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Mansfield
VS Scheduled England 26/27 League One · Matchday 16
Milton Keynes Dons
Recent matches

Mansfield

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 England, League One 26/27 Burton2–2Mansfield
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Mansfield0–0Huddersfield
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Mansfield0–0Huddersfield
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Bradford1–0Mansfield
2026-09-02 England, League One 26/27 Reading5–0Mansfield
2026-08-30 England, League One 26/27 Mansfield5–2Luton
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Peterboro2–1Mansfield
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Mansfield2–1Doncaster

Milton Keynes Dons

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 England, League One 26/27 AFC Wimbledon0–0Milton Keynes Dons
2026-09-13 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro
2026-09-12 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons1–1Peterboro
2026-09-05 England, League One 26/27 Wycombe3–3Milton Keynes Dons
2026-09-02 England, League One 26/27 Wigan3–1Milton Keynes Dons
2026-08-29 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons0–0Leicester
2026-08-22 England, League One 26/27 Milton Keynes Dons1–1Huddersfield
2026-08-15 England, League One 26/27 Oxford2–2Milton Keynes Dons
Mansfield Milton Keynes Dons

Wins

25%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
38%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mansfield

Home · League One
Mansfield Home Milton Keynes Dons Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

League One · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mansfield

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match2.000.251.12
Draws50.0%25.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match1.750.751.25
Goals conceded / match0.752.501.62
Total goals / match2.503.252.88
Failed to score50.0%50.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%25.0%37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3030
31–4510
46–6021
61–7510
76–9002

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Milton Keynes Dons

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.000.750.88
Draws100.0%75.0%87.5%
Goals scored / match0.751.501.12
Goals conceded / match0.752.001.38
Total goals / match1.503.502.50
Failed to score25.0%25.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%25.0%62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3011
31–4512
46–6031
61–7502
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMansfieldDraw Milton Keynes DonsHow it works
Strength (Elo) 47.6% 23.4% 29.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 38.8% 26.7% 34.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.32–1.22 Model expected goals
46.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
51.4% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.7%
1-010.4%
0-19.6%
2-18.4%
0-07.9%
1-27.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMansfieldMilton Keynes Dons How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1518 1473 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -20 11 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1503 1486 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 48.6% 50.7% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 51.8% 46.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1058 1014 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 41.7% 30.8% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 64.2% 70.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Mansfield 0.790.89 0.470.89
Milton Keynes Dons 0.370.74 0.630.58

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Mansfield 22%15%12%22%28%
Milton Keynes Dons 12%22%32%5%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.89 Mansfield at home, 9 matches
0.90 Milton Keynes Dons away, 10 matches
63d Days of rest for Mansfield
65d Days of rest for Milton Keynes Dons
— Manager of Mansfield
— Manager of Milton Keynes Dons
0 Matches for Mansfield in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Milton Keynes Dons in the last 14 days
9 Points for Mansfield behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
11 Points for Milton Keynes Dons behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.62 League goals per match
25.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mansfield, the right bar represents Milton Keynes Dons.

On the ball

20 matches
12.41
shots
14.18
4.24
shots on target
3.82
34.1%
accuracy
27.0%
4.32
corners
6.21
12.79
fouls
10.95
2.06
yellow cards
1.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Mansfield DDDLLWLWWD 1.30 1.50–1.70 3D
Milton Keynes Dons DDDDLDDDDD 0.90 1.30–1.50 4D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Mansfield7 84 02
Milton Keynes Dons4 78 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mansfield

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Milton Keynes Dons

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.