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Stevenage
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League One · Matchday 13
Milton Keynes Dons
Recent matches

Stevenage

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Leyton Orient1–0Stevenage
2026-09-10 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage2–1Luton
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Barnsley1–5Stevenage
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro0–0Stevenage
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage2–2Doncaster
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage1–2Oxford
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Burton1–1Stevenage
2026-05-02 England, League One 25/26 Stevenage1–0Wigan

Milton Keynes Dons

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 England, League One 26/27 AFC Wimbledon0–0Milton Keynes Dons
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Wycombe3–3Milton Keynes Dons
2026-09-02 England, League One 26/27 Wigan3–1Milton Keynes Dons
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons0–0Leicester
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons1–1Huddersfield
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Oxford2–2Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage Milton Keynes Dons

Wins

38%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
38%

Both teams scored

62%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Stevenage

Home · League One
Stevenage Home Milton Keynes Dons Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Stevenage

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.331.251.29
Draws33.3%50.0%42.9%
Goals scored / match1.671.501.57
Goals conceded / match1.670.751.14
Total goals / match3.332.252.71
Failed to score0.0%50.0%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%75.0%42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3010
31–4500
46–6010
61–7513
76–9022

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Milton Keynes Dons

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.000.750.88
Draws100.0%75.0%87.5%
Goals scored / match0.751.501.12
Goals conceded / match0.752.001.38
Total goals / match1.503.502.50
Failed to score25.0%25.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%25.0%62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3011
31–4512
46–6031
61–7502
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelStevenageDraw Milton Keynes DonsHow it works
Strength (Elo) 48.7% 23.1% 28.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 35.3% 32.4% 32.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.95–0.89 Model expected goals
28.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
36.2% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 15.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-015.8%
1-015.0%
0-114.1%
1-113.4%
2-07.1%
2-16.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureStevenageMilton Keynes Dons How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1526 1473 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 12 11 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1502 1486 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 49.2% 50.7% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 54.7% 46.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1018 1014 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 32.9% 30.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 69.0% 70.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Stevenage 0.450.70 0.250.70
Milton Keynes Dons 0.370.74 0.630.58

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Stevenage 15%32%10%20%22%
Milton Keynes Dons 12%22%32%5%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Stevenage at home, 10 matches
0.90 Milton Keynes Dons away, 10 matches
35d Days of rest for Stevenage
37d Days of rest for Milton Keynes Dons
— Manager of Stevenage
— Manager of Milton Keynes Dons
0 Matches for Stevenage in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Milton Keynes Dons in the last 14 days
9 Points for Stevenage behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
11 Points for Milton Keynes Dons behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.62 League goals per match
25.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Stevenage, the right bar represents Milton Keynes Dons.

On the ball

20 matches
10.0
shots
14.18
3.68
shots on target
3.82
36.8%
accuracy
27.0%
3.85
corners
6.21
12.4
fouls
10.95
1.8
yellow cards
1.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Stevenage LWWDDLDWDW 1.60 1.40–0.90 1L
Milton Keynes Dons DDDDLDDDDD 0.90 1.30–1.50 4D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Stevenage6 131 02
Milton Keynes Dons4 78 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Stevenage

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Milton Keynes Dons

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.