Wycombe

Wycombe

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202615:00

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 11

Notts County

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Wycombe2–2Reading
2026-09-19	26/27	Wigan0–1Wycombe
2026-09-13	26/27	Leyton Orient2–3Wycombe
2026-09-12	26/27	Leyton Orient2–3Wycombe
2026-09-05	26/27	Wycombe3–3Milton Keynes Dons
2026-09-01	26/27	Wycombe1–2Sheffield Weds
2026-08-29	26/27	Stockport5–1Wycombe
2026-08-22	26/27	Wycombe1–1Plymouth

Notts County

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Reading2–0Notts County
2026-09-13	26/27	Notts County0–1Bradford
2026-09-12	26/27	Notts County0–1Bradford
2026-09-05	26/27	Huddersfield1–1Notts County
2026-09-01	26/27	Doncaster1–1Notts County
2026-08-29	26/27	Notts County2–1Burton
2026-08-22	26/27	Luton2–2Notts County
2026-08-15	26/27	Notts County1–1Leicester

Wycombe Notts County

Wins

38%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

25%

Both teams scored

88%

62%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Wycombe

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Wycombe		Bradford	1
9	Wycombe	1–1	Plymouth	2	25′ Away
9	Wycombe		Cambridge	3
9	Wycombe	1–2	Sheffield Weds	4	6′ Home
9	Wycombe		AFC Wimbledon	5
9	Wycombe		Oxford	6
9	Wycombe		Stockport	7
9	Wycombe		Huddersfield	8
9 · Wycombe
9	Wycombe		Leicester	10
9	Wycombe		Burton	11
9	Wycombe	2–2	Reading	12	47′ Away
9	Wycombe		Leyton Orient	13
9	Wycombe		Stevenage	14
9	Wycombe		Blackpool	15
9	Wycombe		Mansfield	16
9	Wycombe		Bromley	17
9	Wycombe		Luton	18
9	Wycombe		Barnsley	19
9	Wycombe	3–3	Milton Keynes Dons	20	11′ Home
9	Wycombe		Notts County	21
9	Wycombe		Doncaster	22
9	Wycombe		Peterboro	23
9	Wycombe		Wigan	24

Notts County

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Notts County	21
2	Plymouth		Notts County	21
3	Cambridge		Notts County	21
4	Sheffield Weds		Notts County	21
5	AFC Wimbledon		Notts County	21
6	Oxford		Notts County	21
7	Stockport		Notts County	21
8	Huddersfield	1–1	Notts County	21	12′ Home
9	Wycombe		Notts County	21
10	Leicester		Notts County	21
11	Burton		Notts County	21
12	Reading	2–0	Notts County	21	49′ Home
13	Leyton Orient		Notts County	21
14	Stevenage		Notts County	21
15	Blackpool		Notts County	21
16	Mansfield		Notts County	21
17	Bromley		Notts County	21
18	Luton	2–2	Notts County	21	42′ Home
19	Barnsley		Notts County	21
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Notts County	21
21 · Notts County
22	Doncaster	1–1	Notts County	21	36′ Home
23	Peterboro		Notts County	21
24	Wigan		Notts County	21

Wycombe Home Notts County Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

75%

25%

Over 3.5

50%

25%

Both teams scored

100%

75%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

50%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Wycombe

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.75	2.00	1.44
Draws	75.0%	20.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	1.75	1.80	1.78
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Total goals / match	3.75	3.80	3.78
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	40.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	0 of 2	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	4
61–75	2	0
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Notts County

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.75	0.88
Draws	25.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.00	0.88
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.25
Total goals / match	1.75	2.50	2.12
Failed to score	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	75.0%	75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	2
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	2
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Wycombe	Draw	Notts County	How it works
Strength (Elo)	47.8%	23.4%	28.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	37.5%	24.3%	37.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.51–1.50 Model expected goals

57.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

59.8% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.2%

2-18.4%

1-28.4%

1-07.4%

0-17.4%

2-26.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Wycombe	Notts County	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1526	1479	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	2	-20	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1517	1518	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	50.2%	52.4%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.0%	55.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	862	975	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	29.2%	35.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	57.0%	62.5%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Wycombe	0.74	0.95	0.79	1.21
Notts County	0.29	0.71	0.57	0.71

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Wycombe	8%	10%	28%	18%	38%
Notts County	0%	25%	50%	12%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Wycombe at home, 9 matches

0.75 Notts County away, 4 matches

21d Days of rest for Wycombe

28d Days of rest for Notts County

— Manager of Wycombe

— Manager of Notts County

0 Matches for Wycombe in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Notts County in the last 14 days

5 Points for Wycombe behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Notts County behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Wycombe, the right bar represents Notts County.

On the ball

20 matches

13.56

shots

13.0

5.56

shots on target

4.0

41.0%

accuracy

30.8%

6.53

corners

4.43

10.21

fouls

12.29

1.39

yellow cards

2.29

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Wycombe	DWWWDLLDDW	1.60	1.90–2.00	1D
Notts County	LLLDDWDD	0.88	0.88–1.25	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Wycombe	7	5	7	0	5
Notts County	0	5	2	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Wycombe

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Notts County

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.