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Peterboro
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League One · Matchday 14
Luton

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
PeterboroWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
LutonWins
3
Goals per match
3.25
Over 2.5 goals
75.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-03 England, League One 25/26 Luton2–1Peterboro
2025-08-09 England, League One 25/26 Peterboro0–2Luton
2019-01-19 England, League One 18/19 Luton4–0Peterboro
2018-08-18 England, League One 18/19 Peterboro3–1Luton
Recent matches

Peterboro

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 England, League One 26/27 Stockport1–0Peterboro
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro0–2Doncaster
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro1–2Sheffield Weds
2026-09-01 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro0–0Stevenage
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Blackpool4–0Peterboro
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro2–1Mansfield

Luton

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Luton0–1Bradford
2026-09-10 England, League One 26/27 Stevenage2–1Luton
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Luton1–1Leyton Orient
2026-09-02 England, League One 26/27 Luton2–0Stockport
2026-08-30 England, League One 26/27 Mansfield5–2Luton
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Luton2–2Notts County
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Reading3–4Luton
2026-05-02 England, League One 25/26 Bolton2–3Luton
Peterboro Luton

Wins

12%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
62%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

12%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Peterboro

Home · League One

Luton

Away · League One
HomeAway1st goal
1 Bradford Luton 18
2 Plymouth Luton 18
3 Cambridge Luton 18
4 Sheffield Weds Luton 18
5 AFC Wimbledon Luton 18
6 Oxford Luton 18
7 Stockport Luton 18
8 Huddersfield Luton 18
9 Wycombe Luton 18
10 Leicester Luton 18
11 Burton Luton 18
12 Reading 3–4 Luton 18 6′ Away
13 Leyton Orient Luton 18
14 Stevenage 2–1 Luton 18 23′ Home
15 Blackpool Luton 18
16 Mansfield 5–2 Luton 18 17′ Home
17 Bromley Luton 18
18 · Luton
19 Barnsley Luton 18
20 Milton Keynes Dons Luton 18
21 Notts County Luton 18
22 Doncaster Luton 18
23 Peterboro Luton 18
24 Wigan Luton 18
Peterboro Home Luton Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Peterboro

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.000.400.67
Draws25.0%40.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match0.750.400.56
Goals conceded / match1.251.801.56
Total goals / match2.002.202.11
Failed to score50.0%60.0%55.6%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%80.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Luton

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.251.001.14
Draws50.0%0.0%28.6%
Goals scored / match1.252.331.71
Goals conceded / match1.003.332.00
Total goals / match2.255.673.71
Failed to score25.0%0.0%14.3%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%0.0%42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3003
31–4503
46–6022
61–7511
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPeterboroDraw LutonHow it works
Strength (Elo) 29.4% 23.6% 47.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 11.3% 15.3% 67.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.98–2.68 Model expected goals
65.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
54.7% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 9.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-29.2%
1-29.1%
0-38.2%
1-38.1%
0-16.9%
1-16.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePeterboroLuton How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1415 1537 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -35 -11 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1498 1493 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 43.3% 54.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 39.1% 53.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 986 1050 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 25.8% 41.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 72.8% 63.3% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Peterboro 0.260.68 0.681.00
Luton 1.000.90 0.950.55

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Peterboro 5%15%30%22%28%
Luton 2%15%22%28%32%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Peterboro at home, 10 matches
1.80 Luton away, 10 matches
35d Days of rest for Peterboro
42d Days of rest for Luton
— Manager of Peterboro
— Manager of Luton
0 Matches for Peterboro in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Luton in the last 14 days
12 Points for Peterboro behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Luton behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.62 League goals per match
25.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Peterboro, the right bar represents Luton.

On the ball

20 matches
12.62
shots
15.05
4.12
shots on target
4.79
32.7%
accuracy
31.8%
4.89
corners
6.45
8.79
fouls
11.2
1.61
yellow cards
2.05

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Peterboro LLDDLDLWLL 0.60 0.60–1.70 2L
Luton LLDWLDWWWW 1.70 1.90–1.70 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Peterboro1 99 00
Luton7 76 22
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Peterboro

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Luton

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.