Head-to-head overview
8 meetings- Milton Keynes DonsWins
- 3
- Draws37.5% of meetings
- 3
- BurtonWins
- 2
- Goals per match
- 1.62
- Over 2.5 goals
- 25.0%
- Both teams scored
- 37.5%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-07 |
22/23
|
Burton0–0Milton Keynes Dons |
| 2022-12-03 |
22/23
|
Milton Keynes Dons1–1Burton |
| 2022-01-25 |
21/22
|
Burton0–1Milton Keynes Dons |
| 2021-11-20 |
21/22
|
Milton Keynes Dons1–0Burton |
| 2021-03-20 |
20/21
|
Burton1–2Milton Keynes Dons |
| 2020-12-12 |
20/21
|
Milton Keynes Dons1–1Burton |
| 2020-01-14 |
19/20
|
Burton1–0Milton Keynes Dons |
| 2019-10-05 |
19/20
|
Milton Keynes Dons0–3Burton |
Recent matches
Milton Keynes Dons
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 |
26/27
|
AFC Wimbledon0–0Milton Keynes Dons |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Wycombe3–3Milton Keynes Dons |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Wigan3–1Milton Keynes Dons |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Milton Keynes Dons0–0Leicester |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Milton Keynes Dons1–1Huddersfield |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Oxford2–2Milton Keynes Dons |
Burton
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Plymouth0–1Burton |
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Burton2–2Mansfield |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Oxford3–0Burton |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Oxford3–0Burton |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Burton2–2Cambridge |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Burton4–1AFC Wimbledon |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Notts County2–1Burton |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Leicester1–2Burton |
Milton Keynes Dons
Burton
Wins
0%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
88%
Both teams scored
75%
62%
Clean sheets
25%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Milton Keynes Dons
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Bradford | 1 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Plymouth | 2 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Cambridge | 3 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Sheffield Weds | 4 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Oxford | 6 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Stockport | 7 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–1 | Huddersfield | 8 | 9′ Away |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Wycombe | 9 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0–0 | Leicester | 10 | – |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Burton | 11 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Reading | 12 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Leyton Orient | 13 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Stevenage | 14 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Blackpool | 15 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Mansfield | 16 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Bromley | 17 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Luton | 18 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Barnsley | 19 | ||
| 20 · Milton Keynes Dons | |||||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Notts County | 21 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Doncaster | 22 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–1 | Peterboro | 23 | 29′ Home |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–1 | Peterboro | 23 | — |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Wigan | 24 | ||
Burton
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | Burton | 11 | ||
| 2 | Plymouth | 0–1 | Burton | 11 | 70′ Away |
| 3 | Cambridge | Burton | 11 | ||
| 4 | Sheffield Weds | Burton | 11 | ||
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | Burton | 11 | ||
| 6 | Oxford | 3–0 | Burton | 11 | 76′ Home |
| 6 | Oxford | 3–0 | Burton | 11 | — |
| 7 | Stockport | Burton | 11 | ||
| 8 | Huddersfield | Burton | 11 | ||
| 9 | Wycombe | Burton | 11 | ||
| 10 | Leicester | 1–2 | Burton | 11 | 5′ Away |
| 11 · Burton | |||||
| 12 | Reading | Burton | 11 | ||
| 13 | Leyton Orient | Burton | 11 | ||
| 14 | Stevenage | Burton | 11 | ||
| 15 | Blackpool | Burton | 11 | ||
| 16 | Mansfield | Burton | 11 | ||
| 17 | Bromley | Burton | 11 | ||
| 18 | Luton | Burton | 11 | ||
| 19 | Barnsley | Burton | 11 | ||
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | Burton | 11 | ||
| 21 | Notts County | 2–1 | Burton | 11 | 22′ Away |
| 22 | Doncaster | Burton | 11 | ||
| 23 | Peterboro | Burton | 11 | ||
| 24 | Wigan | Burton | 11 | ||
Milton Keynes Dons Home
Burton Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Milton Keynes Dons
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away4 matches | Overall8 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Draws | 100.0% | 75.0% | 87.5% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.75 | 1.50 | 1.12 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Total goals / match | 1.50 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 25.0% | 62.5% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 3/4 home.Scoring order known: 7/8 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Burton
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Draws | 75.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.25 | 0.80 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Total goals / match | 3.75 | 2.60 | 3.11 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 40.0% | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 3— | 67%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 3— | 67%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 2— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 5/5 away.Scoring order known: 7/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Milton Keynes Dons | Draw | Burton | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 41.1% | 25.0% | 33.9% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 28.3% | 28.9% | 42.5% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.95–1.23
Model expected goals
36.9%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
43.2%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 14.0%
Most likely scores
0-114.0%
1-113.2%
0-011.3%
1-010.7%
0-28.6%
1-28.1%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Milton Keynes Dons | Burton | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1473 | 1480 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 11 | 14 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1486 | 1493 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 50.7% | 49.0% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 46.4% | 51.3% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1014 | 1053 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 30.8% | 36.2% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 70.7% | 69.1% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 0.37 | 0.74 | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| Burton | 0.68 | 0.58 | 0.42 | 0.74 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 12% | 22% | 32% | 5% | 28% |
| Burton | 5% | 18% | 22% | 30% | 25% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.30
Milton Keynes Dons at home, 10 matches
1.20
Burton away, 10 matches
58d
Days of rest for Milton Keynes Dons
49d
Days of rest for Burton
—
Manager of Milton Keynes Dons
—
Manager of Burton
0
Matches for Milton Keynes Dons in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Burton in the last 14 days
11
Points for Milton Keynes Dons behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
6
Points for Burton behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2.62
League goals per match
25.6%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Milton Keynes Dons, the right bar represents Burton.
On the ball
14.18
10.62
shots
3.82
3.62
shots on target
27.0%
34.1%
accuracy
6.21
4.32
corners
10.95
11.21
fouls
1.67
1.47
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | DDDDLDDDDD | 0.90 | 1.30–1.50 | 4D |
| Burton | WDLLDWLWDD | 1.30 | 1.50–1.70 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 4 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| Burton | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Milton Keynes Dons
No absences reported.
Burton
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.