Head-to-head overview
6 meetings- BurtonWins
- 2
- Draws50.0% of meetings
- 3
- Leyton OrientWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 2.33
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66.7%
- Both teams scored
- 50.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 |
25/26
|
Leyton Orient2–2Burton |
| 2025-11-29 |
25/26
|
Burton0–4Leyton Orient |
| 2025-04-01 |
24/25
|
Burton2–1Leyton Orient |
| 2024-12-14 |
24/25
|
Leyton Orient0–0Burton |
| 2024-02-17 |
23/24
|
Leyton Orient1–2Burton |
| 2023-10-28 |
23/24
|
Burton0–0Leyton Orient |
Recent matches
Burton
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Plymouth0–1Burton |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Burton2–2Mansfield |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Oxford3–0Burton |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Oxford3–0Burton |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Burton2–2Cambridge |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Burton4–1AFC Wimbledon |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Notts County2–1Burton |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Leicester1–2Burton |
Leyton Orient
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Leyton Orient1–0Stevenage |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Leyton Orient2–3Wycombe |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Leyton Orient2–3Wycombe |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Luton1–1Leyton Orient |
| 2026-09-01 |
26/27
|
Bromley0–5Leyton Orient |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Leyton Orient1–3Barnsley |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Wigan0–2Leyton Orient |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Leyton Orient1–2Sheffield Weds |
Burton
Leyton Orient
Wins
38%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
62%
Both teams scored
62%
62%
Clean sheets
12%
38%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Burton
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Burton | Bradford | 1 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Plymouth | 2 | ||
| 11 | Burton | 2–2 | Cambridge | 3 | 19′ Home |
| 11 | Burton | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 11 | Burton | 4–1 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | — |
| 11 | Burton | Oxford | 6 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Stockport | 7 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Huddersfield | 8 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Wycombe | 9 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Leicester | 10 | ||
| 11 · Burton | |||||
| 11 | Burton | Reading | 12 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 11 | Burton | 1–1 | Stevenage | 14 | 74′ Home |
| 11 | Burton | Blackpool | 15 | ||
| 11 | Burton | 2–2 | Mansfield | 16 | — |
| 11 | Burton | Bromley | 17 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Luton | 18 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Barnsley | 19 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Milton Keynes Dons | 20 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Notts County | 21 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Doncaster | 22 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Peterboro | 23 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Wigan | 24 | ||
Leyton Orient
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 2 | Plymouth | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 3 | Cambridge | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 4 | Sheffield Weds | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 6 | Oxford | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 7 | Stockport | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 8 | Huddersfield | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 9 | Wycombe | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 10 | Leicester | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 11 | Burton | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 12 | Reading | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 13 · Leyton Orient | |||||
| 14 | Stevenage | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 15 | Blackpool | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 16 | Mansfield | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 17 | Bromley | 0–5 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 36′ Away |
| 18 | Luton | 1–1 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 25′ Home |
| 19 | Barnsley | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 21 | Notts County | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 22 | Doncaster | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 23 | Peterboro | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 24 | Wigan | 0–2 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 15′ Away |
Burton Home
Leyton Orient Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Burton
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Draws | 75.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.25 | 0.80 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Total goals / match | 3.75 | 2.60 | 3.11 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 40.0% | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/4 home.Scoring order known: 7/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Leyton Orient
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away3 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.60 | 2.33 | 1.25 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 33.3% | 12.5% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.40 | 2.67 | 1.88 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.20 | 0.33 | 1.50 |
| Total goals / match | 3.60 | 3.00 | 3.38 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 20.0% | 66.7% | 37.5% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 3/3 away.Scoring order known: 6/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 2 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 3 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Burton | Draw | Leyton Orient | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 42.6% | 24.7% | 32.7% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 25.2% | 25.5% | 48.8% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.03–1.55
Model expected goals
47.1%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.3%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 12.1%
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
0-111.7%
1-29.4%
0-29.1%
1-07.8%
0-07.6%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Burton | Leyton Orient | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1480 | 1476 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 14 | 11 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1493 | 1503 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 49.0% | 44.0% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 51.3% | 47.2% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1053 | 1105 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 36.2% | 35.8% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 69.1% | 74.7% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton | 0.68 | 0.58 | 0.42 | 0.74 |
| Leyton Orient | 0.58 | 0.84 | 0.74 | 0.42 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton | 5% | 18% | 22% | 30% | 25% |
| Leyton Orient | 10% | 10% | 18% | 30% | 32% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.40
Burton at home, 10 matches
1.67
Leyton Orient away, 9 matches
28d
Days of rest for Burton
35d
Days of rest for Leyton Orient
—
Manager of Burton
—
Manager of Leyton Orient
0
Matches for Burton in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Leyton Orient in the last 14 days
6
Points for Burton behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
8
Points for Leyton Orient behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.62
League goals per match
25.6%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Burton, the right bar represents Leyton Orient.
On the ball
10.62
10.88
shots
3.62
3.94
shots on target
34.1%
36.2%
accuracy
4.32
4.53
corners
11.21
12.58
fouls
1.47
2.33
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton | WDLLDWLWDD | 1.30 | 1.50–1.70 | 1W |
| Leyton Orient | WLLDWLWLDL | 1.10 | 1.70–1.50 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Leyton Orient | 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Burton
No absences reported.
Leyton Orient
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.