Burton

Burton

VS Scheduled Tuesday 20 Oct 202619:45

England 26/27 League One · Matchday 12

Bradford

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings

BurtonWins: 2
Draws25.0% of meetings: 1
BradfordWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.25
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 75.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-21	25/26	Burton2–1Bradford
2025-11-08	25/26	Bradford1–2Burton
2019-01-26	18/19	Burton1–1Bradford
2018-08-21	18/19	Bradford1–0Burton

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Plymouth0–1Burton
2026-09-19	26/27	Burton2–2Mansfield
2026-09-13	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-12	26/27	Oxford3–0Burton
2026-09-05	26/27	Burton2–2Cambridge
2026-09-02	26/27	Burton4–1AFC Wimbledon
2026-08-29	26/27	Notts County2–1Burton
2026-08-22	26/27	Leicester1–2Burton

Bradford

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Luton0–1Bradford
2026-09-13	26/27	Notts County0–1Bradford
2026-09-12	26/27	Notts County0–1Bradford
2026-09-05	26/27	Bradford1–0Mansfield
2026-09-01	26/27	Bradford1–2Cambridge
2026-08-29	26/27	Plymouth2–0Bradford
2026-08-20	26/27	Sheffield Weds0–1Bradford
2026-08-15	26/27	Bradford2–0Peterboro

Burton Bradford

Wins

38%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

12%

Both teams scored

62%

12%

Clean sheets

12%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Burton

Home · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Burton		Bradford	1
11	Burton		Plymouth	2
11	Burton	2–2	Cambridge	3	19′ Home
11	Burton		Sheffield Weds	4
11	Burton	4–1	AFC Wimbledon	5	—
11	Burton		Oxford	6
11	Burton		Stockport	7
11	Burton		Huddersfield	8
11	Burton		Wycombe	9
11	Burton		Leicester	10
11 · Burton
11	Burton		Reading	12
11	Burton		Leyton Orient	13
11	Burton	1–1	Stevenage	14	74′ Home
11	Burton		Blackpool	15
11	Burton	2–2	Mansfield	16	—
11	Burton		Bromley	17
11	Burton		Luton	18
11	Burton		Barnsley	19
11	Burton		Milton Keynes Dons	20
11	Burton		Notts County	21
11	Burton		Doncaster	22
11	Burton		Peterboro	23
11	Burton		Wigan	24

Bradford

Away · League One

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Bradford
2	Plymouth	2–0	Bradford	1	44′ Home
3	Cambridge		Bradford	1
4	Sheffield Weds	0–1	Bradford	1	47′ Away
5	AFC Wimbledon		Bradford	1
6	Oxford		Bradford	1
7	Stockport		Bradford	1
8	Huddersfield		Bradford	1
9	Wycombe		Bradford	1
10	Leicester		Bradford	1
11	Burton		Bradford	1
12	Reading		Bradford	1
13	Leyton Orient		Bradford	1
14	Stevenage		Bradford	1
15	Blackpool		Bradford	1
16	Mansfield		Bradford	1
17	Bromley		Bradford	1
18	Luton	0–1	Bradford	1	4′ Away
19	Barnsley		Bradford	1
20	Milton Keynes Dons		Bradford	1
21	Notts County	0–1	Bradford	1	52′ Away
21	Notts County	0–1	Bradford	1	—
22	Doncaster		Bradford	1
23	Peterboro		Bradford	1
24	Wigan		Bradford	1

Burton Home Bradford Away

Wins

25%

80%

Over 1.5

100%

20%

Over 2.5

75%

0%

Over 3.5

75%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

0%

Clean sheets

0%

80%

Scores first

N/A

80%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Burton

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.20	1.33
Draws	75.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	2.25	0.80	1.44
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.80	1.67
Total goals / match	3.75	2.60	3.11
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bradford

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.40	2.25
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.33	0.80	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.40	0.50
Total goals / match	2.00	1.20	1.50
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	87.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Burton	Draw	Bradford	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.6%	24.9%	41.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	21.2%	30.0%	48.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.70–1.23 Model expected goals

30.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.6% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 17.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-117.8%

0-014.5%

1-112.5%

0-210.9%

1-010.2%

1-27.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Burton	Bradford	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1480	1558	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	14	40	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1493	1494	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	49.0%	59.7%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	51.3%	65.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1053	842	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	36.2%	25.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	69.1%	58.5%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Burton	0.68	0.58	0.42	0.74
Bradford	0.32	0.84	0.37	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Burton	5%	18%	22%	30%	25%
Bradford	2%	35%	22%	35%	5%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Burton at home, 10 matches

2.00 Bradford away, 11 matches

24d Days of rest for Burton

31d Days of rest for Bradford

— Manager of Burton

— Manager of Bradford

0 Matches for Burton in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Bradford in the last 14 days

6 Points for Burton behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Bradford behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

2.62 League goals per match

25.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Burton, the right bar represents Bradford.

On the ball

20 matches

10.62

shots

13.59

3.62

shots on target

4.59

34.1%

accuracy

33.8%

4.32

corners

6.63

11.21

fouls

13.47

1.47

yellow cards

2.68

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Burton	WDLLDWLWDD	1.30	1.50–1.70	1W
Bradford	WWWWLLWWWD	2.20	1.10–0.60	4W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Burton	7	10	2	0	3
Bradford	5	8	6	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Burton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bradford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.