicester	0–4	Oxford	6	8′ Away
11	Burton		Oxford	6
12	Reading		Oxford	6
13	Leyton Orient		Oxford	6
14	Stevenage	1–2	Oxford	6	67′ Away
15	Blackpool		Oxford	6
16	Mansfield		Oxford	6
17	Bromley		Oxford	6
18	Luton		Oxford	6
19	Barnsley		Oxford	6
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Oxford	6
21	Notts County		Oxford	6
22	Doncaster		Oxford	6
23	Peterboro		Oxford	6
24	Wigan		Oxford	6

Mansfield Home Oxford Away

Wins

50%

67%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

50%

100%

Over 3.5

25%

67%

Both teams scored

50%

67%

Clean sheets

50%

33%

Scores first

50%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mansfield

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.25	1.12
Draws	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.75	0.75	1.25
Goals conceded / match	0.75	2.50	1.62
Total goals / match	2.50	3.25	2.88
Failed to score	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	3	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Oxford

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	2.25	2.33	2.29
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.33	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	3.67	3.29
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	1
61–75	2	1
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mansfield	Draw	Oxford	How it works
Strength (Elo)	36.7%	25.2%	38.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.1%	19.6%	57.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.27–2.28 Model expected goals

65.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

62.2% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.5%

1-18.3%

0-27.5%

1-37.2%

0-16.6%

2-26.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mansfield	Oxford	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1518	1565	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-20	-7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	48.6%	55.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	51.8%	59.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1058	1018	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	41.7%	36.2%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	64.2%	65.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mansfield	0.79	0.89	0.47	0.89
Oxford	0.89	1.11	0.37	0.84

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mansfield	22%	15%	12%	22%	28%
Oxford	5%	5%	22%	30%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.89 Mansfield at home, 9 matches

1.78 Oxford away, 9 matches

26d Days of rest for Mansfield

26d Days of rest for Oxford

— Manager of Mansfield

— Manager of Oxford

0 Matches for Mansfield in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Oxford in the last 14 days

9 Points for Mansfield behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Oxford behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mansfield, the right bar represents Oxford.

On the ball

20 matches

12.41

shots

15.41

4.24

shots on target

5.53

34.1%

accuracy

35.9%

4.32

corners

4.89

12.79

fouls

10.68

2.06

yellow cards

1.44

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mansfield	DDDLLWLWWD	1.30	1.50–1.70	3D
Oxford	DWWWLWDWDL	1.80	1.90–1.00	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mansfield	7	8	4	0	2
Oxford	9	7	3	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mansfield

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Oxford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Leicester failed to produce bare minimum in Oxford thrashing - Souttar BBC Sport 09-07