Leicester

Leicester

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202615:00

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 11

Doncaster

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Barnsley1–1Leicester
2026-09-13	26/27	Stockport3–4Leicester
2026-09-12	26/27	Stockport3–4Leicester
2026-09-05	26/27	Leicester0–4Oxford
2026-09-01	26/27	Leicester2–0Plymouth
2026-08-29	26/27	Milton Keynes Dons0–0Leicester
2026-08-22	26/27	Leicester1–2Burton
2026-08-15	26/27	Notts County1–1Leicester

Doncaster

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Peterboro0–2Doncaster
2026-09-13	26/27	AFC Wimbledon1–0Doncaster
2026-09-12	26/27	AFC Wimbledon1–0Doncaster
2026-09-05	26/27	Doncaster2–3Plymouth
2026-09-01	26/27	Doncaster1–1Notts County
2026-08-29	26/27	Stevenage2–2Doncaster
2026-08-22	26/27	Doncaster0–0Barnsley
2026-08-15	26/27	Mansfield2–1Doncaster

Leicester Doncaster

Wins

38%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Leicester

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Leicester		Bradford	1
10	Leicester	2–0	Plymouth	2	45+3′ Home
10	Leicester		Cambridge	3
10	Leicester		Sheffield Weds	4
10	Leicester		AFC Wimbledon	5
10	Leicester	0–4	Oxford	6	8′ Away
10	Leicester		Stockport	7
10	Leicester		Huddersfield	8
10	Leicester		Wycombe	9
10 · Leicester
10	Leicester	1–2	Burton	11	5′ Away
10	Leicester		Reading	12
10	Leicester		Leyton Orient	13
10	Leicester		Stevenage	14
10	Leicester		Blackpool	15
10	Leicester		Mansfield	16
10	Leicester		Bromley	17
10	Leicester		Luton	18
10	Leicester		Barnsley	19
10	Leicester		Milton Keynes Dons	20
10	Leicester		Notts County	21
10	Leicester		Doncaster	22
10	Leicester		Peterboro	23
10	Leicester		Wigan	24

Doncaster

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Bradford		Doncaster	22
2	Plymouth		Doncaster	22
3	Cambridge		Doncaster	22
4	Sheffield Weds		Doncaster	22
5	AFC Wimbledon	1–0	Doncaster	22	43′ Home
5	AFC Wimbledon	1–0	Doncaster	22	—
6	Oxford		Doncaster	22
7	Stockport		Doncaster	22
8	Huddersfield		Doncaster	22
9	Wycombe		Doncaster	22
10	Leicester		Doncaster	22
11	Burton		Doncaster	22
12	Reading		Doncaster	22
13	Leyton Orient		Doncaster	22
14	Stevenage	2–2	Doncaster	22	57′ Home
15	Blackpool		Doncaster	22
16	Mansfield	2–1	Doncaster	22	26′ Home
17	Bromley		Doncaster	22
18	Luton		Doncaster	22
19	Barnsley		Doncaster	22
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Doncaster	22
21	Notts County		Doncaster	22
22 · Doncaster
23	Peterboro	0–2	Doncaster	22	15′ Away
24	Wigan		Doncaster	22

Leicester Home Doncaster Away

Wins

33%

20%

Over 1.5

100%

60%

Over 2.5

67%

40%

Over 3.5

33%

20%

Both teams scored

33%

40%

Clean sheets

33%

20%

Scores first

33%

20%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Leicester

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.80	1.50
Draws	0.0%	60.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.00	2.00	1.62
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.60	1.75
Total goals / match	3.00	3.60	3.38
Failed to score	33.3%	20.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	60.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	0	1
31–45	3	0
46–60	0	2
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Doncaster

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.67	0.80	0.75
Draws	66.7%	20.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.20	1.25
Total goals / match	2.33	2.20	2.25
Failed to score	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	60.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Leicester	Draw	Doncaster	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.8%	23.0%	28.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	29.6%	24.9%	44.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.23–1.57 Model expected goals

52.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.8%

0-19.6%

1-29.2%

0-27.5%

1-07.5%

2-17.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Leicester	Doncaster	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1513	1459	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	12	8	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1519	1490	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	56.7%	51.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.7%	53.8%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	813	940	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	18.2%	26.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	63.2%	67.2%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Leicester	0.86	0.43	0.57	1.00
Doncaster	0.21	0.89	0.37	0.74

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Leicester	12%	0%	38%	12%	38%
Doncaster	8%	22%	20%	25%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Leicester at home, 3 matches

1.40 Doncaster away, 10 matches

28d Days of rest for Leicester

28d Days of rest for Doncaster

— Manager of Leicester

— Manager of Doncaster

0 Matches for Leicester in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Doncaster in the last 14 days

6 Points for Leicester behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Doncaster behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Leicester, the right bar represents Doncaster.

On the ball

20 matches

16.0

shots

13.06

4.4

shots on target

4.18

27.5%

accuracy

32.0%

6.71

corners

4.16

9.71

fouls

11.11

2.0

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Leicester	DWWLWDLD	1.50	1.62–1.75	1D
Doncaster	WLLLDDDLWD	1.00	1.20–1.20	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Leicester	3	2	2	0	1
Doncaster	4	8	7	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Leicester

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Doncaster

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Leicester failed to produce bare minimum in Oxford thrashing - Souttar BBC Sport 09-07

Jamie Vardy takes party to Burnley after signing deal with Championship strugglers The Guardian 09-06

Ex-Leicester striker Vardy joins Burnley BBC Sport 09-06

Foxes pain and Burnley suffer hangover - Aaron McLean's EFL takeaways BBC Sport 09-05